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Most Overrated/Underrated Football Programs (1989-Present)
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:01 pm
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I updated the numbers to include the 2021 season:
Boise State +74
Kansas State +53.5
TCU +52.5
Michigan State +38.5
Oregon +36
Iowa +23.5
Alabama +17.5
Stanford +8.5
West Virginia -6.5
Wisconsin -7
Virginia Tech -9
Ohio State -27
Penn State -29
Auburn -35.5
Georgia -35.5
Clemson -47
UCLA -55.5
Texas A&M -60
Tennessee -62
Washington -63
Florida -70
Miami -75
Notre Dame -79.5
LSU -86.5
Nebraska -91.5
Michigan -95.5
Oklahoma -101.5
Florida State -118.5
Texas -138.5
USC -139
quote:
This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. Only teams rated in at least fifteen different seasons (approximately half of the years) appear in this table. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.
quote:
The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.
quote:
Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations.
I updated the numbers to include the 2021 season:
Boise State +74
Kansas State +53.5
TCU +52.5
Michigan State +38.5
Oregon +36
Iowa +23.5
Alabama +17.5
Stanford +8.5
West Virginia -6.5
Wisconsin -7
Virginia Tech -9
Ohio State -27
Penn State -29
Auburn -35.5
Georgia -35.5
Clemson -47
UCLA -55.5
Texas A&M -60
Tennessee -62
Washington -63
Florida -70
Miami -75
Notre Dame -79.5
LSU -86.5
Nebraska -91.5
Michigan -95.5
Oklahoma -101.5
Florida State -118.5
Texas -138.5
USC -139
This post was edited on 8/5/22 at 4:20 pm
25
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:01 pm to Colonel Ingus
Oof.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:04 pm to Colonel Ingus
It should end the UGA is always the most overrated bs people on here spew but they don’t like actual facts here.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:08 pm to Colonel Ingus
Leave it to the Faggies to print another cup to this stat. What’s wrong with you pussys? This is the dumbest shite ever.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:12 pm to CBP3110
quote:
Leave it to the Faggies to print another cup to this stat.
I am in no way bragging about Texas A&Ms position. If you can read the numbers correctly you’ll see they point to us being overrated.
quote:
What’s wrong with you pussys? This is the dumbest shite ever.
Sorry you don’t like stats and that facts hurt your feelings.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:13 pm to Colonel Ingus
Since many posters here have a reading deficiency (rooted in attention deficit disorder) in terms of being able to go past the first paragraph, the note at the end of the article is most important and approp.....
Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.
Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:18 pm to JetDawg
quote:
Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations.
I thought this was pretty self explanatory if you know how preseason/postseason rankings work and/or have an IQ above 40. I forgot a lot of posters on here do not. I'll edit to include that.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:22 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:
It should end the UGA is always the most overrated bs people on here spew but they don’t like actual facts here
Agreed. Now we can start the “UGA is no better than Auburn” mantra.
Happy?
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:24 pm to Colonel Ingus
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:29 pm to Colonel Ingus
Were we getting some serious preseason love in the 90s or something? Honestly surprised by this.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:35 pm to Colonel Ingus
The problem with a list like this is that unranked preseason teams can only move up (positive).
I doubt the rankings are extrapolating if a top 35 team finishes around 100.
It is only throwing positives when the top 35 team finishes ranked 18th.
It is extremely impressive what Bama has done. To start preseason top 4 leaves so little room for error to avoid a negative score. What helps them in a scenario going back to 1989 is having a few bad coaches sparsed in there which could boost big positives for a season (or 2) such as 2008 starting at #24 in the AP and finishing 6th.
Or 1991 going from #22 preseason up to #5.
I doubt the rankings are extrapolating if a top 35 team finishes around 100.
It is only throwing positives when the top 35 team finishes ranked 18th.
It is extremely impressive what Bama has done. To start preseason top 4 leaves so little room for error to avoid a negative score. What helps them in a scenario going back to 1989 is having a few bad coaches sparsed in there which could boost big positives for a season (or 2) such as 2008 starting at #24 in the AP and finishing 6th.
Or 1991 going from #22 preseason up to #5.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:03 pm to five_fivesix
quote:
Agreed. Now we can start the “UGA is no better than Auburn” mantra.
Happy?
And Alabama's no better than TCU mantra...happy?
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:04 pm to Colonel Ingus
quote:
LSU -86.5
Thank you, Mike Archer.
He had a particularly dubious start to this with being highly ranked to start 1989 and immediately greeting that with allowing Larry Horton (?) to return the season opening kickoff for a TD against us in college station. I was there.
This post was edited on 8/5/22 at 5:10 pm
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:18 pm to JetDawg
Given the past 17 years, happy beyond words can describe.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 6:06 pm to Colonel Ingus
quote:
Oklahoma -101.5
Florida State -118.5
Texas -138.5
USC -139
The bottom of this list is spot fricking on. I hate Auburn, and the fact that they were left out of the Title game in 2003-2004 just goes to show the bias of the teams listed above. It wasn't until 2007 when it took a mass movement to get Florida in to the BCS title game over a rematch of Michigan and Ohio State that the above teams could finally be exposed and shoved to the side for the superior teams from the SEC.
This post was edited on 8/5/22 at 6:07 pm
Posted on 8/5/22 at 6:45 pm to CBP3110
quote:
Leave it to the Faggies to print another cup to this stat. What’s wrong with you pussys? This is the dumbest shite ever.
Too funny, OP posts an interesting topic on a chat board to promote chat… and you melt.
I guess that makes you the limp wristed pussy.
Maybe you should find the elementary schools chat board from which you graduated and post there.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 6:46 pm to JCdawg
quote:
Auburn -35.5
Georgia -35.5
Congrats to both teams.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 7:07 pm to Colonel Ingus
quote:
Boise State +74
Kansas State +53.5
TCU +52.5
Michigan State +38.5
Oregon +36
Iowa +23.5
Alabama +17.5
Of course, the top tier of this stat would be mid-major teams or teams that are perennial under-achievers.
An interesting take on things, but pretty much a meaningless stat.
Posted on 8/5/22 at 7:10 pm to Colonel Ingus
Go suck jimbos monkey pox penis
This doesn't even make statistical sense
This doesn't even make statistical sense
Posted on 8/5/22 at 7:18 pm to Colonel Ingus
I’m not sure how this diagram works when say UGA would be -3.5 in 2017. They started the year in the teens and finished #2?
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