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Is this the first time in 20 years that the Vols have been confident going into UF game?

Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:16 pm
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:16 pm
Those vols sho do forget easily.
Posted by rich4pres
Knoxville
Member since Dec 2016
9756 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:21 pm to
I'm not confident. At all. The fact that we are a ten point favorite is ridiculous. I've seen this movie before. I know how it ends.
Posted by theaerialview
Member since May 2013
458 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

I'm not confident. At all. The fact that we are a ten point favorite is ridiculous. I've seen this movie before. I know how it ends.


Yep. I still cannot fathom why the line is still going up (-11 now).

UPDATE: I do know how betting lines work, just not sure why anyone would be confident enough to wager on TN winning by 2TD.
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 7:28 pm
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45183 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

Is this the first time in 20 years that the Vols have been confident going into UF game?


By proxy of playing UF early every year after beating up on MAC/FCS yeah, the Vols are always confident for the Florida game
Posted by rich4pres
Knoxville
Member since Dec 2016
9756 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

By proxy of playing UF early every year after beating up on MAC/FCS yeah, the Vols are always confident for the Florida game

To be fair Tennessee usually plays a tougher schedule going into the game. It is actually Florida that usually beats up on small schools early while Tennessee has an early game against a decent non-conference opponent since Florida plays FSU at the end of the year.
Posted by Volatile
Tennessee
Member since Apr 2014
5470 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:43 pm to
Fear is the mind killer broheim.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18156 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

I do know how betting lines work, just not sure why anyone would be confident enough to wager on TN winning by 2TD.

UF is getting 56% of ATS betting action, but the money is still in UT's favor because of a heavy influx of sharp money early on when UT was single digits. The line seems to be drifting to entice more money on UF, not necessarily because UT betting is increasing.

But, yes. 11 pts seems a lot. But, who knows. Uf hasn't exactly shined the last two weeks. I only trust SOGA+ predictors (:wink:), that would have UF as a ~4 pt dog at a neutral site. SAGARIN would have UT as a ~9.5 pt favorite neutral site, so who knows.

It's why it's a gamble.
This post was edited on 9/23/22 at 8:01 pm
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30160 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 7:59 pm to
I think the Vols smack that arse tomorrow?

I’m taking the under for $2.
Posted by SavageOrangeJug
Member since Oct 2005
19758 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:00 pm to
Who is confident?

Posted by VAvolfan
Member since Feb 2010
2326 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:12 pm to
Nope. Not me
Posted by swampvol1
Member since Oct 2015
1270 posts
Posted on 9/23/22 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

I'm not confident. At all. The fact that we are a ten point favorite is ridiculous. I've seen this movie before. I know how it ends.


Yep.
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