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FPI Bowl Predictions

Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:53 pm
Posted by Ramblin Wreck
Member since Aug 2011
3898 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:53 pm
Sorry if Germans and poor format

FPI's predictions for bowl season:

DATE / FAVORITE / UNDERDOG / FAVORITE WIN % / PREDICTED MARGIN
12/27 Florida State Southern Miss 85.6% 15.2
12/19 Florida Atlantic Akron 80.7% 12.2
12/29 Ohio State USC 76.2% 9.9
12/22 Ohio UAB 73.8% 8.8
1/1 Auburn UCF 71.9% 8
12/29 Northwestern Kentucky 69.9% 7.2
12/26 Duke Northern Illinois 67.5% 6.2
12/20 Southern Methodist Louisiana Tech 67.4% 6.2
12/21 Temple Florida International 66.1% 5.7
12/16 Troy North Texas 64.4% 5.1
12/16 Oregon Boise State 63.4% 4.7
12/29 Utah State New Mexico State 63.1% 4.6
12/29 North Carolina State Arizona State 62.9% 4.5
12/16 Arkansas State Middle Tennessee 62.4% 4.3
12/23 Toledo Appalachian State 60.7% 3.7
1/8 Alabama/Clemson Georgia/Oklahoma 60.6% 3.7
1/1 Notre Dame LSU 60.6% 3.7
12/23 San Diego State Army 60.4% 3.6
12/28 Navy Virginia 60.4% 3.6
1/1 Michigan South Carolina 60.4% 3.6
12/29 Wake Forest Texas A&M 60.1% 3.5
12/16 Colorado State Marshall 59.6% 3.3
12/27 Arizona Purdue 59.1% 3.1
12/27 Texas Missouri 59.0% 3.1
12/16 Western Kentucky Georgia State 58.6% 3.0
1/1 Alabama Clemson 57.9% 2.7
12/30 Memphis Iowa State 57.4% 2.6
12/28 Washington State Michigan State 57.1% 2.4
12/22 Wyoming Central Michigan 56.6% 2.3
12/27 Iowa Boston College 56.5% 2.2
12/30 Wisconsin Miami (FL) 54.7% 1.6
12/28 TCU Stanford 54.4% 1.5
12/28 Oklahoma State Virginia Tech 54.3% 1.5
12/30 Penn State Washington 53.3% 1.1
1/1 Georgia Oklahoma 53.0% 1.0
12/26 Kansas State UCLA 52.3% 0.8
12/23 Texas Tech South Florida 51.6% 0.5
12/30 Louisville Mississippi State 50.9% 0.3
12/26 Utah West Virginia 50.8% 0.3
12/24 Fresno State Houston 50.6% 0.2
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79974 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

12/27 Texas Missouri 59.0% 3.1


This is incorrect. All betting lines are "N/A". Anyone who gives Texas greater than a 50% chance of winning is an idiot, since their two best defensive players aren't even playing.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62721 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:59 pm to
Interesting that a 70% chance of winning only results in a predicted 7 point win.
A win of 7 points is not very much.
Posted by Ramblin Wreck
Member since Aug 2011
3898 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:17 pm to
I'm a little surprised at this one -

12/29 / Wake Forest / Texas A&M / 60.1% / 3.5

Who will be coaching A&M during that game?
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50200 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:36 pm to
Why are you surprised? We sucked this year, fired our coach, and face a team that can play some defense. Interim coach Banks is leading the team. He's the ST coach. He's good at his job and is a plus recruiter too. He'll likely be available soon so if anyone needs an ST coach, yall should want this guy.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83395 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

He'll likely be available soon so if anyone needs an ST coach, yall should want this guy.
Can we has him please?
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
61555 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:05 pm to
Here is Saturday Down Souths predictions. They down think the SEC will do well.


[quote]No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Oklahoma 32*
No. 4 Alabama 26, No. 1 Clemson 22
No. 14 Notre Dame 28, No. 17 LSU 26
Michigan 28, South Carolina 20
No. 12 UCF 31, No. 7 Auburn 30
Louisville 31, No. 23 Mississippi State ) 29
No. 21 Northwestern 32, Kentucky 23
Wake Forest 31, Texas A&M 26
Missouri 31, Texas 27
Posted by thomasbrown_2007
Atlanta,Ga
Member since Oct 2014
2995 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:07 pm to
Who can blame them...it was only 3 good teams in sec this season
Posted by ArabianKnight
Member since Jul 2010
2617 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

They down think the SEC will do well


Define doing well. They predict 2 SEC teams to play for the National Title. I consider that doing well.

Also, if there weren't 2 teams in the playoff, each of the matchups in the regular bowls change to where the SEC would have the upper hand in most of the games. IMO.
Posted by BamaWins15
Member since Sep 2015
4612 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Who can blame them...it was only 3 good teams in sec this season


Bama/GA Who Else? LSU?
Posted by thomasbrown_2007
Atlanta,Ga
Member since Oct 2014
2995 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:20 pm to
Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 2:26 pm
Posted by DrewDawg13
Athens
Member since Apr 2015
3494 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:20 pm to
Where is GT's bowl game??
Posted by thomasbrown_2007
Atlanta,Ga
Member since Oct 2014
2995 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:21 pm to
Lol
Posted by labamafan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2007
24263 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:57 pm to
Probably the only other team to kick our arse in like three seasons or more.
Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16626 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.


Depends where the game is played. Everyone knows Auburn isn't any good unless they're playing at home.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68289 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.



If anyone got lucky it was UGA the second time they played Auburn
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:02 pm to
I really think we win this game

Posted by Allyn McKeen
Key West, FL
Member since Jun 2012
4274 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

12/30 Louisville Mississippi State 50.9% 0.3



Anyone going to have fewer coaches than we will have for this game?

Seriously, Lamar Jackson against a team without a defensive coordinator. Good luck with that.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58902 posts
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Here is Saturday Down Souths predictions. They down think the SEC will do well.


[quote]No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Oklahoma 32*
No. 4 Alabama 26, No. 1 Clemson 22
No. 14 Notre Dame 28, No. 17 LSU 26
Michigan 28, South Carolina 20
No. 12 UCF 31, No. 7 Auburn 30
Louisville 31, No. 23 Mississippi State ) 29
No. 21 Northwestern 32, Kentucky 23
Wake Forest 31, Texas A&M 26
Missouri 31, Texas 27


Which gives a good reason not to pay any attention to predictions. Unless they favor your favorite team, of course!
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