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FPI Bowl Predictions
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:53 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:53 pm
Sorry if Germans and poor format
FPI's predictions for bowl season:
DATE / FAVORITE / UNDERDOG / FAVORITE WIN % / PREDICTED MARGIN
12/27 Florida State Southern Miss 85.6% 15.2
12/19 Florida Atlantic Akron 80.7% 12.2
12/29 Ohio State USC 76.2% 9.9
12/22 Ohio UAB 73.8% 8.8
1/1 Auburn UCF 71.9% 8
12/29 Northwestern Kentucky 69.9% 7.2
12/26 Duke Northern Illinois 67.5% 6.2
12/20 Southern Methodist Louisiana Tech 67.4% 6.2
12/21 Temple Florida International 66.1% 5.7
12/16 Troy North Texas 64.4% 5.1
12/16 Oregon Boise State 63.4% 4.7
12/29 Utah State New Mexico State 63.1% 4.6
12/29 North Carolina State Arizona State 62.9% 4.5
12/16 Arkansas State Middle Tennessee 62.4% 4.3
12/23 Toledo Appalachian State 60.7% 3.7
1/8 Alabama/Clemson Georgia/Oklahoma 60.6% 3.7
1/1 Notre Dame LSU 60.6% 3.7
12/23 San Diego State Army 60.4% 3.6
12/28 Navy Virginia 60.4% 3.6
1/1 Michigan South Carolina 60.4% 3.6
12/29 Wake Forest Texas A&M 60.1% 3.5
12/16 Colorado State Marshall 59.6% 3.3
12/27 Arizona Purdue 59.1% 3.1
12/27 Texas Missouri 59.0% 3.1
12/16 Western Kentucky Georgia State 58.6% 3.0
1/1 Alabama Clemson 57.9% 2.7
12/30 Memphis Iowa State 57.4% 2.6
12/28 Washington State Michigan State 57.1% 2.4
12/22 Wyoming Central Michigan 56.6% 2.3
12/27 Iowa Boston College 56.5% 2.2
12/30 Wisconsin Miami (FL) 54.7% 1.6
12/28 TCU Stanford 54.4% 1.5
12/28 Oklahoma State Virginia Tech 54.3% 1.5
12/30 Penn State Washington 53.3% 1.1
1/1 Georgia Oklahoma 53.0% 1.0
12/26 Kansas State UCLA 52.3% 0.8
12/23 Texas Tech South Florida 51.6% 0.5
12/30 Louisville Mississippi State 50.9% 0.3
12/26 Utah West Virginia 50.8% 0.3
12/24 Fresno State Houston 50.6% 0.2
FPI's predictions for bowl season:
DATE / FAVORITE / UNDERDOG / FAVORITE WIN % / PREDICTED MARGIN
12/27 Florida State Southern Miss 85.6% 15.2
12/19 Florida Atlantic Akron 80.7% 12.2
12/29 Ohio State USC 76.2% 9.9
12/22 Ohio UAB 73.8% 8.8
1/1 Auburn UCF 71.9% 8
12/29 Northwestern Kentucky 69.9% 7.2
12/26 Duke Northern Illinois 67.5% 6.2
12/20 Southern Methodist Louisiana Tech 67.4% 6.2
12/21 Temple Florida International 66.1% 5.7
12/16 Troy North Texas 64.4% 5.1
12/16 Oregon Boise State 63.4% 4.7
12/29 Utah State New Mexico State 63.1% 4.6
12/29 North Carolina State Arizona State 62.9% 4.5
12/16 Arkansas State Middle Tennessee 62.4% 4.3
12/23 Toledo Appalachian State 60.7% 3.7
1/8 Alabama/Clemson Georgia/Oklahoma 60.6% 3.7
1/1 Notre Dame LSU 60.6% 3.7
12/23 San Diego State Army 60.4% 3.6
12/28 Navy Virginia 60.4% 3.6
1/1 Michigan South Carolina 60.4% 3.6
12/29 Wake Forest Texas A&M 60.1% 3.5
12/16 Colorado State Marshall 59.6% 3.3
12/27 Arizona Purdue 59.1% 3.1
12/27 Texas Missouri 59.0% 3.1
12/16 Western Kentucky Georgia State 58.6% 3.0
1/1 Alabama Clemson 57.9% 2.7
12/30 Memphis Iowa State 57.4% 2.6
12/28 Washington State Michigan State 57.1% 2.4
12/22 Wyoming Central Michigan 56.6% 2.3
12/27 Iowa Boston College 56.5% 2.2
12/30 Wisconsin Miami (FL) 54.7% 1.6
12/28 TCU Stanford 54.4% 1.5
12/28 Oklahoma State Virginia Tech 54.3% 1.5
12/30 Penn State Washington 53.3% 1.1
1/1 Georgia Oklahoma 53.0% 1.0
12/26 Kansas State UCLA 52.3% 0.8
12/23 Texas Tech South Florida 51.6% 0.5
12/30 Louisville Mississippi State 50.9% 0.3
12/26 Utah West Virginia 50.8% 0.3
12/24 Fresno State Houston 50.6% 0.2
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:55 pm to Ramblin Wreck
quote:
12/27 Texas Missouri 59.0% 3.1
This is incorrect. All betting lines are "N/A". Anyone who gives Texas greater than a 50% chance of winning is an idiot, since their two best defensive players aren't even playing.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 12:59 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Interesting that a 70% chance of winning only results in a predicted 7 point win.
A win of 7 points is not very much.
A win of 7 points is not very much.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:17 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
I'm a little surprised at this one -
12/29 / Wake Forest / Texas A&M / 60.1% / 3.5
Who will be coaching A&M during that game?
12/29 / Wake Forest / Texas A&M / 60.1% / 3.5
Who will be coaching A&M during that game?
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:36 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Why are you surprised? We sucked this year, fired our coach, and face a team that can play some defense. Interim coach Banks is leading the team. He's the ST coach. He's good at his job and is a plus recruiter too. He'll likely be available soon so if anyone needs an ST coach, yall should want this guy.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 1:40 pm to Farmer1906
quote:Can we has him please?
He'll likely be available soon so if anyone needs an ST coach, yall should want this guy.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:05 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Here is Saturday Down Souths predictions. They down think the SEC will do well.
[quote]No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Oklahoma 32*
No. 4 Alabama 26, No. 1 Clemson 22
No. 14 Notre Dame 28, No. 17 LSU 26
Michigan 28, South Carolina 20
No. 12 UCF 31, No. 7 Auburn 30
Louisville 31, No. 23 Mississippi State ) 29
No. 21 Northwestern 32, Kentucky 23
Wake Forest 31, Texas A&M 26
Missouri 31, Texas 27
[quote]No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Oklahoma 32*
No. 4 Alabama 26, No. 1 Clemson 22
No. 14 Notre Dame 28, No. 17 LSU 26
Michigan 28, South Carolina 20
No. 12 UCF 31, No. 7 Auburn 30
Louisville 31, No. 23 Mississippi State ) 29
No. 21 Northwestern 32, Kentucky 23
Wake Forest 31, Texas A&M 26
Missouri 31, Texas 27
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:07 pm to LanierSpots
Who can blame them...it was only 3 good teams in sec this season
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:10 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
They down think the SEC will do well
Define doing well. They predict 2 SEC teams to play for the National Title. I consider that doing well.
Also, if there weren't 2 teams in the playoff, each of the matchups in the regular bowls change to where the SEC would have the upper hand in most of the games. IMO.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:18 pm to thomasbrown_2007
quote:
Who can blame them...it was only 3 good teams in sec this season
Bama/GA Who Else? LSU?
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:20 pm to BamaWins15
Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 2:26 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:20 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Where is GT's bowl game??
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:57 pm to BamaWins15
Probably the only other team to kick our arse in like three seasons or more.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:59 pm to thomasbrown_2007
quote:
Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.
Depends where the game is played. Everyone knows Auburn isn't any good unless they're playing at home.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:01 pm to thomasbrown_2007
quote:
Auburn i hate to say..is better than lsu. If they played 5 times. Auburn would win 4 of them . Lsu just got lucky.
If anyone got lucky it was UGA the second time they played Auburn
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:02 pm to Farmer1906
I really think we win this game
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:28 pm to Ramblin Wreck
quote:
12/30 Louisville Mississippi State 50.9% 0.3
Anyone going to have fewer coaches than we will have for this game?
Seriously, Lamar Jackson against a team without a defensive coordinator. Good luck with that.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:34 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
Here is Saturday Down Souths predictions. They down think the SEC will do well.
[quote]No. 3 Georgia 34, No. 2 Oklahoma 32*
No. 4 Alabama 26, No. 1 Clemson 22
No. 14 Notre Dame 28, No. 17 LSU 26
Michigan 28, South Carolina 20
No. 12 UCF 31, No. 7 Auburn 30
Louisville 31, No. 23 Mississippi State ) 29
No. 21 Northwestern 32, Kentucky 23
Wake Forest 31, Texas A&M 26
Missouri 31, Texas 27
Which gives a good reason not to pay any attention to predictions. Unless they favor your favorite team, of course!
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