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College Football returning production
Posted on 4/23/18 at 11:53 am
Posted on 4/23/18 at 11:53 am
LINK
On mobile so can’t link list for SEC but Mississippi St is looking good and LSU is looking fricked.
On mobile so can’t link list for SEC but Mississippi St is looking good and LSU is looking fricked.
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Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:01 pm to agrunner
quote:
Over the last four years, 37 teams have returned at least 80 percent of their production based on current calculations; 32 of them (86 percent) improved, and 22 (59 percent) improved their adjusted scoring margin per game by at least six points.
Meanwhile, 56 teams returned under 50 percent of their production; 48 of them (86 percent) regressed, 27 (48 percent) by at least a touchdown.
Thus far for 2018, 11 teams return 80 percent or more, and 11 return under 50 percent.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:01 pm to agrunner
Give me talent over experience any day of the week.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:03 pm to agrunner
Florida is high and in for a bad season.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:11 pm to momentoftruth87
There he is
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:20 pm to agrunner
Quick glance at the 'returning production' top 6 (leaving out Michigan State).
2. Kansas 1-11 in 2017
3. Georgia Southern 2-10
4. Baylor 1-11
5. Ball State 2-10
6. Charlotte 1-11
Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and disregard this metric for evaluating teams. Also, each of these teams will likely improve record-wise (simply because they were atrocious last year) and it will further lead to the misconception that this metric actually caused their improvement.
2. Kansas 1-11 in 2017
3. Georgia Southern 2-10
4. Baylor 1-11
5. Ball State 2-10
6. Charlotte 1-11
Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and disregard this metric for evaluating teams. Also, each of these teams will likely improve record-wise (simply because they were atrocious last year) and it will further lead to the misconception that this metric actually caused their improvement.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:20 pm to TJGator1215
Am I wrong?
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:23 pm to agrunner
Again where stats mean very little. Schedules and systems are more important than previous years production.
This post was edited on 4/23/18 at 12:33 pm
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:23 pm to agrunner
You are the only one stupid enough to put stock in this metric. 
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:24 pm to Irons Puppet
Yep. Just like Mississippi State being high.
That same returning talent lost to Matt Luke...
That same returning talent lost to Matt Luke...
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:24 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
Florida is high and in for a bad season.
Well, we were 4-7 last season. Chances are pretty good we are going to be considerably better this year.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:25 pm to bgator85
But Muh Mullen taking y'all to the ship though remember?
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:26 pm to agrunner
quote:
LSU is looking fricked.
Watching Ed O manage their QB situation week in and out this fall is going to be epic
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:27 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
. Just like Mississippi State being high. That same returning talent lost to Matt Luke...
Except that it's not
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:28 pm to LSU Patrick
quote:
You are the only one stupid enough to put stock in this metric.
They break down some of the results over the last 4 years that show there is at least a reason to consider returning production.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:29 pm to UAtide11
quote:
Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and disregard this metric for evaluating teams. Also, each of these teams will likely improve record-wise (simply because they were atrocious last year) and it will further lead to the misconception that this metric actually caused their improvement.
It is not a metric of who's the best. It is a metric showing who should improve or decline.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:31 pm to Farmer1906
quote:
It is not a metric of who's the best. It is a metric showing who should improve or decline.
Time for SoG S&P threads
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:31 pm to agrunner
You got have a good coach along with good talent. LSU got talent but Coach O can't do anything with it.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:42 pm to agrunner
Returning the same scrubs from last year's team does not necessarily mean they're going to win more ball games.
I recall an article a few years ago that found no correlation between returning starters and onfield production. If I remember correctly, the only position group where returning talent seemed to be an indicator of onfield improvements was the OL, which takes more time to develop and unit cohesion with increased # of starts/games played was a benefit.
I recall an article a few years ago that found no correlation between returning starters and onfield production. If I remember correctly, the only position group where returning talent seemed to be an indicator of onfield improvements was the OL, which takes more time to develop and unit cohesion with increased # of starts/games played was a benefit.
Posted on 4/23/18 at 12:43 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
Mullen taking y'all to the ship though remember?
And what Gator fan has honestly made that claim?
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