quote:
Prediction: At some point in the first five years of the 12 team college football playoff, the final four teams left in the playoff will all be from the SEC.

I have no doubt that this will happen sooner than later.

This post was edited on 1/11/23 at 10:26 am

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Posted by Jobu93

Cypress TX

Member since Sep 2011

19202 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:28 am to LSU Tigerhead

objectively this would make sense although I can promise you that the powers that be will set SEC teams against themselves early enough in order to prevent this.

Similar to what they do with the CWS.

I think it will still happen but not as often as it would otherwise.

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Posted by AUCE05

Member since Dec 2009

42557 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:28 am to LSU Tigerhead

Is this a bad thing? Are we supposed to be outraged?

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Posted by Crowknowsbest

Member since May 2012

25871 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:30 am to LSU Tigerhead

This depends heavily on how the committee seeds teams 5-12, but it’s not impossible.

I could see a situation where they try to ensure that one of the 3-team “brackets” doesn’t have an SEC, or at least has the weakest SEC team, to decrease the probability of this happening.

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Posted by FooManChoo

Member since Dec 2012

41643 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:32 am to AUCE05

quote:
Is this a bad thing? Are we supposed to be outraged?

Perhaps we aren't, but non-SEC fans will be annoyed by it, for sure.

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Posted by memphisplaya

Member since Jan 2009

85790 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:37 am to Crowknowsbest

But the weakest top 12 SEC team is generally still stronger than half the field.

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Posted by Cheese Grits

Wherever I lay my hat is my home

Member since Apr 2012

54617 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:56 am to Jobu93

quote:
I can promise you that the powers that be will set SEC teams against themselves early enough in order to prevent this.

They already do it in the CWS

I think 1 year the 3 SEC were on 1 side (Hogs, Gators, ??) and the other side had a PAC school.

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Posted by Henry Jones Jr

Member since Jun 2011

68437 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:59 am to Cheese Grits

shite, last year there were 4 SEC teams (6 if you count Texas and Oklahoma). Ole Miss, Auburn and Arkansas were all on one side. I feel like it was their worst nightmare

This post was edited on 1/11/23 at 11:00 am

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Posted by Topwater Trout

Red Stick

Member since Oct 2010

67589 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:01 am to LSU Tigerhead

quote:
the final four teams left in the playoff will all be from the SEC.

no way they don't have an sec matchup before the final 4 just to prevent this type of thing

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Posted by imjustafatkid

Alabama

Member since Dec 2011

50277 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:03 am to LSU Tigerhead

I don't think that will ever happen. Just like in the NCAAT, they'll be sure to place SEC teams against each other early so that another conference can be blown out.

ETA: Sorry, I meant so other conferences can be included, not blown out. Stupid auto-correct.

This post was edited on 1/11/23 at 11:04 am

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Posted by BluegrassBelle

RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019

Member since Nov 2010

98914 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:03 am to LSU Tigerhead

quote:
At some point in the first five years of the 12 team college football playoff, the final four teams left in the playoff will all be from the SEC.

Good. If you play in the toughest conference in the country and your cream rises to the top, then that’s on the rest of them to build teams to beat them.

Instead they just whine and cry about scheduling.

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Posted by Crowknowsbest

Member since May 2012

25871 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:21 am to memphisplaya

quote:
But the weakest top 12 SEC team is generally still stronger than half the field.

Sure, but the committee could pretty easily stick the 9-3 SEC team with Ohio State and feel good about that upset being unlikely.

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Posted by lsu777

Lake Charles

Member since Jan 2004

30960 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:32 am to Crowknowsbest

quote:
Sure, but the committee could pretty easily stick the 9-3 SEC team with Ohio State and feel good about that upset being unlikely.

maybe..

i think you will see 3 on one side 1 on the other quite a bit to be honest. dont think you will see 4 on one side that often at all.

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Posted by Cheese Grits

Wherever I lay my hat is my home

Member since Apr 2012

54617 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:38 am to BluegrassBelle

quote:
Instead they just whine and cry about scheduling.

They could fix the B1G tomorrow but it would mean feeding more than just 2 schools.

They could fix the ACC tomorrow if Notre Dame joined

They could fix the PAC / B12 tomorrow by picking the best 12 to 16 teams and dumping the rest

Steel sharpens steel and until the other conferences build top to bottom they will continue to get beat. PAC and B1G could play all conference games and no non conference games and they will still be weak.

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Posted by VoxDawg

Glory, Glory

Member since Sep 2012

59524 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:38 am to LSU Tigerhead

This might be the most reasonable thing about CFB that Travis has said.

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Posted by DisplacedBuckeye

Member since Dec 2013

70989 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:48 am to LSU Tigerhead

Well, it wouldn't have happened in the nine years we've had the playoff so far...

2022:

(9) Kansas State at (8) Tennessee
Winner vs. (1) Georgia

(12) Tulane at (5) TCU
Winner vs. (4) Utah

(10) USC at (7) Alabama
Winner vs. (2) Michigan

(11) Penn State at (6) Ohio State
Winner vs. (3) Clemson

2021:

(12) Pittsburgh at (5) Georgia
Winner vs. (4) Baylor

(11) Utah at (6) Notre Dame
Winner vs. (3) Cincinnati

(10) Michigan State at (7) Ohio State
Winner vs. (2) Michigan

(9) Oklahoma State at (8) Ole Miss
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

2020:

(12) Coastal Carolina at (5) Notre Dame
Winner vs. (4) Oklahoma

(11) Indiana at (6) Texas A&M
Winner vs. (3) Ohio State

(10) Iowa State at (7) Florida
winner vs. (2) Clemson

(9) Georgia at (8) Cincinnati
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

2019:

(12) Memphis at (5) Georgia
Winner vs. (4) Oklahoma

(11) Utah at (6) Oregon
Winner vs. (3) Clemson

(10) Penn State at (7) Baylor
Winner vs. (2) Ohio State

(9) Florida at (8) Wisconsin
Winner vs. (1) LSU

2018:

(12) Penn State at (5) Notre Dame
Winner vs. (4) Ohio State

(11) LSU at (6) Georgia
Winner vs. (3) Oklahoma

(10) Florida at (7) Michigan
Winner vs. (2) Clemson

(9) Washington at (8) UCF
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

2017:

(12) UCF at (5) Alabama
Winner vs. (4) Ohio State

(11) Washington at (6) Wisconsin
Winner vs. (3) Georgia

(10) Miami at (7) Auburn
Winner vs. (2) Oklahoma

(9) Penn State at (8) USC
Winner vs. (1) Clemson

2016:

(12) Western Michigan at (5) Ohio State
Winner vs. (4) Penn State

(11) Florida State at. (6) Michigan
Winner vs. (3) Washington

(10) Colorado at (7) Oklahoma
Winner vs. (2) Clemson

(9) USC at (8) Wisconsin
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

2015:

(12) Houston at (5) Iowa
Winner vs. (4) Oklahoma

(11) TCU at (6) Stanford
Winner vs. (3) Michigan State

(10) North Carolina at (7) Ohio State
Winner vs. (2) Alabama

(9) Florida State at (8) Notre Dame
Winner vs. (1) Clemson

2014:

(12) Boise State at (5) Baylor
Winner vs. (4) Ohio State

(11) Kansas State at (6) TCU
Winner vs. (3) Florida State

(10) Arizona at (7) Mississippi State
Winner vs. (2) Oregon

(9) Ole Miss at (8) Michigan State
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

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Posted by Cocotheape

Member since Aug 2015

3782 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:50 am to LSU Tigerhead

I feel like they will seed in such a way to prevent this from happening.

Also the 4th SEC team in a 12 team playoff (which may happen once or twice in the first five years…) will be a good team but likely won’t have a talent advantage over tOSU, and would be on par talent wise with Michigan or USC. Not to say they wouldn’t beat those teams, because it happens, but it’s not an inevitability (thinking about a team like 2017 Auburn who could beat anyone on their day, but weren’t at such a talent advantage that they couldn’t be beat)

This post was edited on 1/11/23 at 11:53 am

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Posted by VoxDawg

Glory, Glory

Member since Sep 2012

59524 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 11:54 am to DisplacedBuckeye

quote:
2022:

(9) Kansas State at (8) Tennessee
Winner vs. (1) Georgia

Why would the winner of 8 vs 9 play the #1 seed?

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Posted by mtwasher

Member since Sep 2022

3 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 12:01 pm to LSU Tigerhead

In the real world where participation trophies do not exist, we would see a B10 and SEC "centric" championship, with play-in rounds comprised of all the other 12 or 16 "participation" teams. It would look like this...top 2 from SEC/B10 are automatic bids. The rest of the participation trophy schools comprise, let's say, the next 8 (or 12). They play-in to determine seeds 3 and 4. Then championship game is played. The caveat would be that other B10 and SEC schools could be included in the next 8 (or 12).

or...

Just let the SEC and B10 determine their champion each year and let the others who want a participation trophy to have a tournament to determine a champion to play the SEC/B10 champ.

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Posted by BhamTigah

Lurker since Jan 2003

Member since Jan 2007

14094 posts

Posted on 1/11/23 at 12:03 pm to DisplacedBuckeye

quote:
Well, it wouldn't have happened in the nine years we've had the playoff so far...

As the conference sits currently. However, we are adding 2 teams:

2020:

(12) Coastal Carolina at (5) Notre Dame
Winner vs. (4) Oklahoma

(11) Indiana at (6) Texas A&M
Winner vs. (3) Ohio State

(10) Iowa State at (7) Florida
winner vs. (2) Clemson

(9) Georgia at (8) Cincinnati
Winner vs. (1) Alabama

Granted Oklahoma/Texas added to the conference would have changed the regular season rankings.

I agree it is a very long shot and the committee would seed against it, but it would have been possible here.

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