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Alabama Football Net Yards per Play in the Saban Era

Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:03 am
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:03 am
Below are Saban's teams ranked in order of Net Yards/Play:

**Note: Previous seasons are full season statistics while 2021 is just a partial season.

1. 2011: +3.14
2. 2019: +3.08
3. 2018: +2.87
4. 2012: +2.77
5. 2020: +2.77
6. 2017: +2.60
7. 2016: +2.48

**NOTE: Six of the seven teams at the top played for a National Title, with the only exception being the 2019 team.

8. 2010: +2.32
9. 2013: +2.32
10. 2009: +1.88
11. 2014: +1.79
12. 2021: +1.78 (so far)
13. 2015: +1.59
14. 2008: +1.22
15. 2007: +0.05

Of the bottom 7 teams prior to this season, only 2 of the 7 played for the National Title (both actually won the title), with 5 falling short of making the title game. This year's team currently sits firmly in this group.

It's worth noting that Bama's schedule typically gets more difficult down the stretch, especially in seasons in which they play in the SEC Championship and possibly a semifinal and national title game. It's likely Bama's net yards/play will fall slightly between now and the end of the season as their schedule gets a bit more difficult.

The 2019 team was statistically the second best team under Saban, however it must be noted that that team never played in an SEC Title Game, a semi-final game, or a National Title game.... 3 games that are likely going to bring those statistics down a bit.

These stats obviously don't mean that this Bama team is incapable of winning a Championship (as proved by the 2009 and 2015 teams), however it does appear that statistically speaking, this is one of the "weaker" (obviously that's a relative term) Saban teams. It will be interesting down the stretch to see if this team goes the way of 2009 and 2015 or the way of 2010 or 2014... seasons that obviously turned out with very different outcomes.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:05 am to
TBF, the 2021 team hasn't played LSU yet. That game against us should give them a bump.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:06 am to
Well, I'm sure those numbers would be a lot better if we had played Vandy, USC, and Mizzou.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52632 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:07 am to
Yes, it will be interesting to see for sure.

I expect the Arky and AU games to be very tight.
Posted by mckibaj
Member since Nov 2010
7728 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:11 am to
It’s amazing the difference from the start of the 2016 year and on. Must have been a coaching change after the 2015 season.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:12 am to
While I don't think this offense is poor by any means, it is certainly going through some growing pains.

In recent years the lackluster play of the defense has been overshadowed by the dominance of the offense.

This year we needed the opposite to be true in the first part of the season, and it hasn't happened. (In fact, I would venture that the defense has maybe even hurt the offense in some respects. ##)

I say all of this keeping in mind that these units are still pretty darn good—they're just not what we've been used to seeing.


## ETA: To further back this up, the 2011 defense is considered among the best ever at Alabama, and yet the offense from that year is first on this list. I think the effectiveness of the two (in the same year) are very much linked.
This post was edited on 10/26/21 at 10:28 am
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52279 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:15 am to
quote:

These stats obviously don't mean that this Bama team is incapable of winning a Championship (as proved by the 2009 and 2015 teams), however it does appear that statistically speaking, this is one of the "weaker" (obviously that's a relative term) Saban teams. It will be interesting down the stretch to see if this team goes the way of 2009 and 2015 or the way of 2010 or 2014... seasons that obviously turned out with very different outcomes.


2010 was arguably the most talented Alabama team of the Saban era, and 2014 they still made the playoff.

Saying this is one of the weaker Saban teams probably still means the floor is a CFP appearance.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:21 am to
quote:

2010 was arguably the most talented Alabama team of the Saban era

Agreed, or it was at least relative to that particular era of football.

The fact that they lost three games continues to be one of the strangest things in Saban's tenure, IMO.
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15369 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:27 am to
Thank you for your interest in our program
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:27 am to
Yep, this team isn't dominant. Their only path to a national title is 2015 type improvement as the year goes on. Jury is definitely still out there.

It is something to note that we are #3 nationally is Net Available Yards (#1 UGA, #2 OSU).
This post was edited on 10/26/21 at 10:33 am
Posted by DP4Tide
Member since Aug 2021
1113 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:37 am to
5. 2020: +2.77 averaged 48 ppg

12. 2021: +1.78 (so far) 45 ppg
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37585 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Well, I'm sure those numbers would be a lot better if we had played Vandy, USC, and Mizzou.





I remember when this tard OP had his model that tried to prove-up Bama didn't play as many ranked teams, even though those teams sank like a stone after they got wrecked by Bama.
Posted by BLG
Georgia
Member since Mar 2018
7131 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:51 am to
So that is net yards computing offense and defense? Then that's an easy answer. The defense pretty much has sucked so far. Thankfully the offense is good enough to win most games. I like our chances the rest of the season, including the title game.
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
10341 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:51 am to
I'd be interested to see where the 2020 team was this time last season. They'd played 5 games and given up 19, 24, 48, 24, and 17 points. Then a light came on defensively and the final 5 regular season teams scored 0, 3, 13, 17, and 3. Not saying anything like that will happen this season but I suspect the midseason net yards/play last year was similar to what it is now.
Posted by Herman Frisco
Bon Secour
Member since Sep 2008
17255 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:54 am to
How did they do against UGA?
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6260 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 10:57 am to
How did all those Alabama teams do against Georgia? Looks like 6-1? Is that correct?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 11:05 am to
quote:

I'd be interested to see where the 2020 team was this time last season. They'd played 5 games and given up 19, 24, 48, 24, and 17 points. Then a light came on defensively and the final 5 regular season teams scored 0, 3, 13, 17, and 3. Not saying anything like that will happen this season but I suspect the midseason net yards/play last year was similar to what it is now.


2020 Alabama as of 10/26 was +2.40

vs Power 5 teams our defense to date has been significantly better than 2020 at this point

YPP Allowed through 10/26 vs P5
2020 : 5.79 YPP
2021 : 5.27 YPP
DIFF : -0.51 YPP

On the flip side, the offense is much less explosive

YPP through 10/26 vs P5
2020 : 8.18 YPP
2021 : 6.37 YPP
DIFF : -1.82 YPP
This post was edited on 10/26/21 at 11:09 am
Posted by LoneMDG
Birmingham
Member since Nov 2009
2747 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 11:14 am to
I'll add in that (so far) this year's Alabama's offense is the first since 2017 to be under 500 ypg, and is about 1 yard shorter per play (6.78 ypp compared to 7.81/7.89/7.76).

The Defense (so far) is also the "best" in terms of YPG average, since that same 2017 year (308 vs 352/324/319). But on a yard per play scale, this year's the same as last years, and not as good as 2018 or 2019.

Alabama is somehow 2nd in the conference in total defensive yards, but the gulf between Georgia and Alabama, is the same between Alabama and 11th place LSU (208 yards to 308 yards to 408 yards)

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