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re: 247's Josh Pate with a hot take on a potential 8-team College Football Playoff

Posted on 3/10/21 at 10:30 am to
Posted by Nitro Express
Gulf Coast
Member since Jul 2018
16117 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 10:30 am to
quote:

The best “little guys” perform just as well if not better than the #5-8 P5 teams


They do? For example, I know UGA just won a close one in a consolation game that didn't matter to them against Cincinnati. You're telling me Cincinnati is just as good or effective in a playoff scenario as UGA? In a game that matters to both teams having the same motivation and focus? So the AAC #1 is = to the SEC #2?

If that's what you're saying then I couldn't disagree more.

***Put A&M, UF (with their starters playing), or whomever in the place of UGA if you like.
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17273 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Truth be told, I'd favor a return to the college football we knew and loved pre-BCS before I'd favor playoff expansion.
This is the correct take.

Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58902 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Winning your conference should mean something.




It SHOULD. but what does winning the PAC 12 really mean? They are all terrible. You leave out better teams when you automatically include conference winners.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32784 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Players on teams in the top 4 aren’t going to skip a playoff game, but players on the 5-8 teams, most of which are going to be cannon fodder, may feel differently.


Highly doubtful. A playoff opportunity is a big deal.
Posted by TrendingRight
Mentone
Member since Jul 2017
619 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 2:19 pm to
Expanding the Playoffs would only ensure the top tier teams will ALWAYS get into the playoffs even when they lose late in the season.

This is a worthwhile discussion. And there is a solution out there - we haven't found it yet.

IMO Division 1 should be reorganized and limited to approximately 64 teams. Many of the 125 teams claiming to be Division 1 are not - they just want to claim they are. Are FIU, East Carolina, Liberty, and Ball State really Division 1 teams? Of course not. They (and a bunch more) shouldn't be pretending they are. Whittling D1 down to 64 teams will make the weaker D1 teams more attractive and help them recruit better talent. From there it will take conference reorganization. It's a long tough road to save college football and Payola is going to make it even tougher.
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
20300 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

dhuck20


I think the only reasonable outcome that preserves the competition in college football is allowing some of the guys who have no business even going to college football the option to go straight to the League.


Posted by BurgTiger
Member since Feb 2014
2763 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 4:10 pm to
8 teams does matter because every extra game Ohio State, Bama, Clemson has to play is a greater chance they lose which is good for the sport. Parity is great for the game. The top 2ish teams in college football have so much more talent but if they are negative 2 in turnovers against the next tier they can be upset.
Posted by TheeRealCarolina
Member since Aug 2018
17925 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

Winning your conference should mean something.



You get to print the t-shirts, what else do you want in a post 1980 world?
This post was edited on 3/10/21 at 5:11 pm
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66343 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 5:16 pm to
What I frel Like the CFP and the BCS have going for them is that no one seems to win by accident.

You had to be pretty ducking good to get there or beat a really good teams

An 8 Team Playoff I think your hoping for a pure entertainment factor of more games and a little chaos. Can an at large team get hot at the right time?
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32784 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

An 8 Team Playoff I think your hoping for a pure entertainment factor of more games and a little chaos. Can an at large team get hot at the right time?


Yes, uga 2007 proves so, and reducing opt outs improves the post season so much.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66343 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Yes, uga 2007 proves so, and reducing opt outs improves the post season so much.


They at least would have had a chance to in an 8 team playoff.

I know upsets are the way to go, but I personally like seeing the best teams play for it all. The best team in the country losing to a 16 seed is fun for a game and then you get to see like 4 seed make the final four. I know I am in the vast minority here.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66343 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Winning your conference should mean something.
and more than that, it makes late season games in shitty conferences more exciting.

Not to mention it automatically makes conference championships de facto in games
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32784 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

They at least would have had a chance to in an 8 team playoff.

I know upsets are the way to go, but I personally like seeing the best teams play for it all. The best team in the country losing to a 16 seed is fun for a game and then you get to see like 4 seed make the final four. I know I am in the vast minority here.



A win by a team like uga 2007 wouldn’t really be an upset.
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Make the playoff as big or small as you want -- unless rivalries, conference titles, just having a good record or bowls are considered important, college football will be on the decline.

It’s a sport too stacked at the top for it to be healthy to only focus on the national title.

Advocates of an 8-team CFP w/automatic bids for P5 conference champs and a G5 push false narratives that it'll improve CFB and fan interest. But their very flawed CFP model not only makes it likely that some of the best FBS teams will be excluded from the CFP, it'll also reduce CFB's #1 appeal -- what CFB needs more of -- competitive regular season games that matter.

How to expand CFP opportunities and get more competitive & appealing regular season games:

FBS CFP - top 6 teams per committee rankings: No auto-bids. Rnd-1: #6@#3, #5@#4, #1/#2 bye. Rnd-2: R1 winners vs #1/#2. Final 1st Sat in Jan.

A top-6 CFP allows all 5 P5 conf champs & a G5 to get in and has key advantages over an 8-team with 6 auto-bids. Auto-bids for P5 conf-champs discourage scheduling good out-of-conf teams. The top-6 model with round-1 byes for #1 & #2 and home-fields for #3 & #4 encourages it -- in order to achieve higher seeding. Also, #8 at #1 and #7 at #2 games would probably be routs. Worst of all, 6 of 8 as auto-bids would result in undeserving multi-loss conf champs getting in over 1-loss non-champs with better resumés.

FBS scheduling criteria - to qualify for the CFP:
• 12 games in Sep-Nov; CCGs 1st Fri-Sat in Dec.
• P5 must schedule 9 in-conf, 1 other P5, 0 FCS.
• G5 must schedule 8 in-conf, 3 to 4 P5s, 0 FCS.

CFP expansion to 6 teams, with the criteria that G5s must schedule 3-4 P5s to qualify, will give G5s a viable means to achieve a top-6 ranking. Since P5s can & will schedule a couple of G5s, good G5s like Memphis, ULL or CCU aspiring to reach the top-6 can find 3-4 good P5s seeking a quality G5 opponent to strengthen their resumé. Teams without CFP expectations don't have to schedule out-of-conf P5s; instead they can aim for bowl eligibility.

Conf realignment to bolster rivalries & balance: 14 teams in each P5 conf & 12 in each G5 conf.
-- P5 conf cross-div: 1 fixed; 6 rotate in 2 slots.
-- G5 conf cross-div: 0 fixed; 6 rotate in 3 slots.
6 G5 (UCF, Cin, Houston, SMU, Boise, SDS) move to P5, likely enabling better hiring and recruiting.
2 small private schools Vandy & Wake go to G5. Conf TV revenue split equally among its teams; Big12 lost Neb, Col, ATM & Miz due to unequal.

Division 1A (FBS P5) = 70 teams:
(moves underlined; cross-div rivals paired)

ACC (14) - Atlantic
N: BC, Syr, Pitt, WVU, VT, VA, MD
S: Mia, DU, NC, NCS, CL, SC, UCF

B1G (14) - Northern
E: UM, MS, Ind, Cin, OSU, PSU, Rtg
W: ND, NW, Pur, Illn, Iowa, Wis, MN

B12 (14) - Central
N: OU, OSt, Neb, Miz, Kan, KSt, ISU
S: Tex, Bay, Col, Hou, SMU, TT, TCU

PAC (14) - Pacific
N: OR, BYU, UT, OS, WA, WS, Boise
S: SC, Ucla, AS, AZ, Stn, Cal, SDSt

SEC (14) - Southeastern
E : TN, GA, FLA, FSU, UK, Lou, GT
W: UA, AU, LSU, aTm, AR, OM, MS

Bama's out-of-conf & cross-div rotations:
9th SEC replaces FCS; 6 SEC-West games
in 2nd half of season; 7 homes & 5 aways.
'22: vs G5, vs P5, vs G5; at UK, vs FS, at TN
'23: vs G5, at P5, vs G5; vs UL, at Ga, vs TN
'24: vs G5, vs P5, vs G5; at GT, vs UF, at TN
'25: vs G5, at P5, vs G5; vs UK, at FS, vs TN
'26: vs G5, vs P5, vs G5; at UL, vs Ga, at TN
'27: vs G5, at P5, vs G5; vs GT, at UF, vs TN

Consistent schedule grids for all conferences (with 1 bye occurring only after game 6 or 7) would simplify in- and out-of-conf scheduling.

Division 1B (FBS G5) = 60 teams:
(moves underlined)

AAC (12) - Eastern
N: Tem, Mass, Con, Army, Navy, Lib
S: Mrsh, Chrlt, ECU, Appn, CCU, WF

CUSA (12) - Mid South
E: Mem, ArSt, ULL, ULM, LaTch, Tuln
W: Tuls, UNT, TxSt, Rice, UTSA, UTEP

MAC (12) - Northern
E: Buf, Kent, M-OH, OH, Akrn, BGS
W: Ball, Tol, WMU, EMU, CMU, NIU

MWC (12) - Western
S: Haw, NMS, NM, FrSt, SJS, UNLV
N: Nev, UTSt, AFA, CSU, Wyo, IDSt

Sun Belt (12) - Southeast
E: GaSt, GaSo, Troy, USF, FAU, FIU
W: WKy, USM, USA, UAB, Van, MTS

Pitt, WV, VT, VA, MD and NC schools, along with SC and UCF, are regional rivals that belong in the ACC. Miz, Neb, Col, Hou and SMU belong in the Big12. ND and Cincy belong in the B1G. Boise, BYU and SDS belong in the PAC. FSU, Louisville and GT are better fits in the SEC-E than Miz, SC and Vandy. It appears all realigned conferences, including regional G5, would gain net increases in TV ratings and attendance. Perhaps ESPN could also provide G5 conference TV networks.

There are good reasons smart people chose a Top-4 CFP model. The Top-6 CFP model above supports those same good reasons even better. It enables all 5 P5 conf champs and a G5 conf champ to earn a top-6 ranking. And it inherently encourages teams to enhance their resumés by scheduling good out-of-conf teams.

CFP expansion to 6 teams, benefits/incentives for higher seedings, scheduling criteria, and conference realigment will produce schedules with more competitive games that will improve clarity of the true top 6. The regular season will become a better "de facto playoff" filled with more appealing games that matter. TV ratings and attendance should improve significantly.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26645 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 10:32 pm to
There’s rarely a fourth team, never a fifth team or beyond.

Eight teams is a joke.
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
15331 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 10:52 pm to
He can say what he wants but a 4 team playoff ain’t doing it. I would rather have 8 teams and the illusion of parity (and also have conference championships be worth something) than have only the same select few teams have a shot every single year. 4 team playoff has done a lot of damage to college football already and as someone said earlier it very well may have killed the sport.

And while leaving the playoff system definitely has some merits there is no way the sport would ever go back. That money ship has sailed.
This post was edited on 3/10/21 at 10:55 pm
Posted by 5Wide
Member since Jun 2013
1918 posts
Posted on 3/10/21 at 11:31 pm to
quote:

Minority opinion today that will be majority opinion in 2030:

The BCS era was healthier for College Football than an 8-team playoff




Posted by TrueLefty
St. Louis County
Member since Oct 2017
14868 posts
Posted on 3/11/21 at 2:06 am to
quote:

He can say what he wants but a 4 team playoff ain’t doing it. I would rather have 8 teams and the illusion of parity (and also have conference championships be worth something) than have only the same select few teams have a shot every single year. 4 team playoff has done a lot of damage to college football already and as someone said earlier it very well may have killed the sport.

And while leaving the playoff system definitely has some merits there is no way the sport would ever go back. That money ship has sailed.

Are you talking about Red Sox? I think that is one team that is pretty much done for a while due to cheating and it also killed MLB.
Posted by 285exp
Mobile, Al
Member since Jan 2012
191 posts
Posted on 3/11/21 at 6:28 am to
quote:

How to expand CFP opportunities and get more competitive & appealing regular season games:

Any proposal that requires relegating or moving existing long time P5 members to other conferences is DOA and is thus not a serious plan. The SEC isn’t going to kick Vandy, Missouri, or South Carolina out against their will and accept other schools they don’t want. Period.

There’s no point in having a 6 team playoff, if they’re going to expand, go to 8. Why give 2 teams a bye? You’ve already added another level to the playoff and why should the top 2, which you can’t tell me you could reliably choose objectively and without controversy, get such an advantage over the other 4? Right now, the only team that gets any advantage in the seeding is #1 gets to choose the semifinal site, now you want 2 teams to get the advantage of playing one less game?

Somebody put a whole lot of effort into a system that has no chance of ever being implemented.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
5508 posts
Posted on 3/11/21 at 7:13 am to
quote:

It’s a sport too stacked at the top for it to be healthy to only focus on the national title.


I agree. Now tell Nick to retire.
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