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2019 proves 4 teams are enough in CFP

Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:41 am
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:41 am
Any team in the hypothetical 5th-8th spots would have been cannon fodder for the top 3. Since the formation of the playoff, the correct 4 teams have been selected and the best team has won. The fact that we have 5 conferences vying for 4 spots means that no one can just cruise through a season on autopilot and adds some excitement to the last few weeks of the season/Championship week.

They do need to shorten the gap between the Semis and the Final, and play the game on a Saturday night. Other than that, I think we have a system that has been proven to work.

Discuss.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171035 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:

The fact that we have 5 conferences vying for 4 spots means that no one can just cruise through a season on autopilot


Clemson does it every year.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24436 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Any team in the hypothetical 5th-8th spots would have been cannon fodder for the top 3


Agreed. 4 of the last 8 semifinal games have had a spread of 12 or more. Why should we expand? 9-3 teams would get in occasionally.
This post was edited on 1/15/20 at 9:56 am
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:51 am to
quote:

2019 proves 4 teams are enough in CFP


Well this statement is false, but the conclusion is accurate. One year does not a proving point make... but on the whole, it's rare for there to be more than 2-3 deserving teams for a natty anyways. Think back to the BCS era even... how often was there really a 4th or 5th place team where you said, "yeah they really deserved a shot". It was almost always 2 + 1?...

Expanding the playoffs to 8 would be a huge mistake. Expanding to 6 would be "acceptable" as sort of a play-in for those final 2 spots, but realistically is pretty unnecessary.
Posted by Forty Arpent
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2014
634 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 9:53 am to
I like 4 but I think they should use the BCS formula to determine the top 4 and the correct order.
Posted by 20 ton
BR
Member since Aug 2013
795 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:10 am to
There have been many years where there was a thirds team in the conversation. I can’t think of many years I was concerned about the forth team missing out. I don’t like byes because it is too big of an advantage in this very physical sport. Four teams and retaining the conference championships is great.

I always thought the 2001 team could have beat anyone at the end of the season, though the early losses may have kept them out of the four.
Posted by BearBait09
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
2307 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:18 am to
don't agree at all. I want the right team to win the title, and I dont want that to not happen simply because a room of 13 old suits made a mistake. This year worked out well, but the committee was going to put in Utah until the last week of the year when we finally found out they were a fraud. Even after the semifinals its not clear if Oklahoma or Oregon was actually the 4th best team, possibly even Wisconsin.

The long gap was due to the calendar, I dont really think its worth complaining about. I will agree, Im all for a Saturday night game though. The NFL can move up their Saturday playoff kickoffs to accommodate.
Posted by PeeJayScammedGT
Kennesaw, GA
Member since Oct 2019
2148 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

don't agree at all. I want the right team to win the title, and I dont want that to not happen simply because a room of 13 old suits made a mistake. This year worked out well, but the committee was going to put in Utah until the last week of the year when we finally found out they were a fraud. Even after the semifinals its not clear if Oklahoma or Oregon was actually the 4th best team, possibly even Wisconsin.

The long gap was due to the calendar, I dont really think its worth complaining about. I will agree, Im all for a Saturday night game though. The NFL can move up their Saturday playoff kickoffs to accommodate

That will never happen

TV Ad Rates for Monday Nite Prime Time are much higher per 30 second Ad than the cost for a 30 second Ad on a Saturday nite which is the cheapest time slots that TV has to offer

Are you allergic to maximizing profit

You wanna move it Sat nite, then demand that all those Welfare Sports generate their own Money to at least a break-even level and then you can think about playing the CFP-CG on a Saturday night

I already know about the SB, but SB Sunday has been a long standing tradition and is the exception to the rule, in fact most Americans consider SB Sunday an American Holiday
This post was edited on 1/15/20 at 10:38 am
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:32 am to
Nope. It's the opposite.
Posted by PeeJayScammedGT
Kennesaw, GA
Member since Oct 2019
2148 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:36 am to
Explain

Tell me the real reason it's played on a Monday night
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44048 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:41 am to
quote:

they should use the BCS formula

You mean using the Harris Interactive Poll and the USA Today Coaches Poll to determine seeding?
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22151 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:43 am to
quote:

don't agree at all. I want the right team to win the title, and I dont want that to not happen simply because a room of 13 old suits made a mistake. This year worked out well, but the committee was going to put in Utah until the last week of the year when we finally found out they were a fraud. Even after the semifinals its not clear if Oklahoma or Oregon was actually the 4th best team, possibly even Wisconsin.


That's just because this year there was the top 3 teams and then everyone else. It didn't matter what team you put at 4, the results would have been the same. It's not like Oregon, Utah, Wisconsin, UGA, or even Bama really had a shot at winning the title.

I can't think of any year where a team that was left out of the CFP would have had a legitimate shot at winning it. That's not to say that it won't happen....just that it hasn't yet.
Posted by SadUCFKnight
Member since Jun 2008
2620 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 10:47 am to
Good thing upsets never happen in the NFL, MLB, Omaha, Big Dance etc lol.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

There have been many years where there was a thirds team in the conversation. I can’t think of many years I was concerned about the forth team missing out. I don’t like byes because it is too big of an advantage in this very physical sport. Four teams and retaining the conference championships is great.


Like I said. expanding isn't necessary... If you do it, 6 would be "acceptable" in that typically the top 2 teams *are* deserving of an advantage. If you're in the 3-6 spots and you want a Natty, go grind out the extra game.. 8 would most likely give us 3 bad football games and possibly 1 extra good one.
Posted by Rip N Lip
What does my VPN say?
Member since Jul 2019
5227 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 11:36 am to
The CFP Chairman is on record this past week stating flatly that there are six years left on the current contract, and they are "not in a hurry" to change the format.

The article is behind a pay wall on The Athletic. I refuse to link paid content.

ETA: They need to keep the committee but add in the BCS formula and weight both equally. This allows for more input in the process, and would do a much better job of setting the NY6 bowls. The Committee has put the Best 4 in the playoffs every time, but they suck beyond that.
This post was edited on 1/15/20 at 11:47 am
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
34448 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 11:40 am to
I like the Monday night game. If anything it keeps the game in the spotlight. If it were on Saturday night, we’d be done talking about it by Sunday morning and on to the NFL.

It was a long gap though.
Posted by Forty Arpent
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2014
634 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 11:45 am to
quote:

quote:
they should use the BCS formula

You mean using the Harris Interactive Poll and the USA Today Coaches Poll to determine seeding?


Some agreed upon metric using computers, or maybe a composite using the AP, BCS, coaches poll and whatever else seems reasonable. As long as it's not some panel of 13 people who can change criteria with no explanation or logic.
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44048 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

As long as it's not some panel of...people who can change criteria with no explanation or logic.


That's pretty much what the BCS was.
Posted by Forty Arpent
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2014
634 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

quote:
As long as it's not some panel of...people who can change criteria with no explanation or logic.

That's pretty much what the BCS was.


BCS
Harris - 105 voters +
Coaches - 62 voters +
Six computer rankings

This is nowhere near the arbitrary logic of 13 people.

On top of the original BCS, I would throw in the AP poll to compile the formula for determining the 4 playoff contenders and their seedings.
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
4557 posts
Posted on 1/15/20 at 12:36 pm to
Agreed. Although I disagree with the cannon fodder metaphor. Its not just unnecessary its detrimental. It could cause injuries to key players on the best teams and will definitely hurt the bowls.
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