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Bama favored over vols by 8.5

Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:24 am
Posted by theballguy
Bama Park
Member since Oct 2011
27482 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:24 am
Does that seem high to you?

Seems about right to me. Maybe even a little more.

Bama fans or vol fans ... any concerns about this game?

My only concern is that Bama might be too comfortable at home but I really don't see that happening. Bama probably wins by a couple of scores.
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
20138 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:26 am to
It was - 11.5 last Saturday.
Posted by Frog Hide
Member since Oct 2025
712 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:29 am to
Two words: Tim Banks

Should be 18.5
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
70857 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Does that seem high to you?

Honestly yes. I think this game will be a shootout TBH. Neither team has been very impressive on defense but Tennessee def knows how to score points

What's kind of wild is Tennessee leads the SEC in sacks, is 2nd in TFLs, and is 2nd in turnovers forced yet second to last in scoring defense. Don't typically see those stats together
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
21562 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Two words: Tim Banks

Should be 18.5


It should be more than that because of the Willie Martinez factor. I've never understood how he can keep working out there...but he's like a dog turd in a boot tread. He's hard to get rid of.
Posted by Frog Hide
Member since Oct 2025
712 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:33 am to
quote:

It should be more than that because of the Willie Martinez factor. I've never understood how he can keep working out there...but he's like a dog turd in a boot tread. He's hard to get rid of.

I don't get it either.

It's like Josh Heupel and Danny White are the only two people who don't see it.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
61175 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:34 am to
Here’s where we find out if Tennessee is real or not
Posted by Lieutenant Dan
Euthanasia, USA
Member since Jan 2009
8329 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:36 am to
It depends on Miller. Primarily his blitz pick up.

If he was 100%, I'd have less concerns.

Posted by Night Vision
Member since Feb 2018
18263 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:39 am to
Sagarin SOS

BAMA - #2
10rc - #46
Posted by NWLA_Bama
Member since Aug 2024
1194 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:39 am to
That's high but it will come down the closer we get to the game. I expect it to be a high scoring game.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
50324 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:40 am to
Seems a bit high as Alabama has struggled a bit finishing drives into points lately.

Plus Tennessee has a really good pass rush, which Alabama o line struggled with pass protections last week against Missouri
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34065 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:41 am to
Well, I figure it's due to the following reasons:

1. It's a home game for Alabama
2. Tennessee has the worst pass defense in the conference and yet has played the third weakest schedule in the conference. Ty Simpson is looking like a potential Heisman invitee and the Alabama WR corps is probably the best in the conference
3. Tennessee's offense is really good, but the numbers have come against the 127th, 128th, and 122nd ranked defense along with an FCS school. They scored a lot of points against UGA and MSU (26th and 46th respectively) but also threw four interceptions in those two games. Alabama's defense is ranked 18th.


Am I comfortable with this game? I don't think I'm comfortable with ANY game we play, except for the game against Eastern Illinois for our scrub game. The way this team plays just enough to win will keep me on my toes for the rest of the season I presume.

But it does appear to be Alabama's strength (passing) vs Tennessee's weakness (pass defense). Not to mention that as rough as our games have been, Tennessee has had two OT games in a row.

Both teams love to give their fans heart attacks.
Posted by Don Quixote
Member since May 2023
3928 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:43 am to
It opened at 11.5 I thought "no way" but 8.5 might be about right

I think that O/U is more interesting in this one and could be a bit low at 58.5
Posted by QBUMizzou
North of the Mason Dixon line
Member since Nov 2013
316 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:48 am to
Bama fans declared Mizzou is a crappy team even though the line against us was 3.5 and we lost by three. Tennessee must be horrible.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7205 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:48 am to
Bama has been winning without even running the ball well and they will probably be able to run it well against us. They are at home. If I were a neutral observer I would be thinking this game should be at least Bama -7 so seems almost right to me.
Posted by SouthernInsanity
Shadows of Death Valley
Member since Nov 2012
24630 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Does that seem high to you?


bama fans have already claimed the national championship and deboar as the next GOAT.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
8965 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:02 am to
Yes, it seems high to me but I thought the Missouri game wasn't going to be as close as it was.

In the end, most Bammers will be happy if the Tide is one point ahead when clock runs out.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
21562 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Tennessee has the worst pass defense in the conference and yet has played the third weakest schedule in the conference.



Good point. Who have they played, and how good is their passing game (national rankings)?

Syracuse - #6 nationally averaging 320.7 passing yards per game and 7.63 yards per attempt. Against Tennessee they had 274 passing yards and averaged 6.9 yards per attempt. Big numbers, but below what they've averaged over the course of the season for both.

ETSU (FCS) - Averaging 219 passing yards per game and 7.03 yards per attempt. ETSU had 167 passing yards and averaged 5.4 yards per attempt (both below their season average). Most UT defensive starters were pulled at or before the end of the fist half when UT had a 48-7 point lead.

Georgia - #66 Nationally averaging 229 yards per game and 7.44 yards per attempt. Georgia had 304 yards and 9.5 yards per attempt. Georgia was significantly above their average for the season.

UAB - #16 Nationally, averaging 300 yards per game and 7.66 yards per attempt. UAB had 371 yards passing and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Above their average for the season in yardage, but below their average yards per attempt. They threw the ball 52 times.

Mississippi State - #89 Nationally, averaging 211 yards per game and 8.12 yards per attempt. MSU had 175 passing yards and averaged 6.0 yards per attempt (both below their season average).

Arkansas - #18 Nationally, averaging 293 yards per game and 8.93 yards per attempt. Arkansas had 256 passing yards and averaged 8.3 yards per attempt (both below their season average).

I do think it is a bad matchup for Tennessee defensively...but I also think that the perception of "schedule weakness" doesn't account for Syracuse or UAB's passing offense. They aren't great teams...but they are very good passing offenses.
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
31622 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:11 am to
I don't like this line at all.
Posted by PeleofAnalytics
Member since Jun 2021
4782 posts
Posted on 10/14/25 at 10:13 am to
quote:

What's kind of wild is Tennessee leads the SEC in sacks, is 2nd in TFLs, and is 2nd in turnovers forced yet second to last in scoring defense. Don't typically see those stats together

Sounds like a lot of guys are going for sacks and picks at the expense of their assignment.
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