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Basketball Advanced Stats : How does this team compare to the last 2?
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:38 pm
We are 10 games in and KenPom stats are starting to have enough data to show some trends. Interesting to compare this team to the last 2 to see where we are different per the stats and see how it lines up with what our eyes have been telling us.
FYI - there are 351 D1 basketball teams in 2016, 2017 & 2018, so all of these are out of 351 teams.
Overall Rating
2016 - #96
2017 - #56
2018 - #39
Adjusted Tempo
2016 - #322
2017 - #302
2018 - #69
Average Offensive Possession Length
2016 - #320
2017 - #301
2018 - #19
Adjusted Offense
2016 - #164
2017 - #152
2018 - #59
Adjusted Defense
2016 - #48
2017 - #10
2018 - #23
eFG% (Where field goal percentage (FG%) measures the ratio of field goals made to field goal attempts (regardless of the value of the basket), eFG% adjusts to compensate for the extra value (as well as extra difficulty) of 3 point shots.)
2016 - #322
2017 - #302
2018 - #69
2P%
2016 - #179
2017 - #199
2018 - #65
3P%
2016 - #208
2017 - #312
2018 - #78
Free Throw Rate (ratio of foul shots to field goal attempts, expressed as FTA/FGA)
2016 - #78
2017 - #75
2018 - #5
Free Throw %
2016 - #332
2017 - #320
2018 - #303
Assist Ratio %
2016 - #292
2017 - #270
2018 - #196
Turnover %
2016 - #288
2017 - #299
2018 - #197
Offensive Rebound %
2016 - #220
2017 - #38
2018 - #172
My biggest takeaways are that we aren't as bad with turnovers as my eyes told me. My guess is because we have so many more possessions. Rebounding is down from last year as expected. Free throws are awful. Everything seems to line up pretty much. Overall shooting and defensive numbers are probably better than I expected.
FYI - there are 351 D1 basketball teams in 2016, 2017 & 2018, so all of these are out of 351 teams.
Overall Rating
2016 - #96
2017 - #56
2018 - #39
Adjusted Tempo
2016 - #322
2017 - #302
2018 - #69
Average Offensive Possession Length
2016 - #320
2017 - #301
2018 - #19
Adjusted Offense
2016 - #164
2017 - #152
2018 - #59
Adjusted Defense
2016 - #48
2017 - #10
2018 - #23
eFG% (Where field goal percentage (FG%) measures the ratio of field goals made to field goal attempts (regardless of the value of the basket), eFG% adjusts to compensate for the extra value (as well as extra difficulty) of 3 point shots.)
2016 - #322
2017 - #302
2018 - #69
2P%
2016 - #179
2017 - #199
2018 - #65
3P%
2016 - #208
2017 - #312
2018 - #78
Free Throw Rate (ratio of foul shots to field goal attempts, expressed as FTA/FGA)
2016 - #78
2017 - #75
2018 - #5
Free Throw %
2016 - #332
2017 - #320
2018 - #303
Assist Ratio %
2016 - #292
2017 - #270
2018 - #196
Turnover %
2016 - #288
2017 - #299
2018 - #197
Offensive Rebound %
2016 - #220
2017 - #38
2018 - #172
My biggest takeaways are that we aren't as bad with turnovers as my eyes told me. My guess is because we have so many more possessions. Rebounding is down from last year as expected. Free throws are awful. Everything seems to line up pretty much. Overall shooting and defensive numbers are probably better than I expected.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 3:01 pm
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Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:41 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Those damn FT's
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:44 pm to phaz
quote:
Those damn FT's
I think the saddest thing is we've gotten better each year at it and we are still in the 300's
I'd love to see some sort of analysis of where we'd rank overall and in offense is we made 70% of our FTs (that would rank around 200th).
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 2:46 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Great job! Appreciate the info, sorry the 1st comment was a negative, but I agree, would love to see the difference with a little improvement. If we are to make a run in the tournament FT's have to improve the way we get fouled going to the basket.
Hopefully Key improves the rebounding.
Hopefully Key improves the rebounding.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 2:52 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:56 pm to phaz
nice work 
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:57 pm to SummerOfGeorge
So, slightly better overall. Playing faster on offense. Instead of a bubble team, we're somewhere around a 10 seed. In, is in. But I'm hoping we get into at least the top 30 or so. We have the schedule opportunity.
Posted on 12/14/17 at 2:59 pm to phaz
quote:
Great job! Appreciate the info, sorry the 1st comment was a negative, but I agree, would love to see the difference with a little improvement. If we are to make a run in the tournament FT's have to improve the way we get fouled going to the basket.
No need for sorries, I totally agree. It's frustrating as heck, especially with how much we get to the line.
Collin is already climbing back up to around 80-85%, and he takes the most free throws, so at least we have that. Dazon HAS to shoot 70-75%. He is way too good at getting to the line to shoot 66%. But, at some point, that just is who he is I guess.
This post was edited on 12/14/17 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 12/14/17 at 3:40 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Nice. Some promising offensive improvement shown here for sure.
However - just how is it possible to be this fricking bad at free throws for three years straight? What is going on here?
Seriously, whatever the coaching staff is doing regarding free throws they need to stop and do the exact opposite.
However - just how is it possible to be this fricking bad at free throws for three years straight? What is going on here?
quote:
Free Throw %
2016 - #332
2017 - #320
2018 - #303
Seriously, whatever the coaching staff is doing regarding free throws they need to stop and do the exact opposite.
Posted on 12/15/17 at 1:27 am to SummerOfGeorge
I really do think schaffer should have a legitimate role on the team. Dude can flat out score. Is he a liability on defense? Yes, but it's worth it considering he can shoot and isn't a bad shooter. He can pass pretty well also
Posted on 12/15/17 at 2:52 am to Kcstills17
We need that 1 white 3 point specialist that can can come in and knock down a few per game.
Posted on 12/15/17 at 7:25 am to JordonfortheJ
quote:
We need that 1 white 3 point specialist that can can come in and knock down a few per game.
This post was edited on 12/15/17 at 7:27 am
Posted on 12/15/17 at 8:28 am to elposter
I'd like to think that those horrible FT games early are still dragging our average down. Our average will continue to climb as long as we don't have any more total clunker games.
This post was edited on 12/15/17 at 8:29 am
Posted on 12/15/17 at 9:09 am to Teague
quote:
I'd like to think that those horrible FT games early are still dragging our average down. Our average will continue to climb as long as we don't have any more total clunker games.
That's a good point. We've been better recently (mainly because Collin has been fouled so much and he basically had 2 terrible games early and is back to his normal 90% self now).
Memphis - 68%
Lipscomb - 38%
Alabama A&M - 53%
UTA - 63%
BYU - 75%
Minnesota - 72%
La Tech - 73%
UCF - 65%
Rhode Island - 62%
Arizona - 86%
So, it's still been hit or miss, but the last few weeks our "bad games" have been 62-63% as opposed to 38%.
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