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#1 Alabama (7-0) vs LSU (3-4) - Prediction/Best Case/Worst Case

Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:33 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:33 am
Accidentally edited this for Arkansas
This post was edited on 12/6/20 at 1:26 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:34 am to
#1 ALABAMA vs LSU

MODEL PREDICTION - WORST CASE
ALABAMA - 41
LSU - 20


Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 399 (6.76 on 59 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 254 (9.06 on 28 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 145 (4.68 on 31 plays)

LSU Total Yards (YPP): 325 (4.16 on 78 plays)
LSU Pass Yards (YPA): 260 (5.31 on 49 plays)
LSU Rush Yards (YPA): 65 (2.23 on 29 plays)


MODEL PREDICTION - BEST CASE
ALABAMA - 63
LSU- 5


Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 601 (9.39 on 64 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 355 (13.66 on 26 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 246 (6.47 on 38 plays)

LSU Total Yards (YPP): 236 (3.53 on 67 plays)
LSU Pass Yards (YPA): 176 (4.40 on 40 plays)
LSU Rush Yards (YPA): 60 (2.23 on 27 plays)
This post was edited on 11/29/20 at 11:36 am
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:37 am to
No mercy. (56-6)
This post was edited on 11/29/20 at 11:42 am
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:39 am to
So, somewhere in the middle. Similar to the Auburn game. 45 or 49-10. Something along those lines.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24439 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Alabama-57
LSU-7


Well at least they finally scored on us in Death Valley

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:41 am to
Their offense is atrocious. They can't run, they can't block and they have 2 true freshmen QBs who are not at all ready to start in the SEC. They have some good receivers but they can't get them the ball either due to confusion or no time.

Their last 4 games.....

- LSU averages 89% of opponents passing yards per attempt averages (almost all of that against South Carolina)

- LSU averages 75% of opponents rushing yards per attempt averages
Posted by Gary Busey
Member since Dec 2014
33277 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:46 am to
quote:

MODEL PREDICTION - NORMAL
ALABAMA - 57
LSU- 7

Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 575 (9.12 on 63 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 359 (10.16 on 27 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 215 (5.25 on 36 plays)

LSU Total Yards (YPP): 270 (3.80 on 71 plays)
LSU Pass Yards (YPA): 209 (4.85 on 43 plays)
LSU Rush Yards (YPA): 61 (2.19 on 28 plays)


Please please please let this come to fruition
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25481 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:52 am to
I want Mac to drop a Bomb TD to DeVonta look over to Ed O right in his face and say “GTWFU”
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:55 am to
My guess at the Vegas initial numbers would be.......

Bama (-31.5), O/U 65

That number will go to 34.5 reaaaaaaaal quick
This post was edited on 11/29/20 at 11:56 am
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25481 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 11:55 am to
I was a little nervous about this game but after watching Finley and that other dude at QB.....LOL


We got a chance to keep our scoreless streak alive
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 12:15 pm to
Alabama's defensive line should feast. A&M owned them all night. I can't wait to see how many sacks, pressures and TFL we get.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Please please please let this come to fruition


I'd take it and be gloriously happy but if you could knock a TD off both sides and make it 52-0, Tigerdroppings might cease to exist.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

I'd take it and be gloriously happy but if you could knock a TD off both sides and make it 52-0, Tigerdroppings might cease to exist.


It's really hard to shut a team out in modern college football, especially in a blowout game..........

But boy that'd be something wouldn't it
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 1:13 pm to
According to Vegas, we are a 25 point favorite to start off with. I predict that the line goes way up if Terrace Marshall is opting out as it looks like he is.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 1:24 pm to
It's already at -26. Now -27.5.

There are definitely going to be some folks who don't want it higher than that because of what happened with LSU/Aggie last night. They are going to be cursing themselves.
This post was edited on 11/29/20 at 1:30 pm
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 1:28 pm to
Our offense is better than A&M. Our defense is basically the same. This isn't the usual Death Valley crowd that we have to deal with either. All signs point to a methodical beat down.
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 1:55 pm to
The line is already 28. LOL. It'll hit -30 by tomorrow. Or at least it should.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 2:36 pm to
damn i'd like to see us drop 70
Posted by Bigfoot67
Member since Mar 2013
2007 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 3:27 pm to
Spare nobody and run that shite up
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44343 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 5:32 pm to
That was because Mond played like arse. Mac won't. If we don't boat race them then an entire season of Auburn luck has gone their way in one game.
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