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Will the SEC West cannibalize itself this year?

Posted on 5/26/15 at 9:54 am
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30816 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 9:54 am
I was curious to see who, possibly, had the toughest schedule this year. Alabama has 9 teams ranked in nearly every preseason top 25 (the entire West division is ranked, plus Tennessee and Georgia from the East, plus Wisconsin).

The next favorite to win the West, Auburn, has a similarly tough road to traverse, with the West and UGA, including a murder's row of Arkansas, Ole Miss, Texas A&M and UGA all in a row. Louisville, while not quite Wisconsin level, is still a tough opener.

I know we talk about the West killing itself, but it really hasn't happened that much (though I suppose one might make the argument that the teams are beaten up by post season, I'm not here to discuss that). Since 2009, the SEC West winner has been playing in the title game or in the title playoffs, so the opportunities were there regardless of the difficulty of the West.

Is this the season that no one escapes without at least two losses? Will an SEC East team make their way through? Will UGA having to play Alabama and Auburn pave the way for another East team to the SECCG, only to continue the East's losing streak (currently at 6)?

A little SECCG trivia (to make a potentially boring thread a *little* more interesting):

There was a point when the SEC West was a miserable 1-6 in the SECCG. Since that point, they have gone 11-5 to take a 12-11 lead in the game.

The East had a 6 game win streak in the 90s; the West currently has a 6 game win streak. Sandwiched between those two streaks is a back and forth between the East and West that never saw either side take more than a 2 game lead (the West was briefly 4-2 during that time frame [1999-2008], only for the East to win two in a row to tie it at 4-4, which the next two games were split by LSU and Florida [2008], ending the "time between the streaks" at 6-6).

If Alabama makes this year's SECCG and Florida does not, they will tie the Gators for the most appearances (10), though they will not surpass them in wins regardless of the outcome (Florida is 7-3; Alabama is currently 5-4).

The average score during the streak is 44 - 21. Aside from the epic 2012 SECCG of Alabama vs Georgia, no team has gotten closer than 17 points (and 3 games decided by 4 or more touchdowns).

Posted by SoberAg
College Station
Member since Oct 2014
1310 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:06 am to
Yes, it's a year to just hope your team eats more than others.
So many question marks for each team, schedules are different but rather balanced, and ANYTHING can happen in the SEC.
Can't wait.
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
70878 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:12 am to
I think the usual suspects surface to the top of the west

Bama will be Bama

LSU will be improved

Arkansas will get brought back down to earth

aTm should have an improved D

AU will be good

OM will have a top 3 D

State will get brought back down to earth

IMO
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22151 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:14 am to
I don't think we will see any team run away with the west this year. I could easily see 3 or 4 teams with 2 losses each. It should be interesting.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54132 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:15 am to
I think it is more likely that the winner of the West has 2 losses than 0 losses.
Posted by sjmabry
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
18494 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:15 am to
This season should be fun and I expect the usual suspects to be at or near the top of the leaderboard all season.
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25159 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:16 am to
Those are some excellent points you made there Skrayper. About the only prediction I am going to make is that it is likely we will see a good team in the West finish with, at best, a very mediocre record and promptly pound sand in their over-matched bowl opponent.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:17 am to
I thought the west was the best division eva last year? It didn't happen then.

I could see a bunch of two loss teams though because the West will be down.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54132 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:19 am to
quote:

I could see a bunch of two loss teams
As long as you guys win the East, it won't matter how many losses the West champ has.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:21 am to
We will, so I guess it won't.
Posted by cardboardboxer
Member since Apr 2012
34330 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:22 am to
I could see no SEC team in the playoffs this year.
Posted by ArmyHogs
Your mom's house
Member since Feb 2012
9238 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:28 am to
Lol. Arkansas fans aren't the ones needing to come back down. Nobody outside of Baton Rouge expects LSU to be any good. Overrated RB, retarded coach, horrible DC, etc.
Posted by EKG
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2010
43962 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:53 am to
quote:

I thought the west was the best division eva last year? It didn't happen then.
.
Literally (one of the few instances where that word applies) no one has a clue.
Drawing random team names from a hat makes as much sense as predicting divisional outcomes; yet some act as though they have insight that others don't.
Upsets, injuries, "fluke" losses/wins, darkhorses who seemingly come outta nowhere ... each happen.
But I enjoy watching folks verbally battle the whole deal.

Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30165 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 10:58 am to
I can't wait!
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44013 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Will the SEC West cannibalize itself this year?

Maybe, I'm hungry.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
78824 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:11 am to
I still don't understand the Auburn hype - and strangely enough, I actually like Auburn.

Don't think anyone in the SECW goes undefeated unfortunately. Too many teams that are fairly equivalent.
Posted by nebraskafaninwi
Member since Mar 2013
2655 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:14 am to
You always have to wait until the games are played to know if there is an elite team, but heading into the season there doesn't appear to be an elite team and this could be the year where an Ole Miss or Arkansas pulls it off to win the conference. Doubtful that will happen though, but if it were to happen, this could be one of those years.
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44013 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:15 am to
quote:

I could see no SEC team in the playoffs this year.

And that would be a travesty.

Suppose a West team with 2 losses wins the SECCG. Are we really okay with not having an SEC team in the playoffs?

I'm still not sure why any SEC fan would've been for a playoff system when they had a team in the championship game 8 years in a row, especially if there is not a conference championship requirement.

It won't take many years of a 2-loss SEC team not making the playoffs to either require conference champions, or expand the field, or both.
Posted by dandan
Member since Nov 2007
4340 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:17 am to
Anything can happen in the West this year. Any of the 7 truly could win the division.

I tend to think Miss St falls back down this year but maybe Prescott can carry them. Also would guess the Aggies still struggle a little because they need another year before their D should be much improved.

I think Arkansas will be solid this year. LSU is highly volatile and it depends on QB play. With good QB play they are in the playoff picture. Bama is Bama and I can't see them falling out of the picture with the talent they have. I am very curious to see what Ole Miss and Auburn do. Both are pretty hyped up right now but everyone cannot do well in the division.

Posted by rantfan
new iberia la
Member since Nov 2012
14110 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:19 am to
Buga going to give fat Bert's wife his own D
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