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Vols - Gators Advanced Stats Matchup (bad mojo is not an advanced stat, FYI)
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:43 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:43 am
TENNESSEE VS FLORIDA (Tennessee by 4.7)
When Tennessee has the ball....
Tennessee Offense Efficiency : 60th
Florida Defense Efficiency : 4th
Tennessee Rush Success : 58th
Florida Rush D Success : 17th
Tennessee Power Success Rate : 62nd
Florida Power D Success Rate : 118th
Tennessee Rushing Stuff Rate : 42nd
Florida D Rushing Stuff Rate : 11th
Tennessee Pass Success : 62nd
Florida Pass D Success : 1st
When Florida has the ball.....
Florida Offense Efficiency : 36th
Tennessee Defense Efficiency : 63rd
Florida Rush Success : 32nd
Tennessee Rush D Success : 79th
Florida Power Success Rate : 26th
Tennessee Power D Success Rate : 45th
Florida Rushing Stuff Rate : 2nd
Tennessee D Rushing Stuff Rate : 33rd
Florida Pass Success : 50th
Tennessee Pass D Success : 47th
Tennessee's offensive is going to have to really figure some stuff out. Florida will abuse Tennessee in pass protection, Florida's DBs are better than Tennessee's WRs in 1-on-1s and Dobbs has not shown the ability to win these sorts of matchups. However, Tennessee could possibly find some running room in the middle if they can figure out how to block against with Hall in the lineup.
Florida's offense vs Tennessee's defense is kind of a crap shoot since most of the key players on both sides that make up these stats aren't playing.
When Tennessee has the ball....
Tennessee Offense Efficiency : 60th
Florida Defense Efficiency : 4th
Tennessee Rush Success : 58th
Florida Rush D Success : 17th
Tennessee Power Success Rate : 62nd
Florida Power D Success Rate : 118th
Tennessee Rushing Stuff Rate : 42nd
Florida D Rushing Stuff Rate : 11th
Tennessee Pass Success : 62nd
Florida Pass D Success : 1st
When Florida has the ball.....
Florida Offense Efficiency : 36th
Tennessee Defense Efficiency : 63rd
Florida Rush Success : 32nd
Tennessee Rush D Success : 79th
Florida Power Success Rate : 26th
Tennessee Power D Success Rate : 45th
Florida Rushing Stuff Rate : 2nd
Tennessee D Rushing Stuff Rate : 33rd
Florida Pass Success : 50th
Tennessee Pass D Success : 47th
Tennessee's offensive is going to have to really figure some stuff out. Florida will abuse Tennessee in pass protection, Florida's DBs are better than Tennessee's WRs in 1-on-1s and Dobbs has not shown the ability to win these sorts of matchups. However, Tennessee could possibly find some running room in the middle if they can figure out how to block against with Hall in the lineup.
Florida's offense vs Tennessee's defense is kind of a crap shoot since most of the key players on both sides that make up these stats aren't playing.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:47 am
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Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:45 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:45 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Florida Rush D Success : 17th
We lead the country in rush D. I don't understand this one.
Yes, we've played three cupcakes. Yes, we have 4 cupcakes in a row.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:47 am to roadGator
quote:
Yes, we have 4 cupcakes in a row.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:49 am to roadGator
quote:
Yes, we've played three cupcakes
There you go. It's opponent adjusted, and North Texas and UMass are 2 of the worst offenses in the country. Kentucky got down and had to abandon their running game early.
Even so, Boom Williams ran for 5.5 YPC. Those rush stats are heavily influenced by a whole bunch of sacks. So, it's still a top 20 group, and probably higher than that once it's proven vs a decent run offense, but for now it hasn't happened yet.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:50 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:51 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
SummerOfGeorge
Thanks for the write up and analysis
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:52 am to SummerOfGeorge
Link?
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:52 am to SummerOfGeorge
Let me save you some time. This game is a toss up.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:53 am to roadGator
quote:
Link?
Sure - click on the link and then find your team. It's a pretty cool, detailed listing.
Advanced Stat Profiles - 2016 CFB
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:00 am to bigDgator
quote:
et me save you some time. This game is a toss up.
100% agree. I think Florida wins but it's anyone's game.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:00 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:01 am to SummerOfGeorge
SOG stats threads. Can you this for other SEC games throughout the season? Really dig this stuff.Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:02 am to tennfanatic
quote:
I think Florida wins but it's anyone's game.
Stop overthinking it.
Vols favored.
Vols at home.
Vols higher ranked.
Vols better tested so far.
UF back up QB, with terrible stats in his first SEC start on the road.
Logic says Vols win. Just let it be what it is.
Congrats man. It's been a fun ride but we'll get after it again in the Swamp next year.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:04 am to cornhat
quote:
SOG stats threads. Can you this for other SEC games throughout the season? Really dig this stuff.
Definitely. Starting week 4-5 the data gets much better because there is more of it and more interlocking of teams for comparative purposes.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:21 am to roadGator
quote:
Logic says Vols win. Just let it be what it is.
Logic is usually not the prevailing factor of the UF/UT series.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:23 am to Guitarcheese
You guys got this. I'm kinda happy for you. The rivalry needs this in a way. We all know it's true even if we don't want it to come to fruition.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:25 am to roadGator
I was assured by gator fans this isn't a rivalry??
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 10:26 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:26 am to Guitarcheese
Sorry. It should revive a once great rivalry. My bad.
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:27 am to SummerOfGeorge
This game is a toss-up with Florida's starting QB and one of the best WR's in the nation. Playing a QB who has never started in an SEC game at Neyland stadium with all eyes on him combined with Florida's one of two receivers they have and one of the best in Calloway being out = disaster IMO. Vols win. And, it might not even be close.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 10:28 am
Posted on 9/21/16 at 10:28 am to roadGator
quote:
You guys got this. I'm kinda happy for you. The rivalry needs this in a way. We all know it's true even if we don't want it to come to fruition.
I'm pretty sure the advanced stats said Tennessee had like a 98% chance of victory after Jalen Hurd'a touchdown to put UT up by 13 in the 4th quarter last year.
Anything that will go wrong for Tennessee typically does when Florida is on the other sideline
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