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Very early look at 2017-18 SEC hoops (KenPom)
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:48 pm
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:48 pm
A few of you still playing obviously, but thought this was interesting while we have SEC hoops fever.
I saved KenPom's end of year numbers last year and preseason rankings this year in a spreadsheet and used the same formula in reverse on the current rankings.
This assumes that all players projected to go in the first round (DraftExpress) declare. It also accounts for high profile transfers and top 30 recruits (all he uses). Obviously Porter is going to have most impact, then Sexton, all the way down to Witherspoon.
This is what it spit out. Obviously some recruits haven't decided yet and there are always some surprises with transfers and declarations. Here is what it spit out.
1. Kentucky
2. Florida
3. South Carolina
4. Alabama
5. Arkansas
6. Texas A&M
7. Vanderbilt
8. Tennessee
9. Mississippi
10. Georgia
11. Mississippi State
12. Auburn
13. Missouri
14. LSU
Decent size gaps between 2 and 3. Another gap between 6 and 7 and a huge gap between 13 and 14.
1-9 are projected in the top 68 and 1-13 in the top 100.
I saved KenPom's end of year numbers last year and preseason rankings this year in a spreadsheet and used the same formula in reverse on the current rankings.
This assumes that all players projected to go in the first round (DraftExpress) declare. It also accounts for high profile transfers and top 30 recruits (all he uses). Obviously Porter is going to have most impact, then Sexton, all the way down to Witherspoon.
This is what it spit out. Obviously some recruits haven't decided yet and there are always some surprises with transfers and declarations. Here is what it spit out.
1. Kentucky
2. Florida
3. South Carolina
4. Alabama
5. Arkansas
6. Texas A&M
7. Vanderbilt
8. Tennessee
9. Mississippi
10. Georgia
11. Mississippi State
12. Auburn
13. Missouri
14. LSU
Decent size gaps between 2 and 3. Another gap between 6 and 7 and a huge gap between 13 and 14.
1-9 are projected in the top 68 and 1-13 in the top 100.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:49 pm to volfan30
No way to go but up for us!
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:49 pm to volfan30
If Devin Robinson returns, UF is gonna be loaded next year.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:50 pm to volfan30
Damn. I don't think we'll be dead last
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:51 pm to boXerrumble
if macon returns arkansas isn't going to be 5th in conference not happening
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:51 pm to volfan30
Alabama getting two stud 5 stars will make next year very interesting for us.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:53 pm to volfan30
quote:
9. Mississippi
10. Georgia
11. Mississippi State
12. Auburn
L.O.fricking.L.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:53 pm to Elleshoe
LSU should be improved no doubt but the league looks very, very strong on paper.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:55 pm to volfan30
I think we have outperformed our preseason SEC rank for 5 straight years so we will probably end up 5th or 6th if I had to guess
Posted on 3/26/17 at 4:56 pm to volfan30
If Blakeney, Reath, and a big man or two from SOMEWHERE don't appear we will for sure be bottom 3 again
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:13 pm to volfan30
Here is what is plugged in for everyone's starting 5 fwiw. If formula has minutes close I just slashed.
UK
Briscoe/Green/SGP
Diallo
Vanderbilt
Gabriel/Washington
Richards/Humphries
UF
Chiozza
Allen
Hudson
Robinson
Egbunu/Hayes
SC
Felder
Gravett
Dozier
Silva
Kotsar
Bama
Johnson Jr.
Sexton
Norris
Key
Hall
Ark
Beard
Macon
Barford
Thomas
Gafford
A&M
Caldwell
Gilder
Hogg
Williams
Davis
Vandy
LaChance
Fisher Davis
Toye
Roberson
Baptiste
Tennessee
Bone
Bowden
Johnson
Williams
Fulkerson
Ole Miss
Tyree
Burnett
Davis
Furmanavicius
Hymon
UGA
Crump
Jackson
Parker
Maten
Ogbeide
MSST
Peters/Weatherspoon
Carter
Weatherspoon
Kegler
Holman/Ado
AU
Harper
Brown
Heron
Purifoy
Wiley
MIZ
Phillips
Geist
Barnett
Porter
Puryear
LSU
Mays
Blakeney
Sampson
Sims
Reath
UK
Briscoe/Green/SGP
Diallo
Vanderbilt
Gabriel/Washington
Richards/Humphries
UF
Chiozza
Allen
Hudson
Robinson
Egbunu/Hayes
SC
Felder
Gravett
Dozier
Silva
Kotsar
Bama
Johnson Jr.
Sexton
Norris
Key
Hall
Ark
Beard
Macon
Barford
Thomas
Gafford
A&M
Caldwell
Gilder
Hogg
Williams
Davis
Vandy
LaChance
Fisher Davis
Toye
Roberson
Baptiste
Tennessee
Bone
Bowden
Johnson
Williams
Fulkerson
Ole Miss
Tyree
Burnett
Davis
Furmanavicius
Hymon
UGA
Crump
Jackson
Parker
Maten
Ogbeide
MSST
Peters/Weatherspoon
Carter
Weatherspoon
Kegler
Holman/Ado
AU
Harper
Brown
Heron
Purifoy
Wiley
MIZ
Phillips
Geist
Barnett
Porter
Puryear
LSU
Mays
Blakeney
Sampson
Sims
Reath
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:16 pm to volfan30
2018 will be the best the SEC has been in awhile
State will be one of the 6 best SEC teams next year- and I expect 8 to make the Dance. Lots of young teams in the SEC this year bodes well for the future
State will be one of the 6 best SEC teams next year- and I expect 8 to make the Dance. Lots of young teams in the SEC this year bodes well for the future
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:18 pm to Elleshoe
quote:LSU is easily the worst team on paper. Every other team will have postseason aspirations
Damn. I don't think we'll be dead last
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:20 pm to volfan30
quote:
13. Missouri
I'll put money we don't finish 13.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:24 pm to GatorsGators
The league looks very, very good when you look at the projected rosters.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:29 pm to volfan30
Good post, but Dazon Ingram will almost surely start instead of AJ Jr for Bama. I think the SEC could get a lot of teams in next year. A lot of fanbases expect to be in the tournament next year also.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:29 pm to olemiss5931
quote:
I think we have outperformed our preseason SEC rank for 5 straight years so we will probably end up 5th or 6th if I had to guess
Rebels will definitely finish higher than 9th place.
Posted on 3/26/17 at 5:32 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
thompson is going to start over gafford. arkansas should start 5 seniors next year. we are going to be good. really good.
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