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re: vandy +19

Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:33 am to
Posted by Teague
The Shoals, AL
Member since Aug 2007
21669 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:33 am to
quote:

all the sudden they're catching less than 21 to Alabama? Lol.


Frankly, to this point, this Bama team hasn't been quite up to the standards of some recent Bama teams.

I think they're getting it together, but I wouldn't be shocked to see Vandy make it somewhat close.
Posted by gatorhata9
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2010
26172 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:37 am to
quote:

I think they're getting it together, but I wouldn't be shocked to see Vandy make it somewhat close.



I really would. I don't think your offense is as bad as some of the bama fans and posters think. I also don't think Vandy is going to score more than 7.

Vandy has Bama's full attention. That's not the situation where Vandy does damage.
This post was edited on 9/21/17 at 10:38 am
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Correct. And it has got me 2 times this year.


So you yourself lost money on Bama 66% of the time this season and knew what you were posting was false but posted it anyway claiming it to be true?
Posted by dandan
Member since Nov 2007
4340 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 11:48 am to
I think Bama will be up 3 touchdowns alone in the first half.
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 11:58 am to
wait till friday and bama moves the line to 21.5 I think vandy scores late and loses by somewhere between 17-21.
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:13 pm to
Vandy had 65 yards rushing, 270 yards of total offense and 14 points vs Kansas St. And you think they can score 17 vs. Bama's D?
Posted by ljhog
Lake Jackson, Tx.
Member since Apr 2009
19054 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

they know a lot of dumb people will load up on State.

"They" make the line with the idea to have equal amounts bet on both teams.
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:19 pm to
its called math bro. Vandy could score 10 points and bama score 31 and on a 21.5 line Bama wouldn't cover. geez some of you are tarded
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

its called math bro. Vandy could score 10 points and bama score 31 and on a 21.5 line Bama wouldn't cover. geez some of you are tarded


Yes, yatesdog38 I'm the retarded one. I misread you predicting Vandy to lose by exactly 17-21 points as scoring 17-21 points. But if you're so sure the line will move to 21.5 why not take Alabama now at -18 then Vandy at 21.5 and have a 3.5 point middle?
Posted by Murtown
OT Ballerville
Member since Sep 2014
1607 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:24 pm to
Michigan is the bet of the weekend. People have fallen in love with Purdue after last weekend, but they are going to get steamrolled.
Posted by Vecchio Cane
Ivory Tower
Member since Jul 2016
17716 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Michigan is the bet of the weekend. People have fallen in love with Purdue after last weekend, but they are going to get steamrolled.


Dude

That line isnt' a doorknob
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30589 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:35 pm to
.....and the book just keeps on smiling.
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:49 pm to
That is my personal thought. I think they lose by 21 or less. I only think it is a good bet if the line moves to 21.5. Betting does not function like purchasing equity or index options. The line isn't comparable to a strike price. I guess you could buy points to move the line but those get expensive. You are paying a premium for them thus lowering profits. If the line moves that is free money. If it doesn't i don't think it is worth the risk of paying extra money for a lower return with the more downside financial risk
This post was edited on 9/21/17 at 12:50 pm
Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
17584 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:54 pm to
I don't see how any lsu fans have any money left after
the sure bet MSU game damn a 30 point beat down
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 12:59 pm to
You just lectured me about not understanding how a spread works (lol) but you can't grasp that if you bet Alabama today -18 @ -110 and Vandy at 21.5 @-110 (after it moved 3.5 points like you're so sure of) that you'd have a 3.5 point middle?

Who said anything about paying extra juice for any bet?
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 1:05 pm to
i'm not certain that it is in the middle. That is a personal thought. If the line doesn't move then you are stuck on one side.
Posted by the_watcher
Jarule's House
Member since Nov 2005
3450 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 1:39 pm to
You aren't certain that the middle numbers bewteen 18 and 21.5 are in the middle of 18 and 21.5? You're the one who stated "wait until it moves up to 21.5 on Friday." No one else did but you.

The irony of calling someone a retard regarding sports betting but not knowing what a "middle" is, is fantastic.
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 1:40 pm to
Bama will beat Vandy by close to 30.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44703 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

Michigan is the bet of the weekend. People have fallen in love with Purdue after last weekend, but they are going to get steamrolled.


It's a good play for sure. Michigan's defense is going to stonewall Purdue.

I also like Oklahoma -27 at Baylor. It's a big line but good god Baylor is bad. I think OU wins this by 40+ to be honest.
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6741 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:52 pm to
Laying double digits on the road to ANYONE is a long term losing proposition. Don't say I didn't warn you.

Tread lightly...
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