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The unlikely, but possible, ways the SEC champ gets left out
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:45 pm
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:45 pm
With 5 power conferences and 4 spots every year at least 1 power conference champion is going to be sitting at home for the playoffs.
Seems like the SEC being this conference is pretty far fetched but it could happen this year.
There are 5 teams left in contention for the SEC crown.
An Alabama/LSU/Florida SEC champion will go to the playoffs no ifs, ands, or buts.
An Ole Miss or Georgia SEC champion will not go to the playoff.
It's really that simple.
Technically both Ole Miss and Georgia still control their destinies, but the odds of either of them winning out and then winning the SEC title game is remote, but crazier shite has happened.
And as one last footnote, neither Alabama or LSU would make the playoffs as a 1 loss team who happened to not make the SEC title game. Either one of these would happen if Ole Miss won out.
Seems like the SEC being this conference is pretty far fetched but it could happen this year.
There are 5 teams left in contention for the SEC crown.
An Alabama/LSU/Florida SEC champion will go to the playoffs no ifs, ands, or buts.
An Ole Miss or Georgia SEC champion will not go to the playoff.
It's really that simple.
Technically both Ole Miss and Georgia still control their destinies, but the odds of either of them winning out and then winning the SEC title game is remote, but crazier shite has happened.
And as one last footnote, neither Alabama or LSU would make the playoffs as a 1 loss team who happened to not make the SEC title game. Either one of these would happen if Ole Miss won out.
6
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:47 pm to IAmReality
Your theory works unless a 2 loss west team loses to a 2 loss FL in the CCG. ND will also pose a problem if they win out.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:48 pm to IAmReality
Florida loses to Georgia
Georgia loses to Auburn
Bama beats LSU
LSU beats OM
Florida beats Bama in SECCG
SEC champ Florida has two losses
West division winner Bama has two losses
LSU at 11-1 with a close loss to Bama makes the playoff without winning their division
Georgia loses to Auburn
Bama beats LSU
LSU beats OM
Florida beats Bama in SECCG
SEC champ Florida has two losses
West division winner Bama has two losses
LSU at 11-1 with a close loss to Bama makes the playoff without winning their division
This post was edited on 10/26/15 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:48 pm to Boomer00
I feel like the SEC West winner is gonna have 2 losses and throw a wrench in your prediction
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:51 pm to reggierayreb
I have been saying all along the big 12 AND SEC could be sitting at home. Stanford tOSU and Clemson are almost locks. If ND has 1 loss they go over the SEC 2 loss team or a 1 loss big 12 team.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:54 pm to IAmReality
quote:
And as one last footnote, neither Alabama or LSU would make the playoffs as a 1 loss team who happened to not make the SEC title game. Either one of these would happen if Ole Miss won out.
And you're evidence for this?
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:54 pm to reggierayreb
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/26/15 at 2:55 pm
Posted on 10/26/15 at 2:55 pm to CCTider
Ole Miss wins out and wins the SEC... Bama goes to the NC... The SEC champ gets left out....
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:02 pm to allin2010
Any scenario with Ole Miss in Atlanta will be devastating to the SEC.
Any other scenario and the SEC has a chance.
Let's keep it simple: for the good of the conference, LSU needs to win out, the whole way. None of us will pull against our school when they play LSU, we all know that. But if our individual schools don't win it, we need LSU to finish undefeated and for the rest of us to win bowl games.
Any other scenario and the SEC has a chance.
Let's keep it simple: for the good of the conference, LSU needs to win out, the whole way. None of us will pull against our school when they play LSU, we all know that. But if our individual schools don't win it, we need LSU to finish undefeated and for the rest of us to win bowl games.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:03 pm to allin2010
Stanford and Notre Dame do play each other so at least one will be knocked out
Still a ton of football to be played, TCU and Baylor are both beatable and the games between them and OU and OSU will shake out most of them.
Big 10 still has some big matchups coming as well.
Still a ton of football to be played, TCU and Baylor are both beatable and the games between them and OU and OSU will shake out most of them.
Big 10 still has some big matchups coming as well.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:05 pm to sullivanct19a
quote:
Ole Miss in Atlanta will be devastating to the SEC.
Wont happen but it would be a Marshall Henderson at Auburn type troll.
tGOAT
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:07 pm to reggierayreb
what does the committee do with an undefeated memphis if ole miss wins the seccg?
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:08 pm to tiderider
quote:
what does the committee do with an undefeated memphis if ole miss wins the seccg?
Put them motherfrickers in the playoff, mane.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:09 pm to genro
quote:
SEC champ Florida has two losses
West division winner Bama has two losses
LSU at 11-1 with a close loss to Bama makes the playoff without winning their division
If LSU won the Natty after this scenario (which is not entirely out of the question), I will never complain about injustice in CFB ever again.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:11 pm to IAmReality
If Mississippi State wins out, and LSU loses to Alabama and Ole Miss, State will win the West.
Sure, it's a long shot. But I'd imagine that crazier things have happened.
Sure, it's a long shot. But I'd imagine that crazier things have happened.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:14 pm to genro
quote:
LSU at 11-1 with a close loss to Bama makes the playoff without winning their division
...then loses 21-0 in the playoff.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:19 pm to Boomer00
quote:
I have been saying all along the big 12 AND SEC could be sitting at home. Stanford tOSU and Clemson are almost locks. If ND has 1 loss they go over the SEC 2 loss team or a 1 loss big 12 team.
ND and Stanford play though. If ND wins that game, the PAC 12 is probably not going to get a rep in the playoffs. If Stanford wins, then obviously ND isn't getting in. ND may have an uphill climb even if they do beat Stanford. The committee last year showed that they put a lot of stock in winning that conference championship game (i.e., TCU and Baylor on the outside looking in) and ND doesn't have a conference, much less a championship game.
The way I see it - a one loss SEC champ is still going to get the benefit of the doubt and will be in. A 2 loss SEC champ (e.g., Ole Miss) and the SEC is in big trouble unless some teams from other conferences get upset these last few weeks.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:22 pm to elposter
This cat may keep the SEC out.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:28 pm to sullivanct19a
quote:
Let's keep it simple: for the good of the conference, LSU needs to win out, the whole way. None of us will pull against our school when they play LSU, we all know that. But if our individual schools don't win it, we need LSU to finish undefeated and for the rest of us to win bowl games.
Posted on 10/26/15 at 3:47 pm to Boomer00
quote:
Stanford tOSU and Clemson are almost locks
They lost to Northwestern. They aren't getting in ahead of a one-loss SEC champ in LSU/UF/Bama
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