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Strength of Schedule for SEC Teams via Sagarin Ratings

Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:12 pm
Posted by AtlantaSportsGuy
Cola
Member since Nov 2013
449 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:12 pm
Team Name - Ranking Nationally:
Tennessee - 4
Georgia - 5
Mississippi St - 7
Florida - 9
Kentucky - 14
Arkansas - 16
Ole Miss - 20
South Carolina - 21
LSU - 22
Vanderbilt - 32
Auburn - 38
Missouri - 40
Alabama - 41
Texas A&M - 47
Posted by toosleaux
Stuck in Baton Rouge traffic
Member since Dec 2007
9204 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

Alabama - 41


Not possible.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16456 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Not possible


That LSU game is destroying Bama's strength of schedule
Posted by AtlantaSportsGuy
Cola
Member since Nov 2013
449 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Alabama - 41

quote:

Not possible.

They have only played 5 opponents with winning records right now this season and one of those was Colorado St. (Va Tech, TAMU, Ole Miss, LSU)
This post was edited on 11/18/13 at 12:20 pm
Posted by UMTigerRebel
Member since Feb 2013
9819 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

They have only played 4 opponents with winning records right now this season and one of those was Colorado St. (Va Tech, TAMU, LSU)

OM has a winning record.
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

They have only played 4 opponents with winning records right now this season and one of those was Colorado St. (Va Tech, TAMU, LSU)


Plus Ole Miss. That's five out of ten, hardly something to get rustled about.

Not a dominant schedule, but not one that is pathetically weak (like Ohio State's)
Posted by AtlantaSportsGuy
Cola
Member since Nov 2013
449 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

OM has a winning record.

No clue how I forgot that. lapse in my mind
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:22 pm to
LSU and strength should not be used in the same sentence.
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
84831 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Alabama - 41


shocker
Posted by sharkenleo
Space Coast
Member since Nov 2013
296 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:22 pm to
Thanks a lot, UTEP.
Posted by UMTigerRebel
Member since Feb 2013
9819 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

No clue how I forgot that. lapse in my mind

Are you a voter on the coaches' poll too?
Posted by LittleJerrySeinfield
350,000 Post Karma
Member since Aug 2013
7655 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:25 pm to
Sorry we can't put ourselves on the schedule
Posted by AtlantaSportsGuy
Cola
Member since Nov 2013
449 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Sorry we can't put ourselves on the schedule

What I was thinking, doesn't help Bama
Posted by BamaDude06
GOATville20
Member since Jan 2007
3475 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Sorry we can't put ourselves on the schedule


This. Losing to a top 5 team raises your SOS 90% of the time while also lowering the SOS of that top 5 team.
Posted by relapse98
Member since Dec 2010
2736 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Texas A&M - 47


The rest of yall are just doing it wrong!
Posted by UMRealist
Member since Feb 2013
35360 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:37 pm to
Troy dropped us 16 spots?
Posted by BamaDude06
GOATville20
Member since Jan 2007
3475 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:42 pm to
For the record, Sagarin's BCS rankings have Northern Illinois ranked #3

Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37574 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Tennessee - 4
Georgia - 5
Mississippi St - 7
Florida - 9
Kentucky - 14
Arkansas - 16
Ole Miss - 20
South Carolina - 21
LSU - 22
Vanderbilt - 32
Auburn - 38
Missouri - 40
Alabama - 41
Texas A&M - 47


It would be interesting to see how he came about those, by looking at each schedule thus far.

He must be using rankings at the time the games were played, rather than current rankings. Correct?

With regard to SCAR it would look like this ... road games in bold.

vs UNC (currently 5-5)
@ Georgia (full strength and #11 then, unranked now)(currently 6-4)
vs Vandy (currently 6-4)
@ UCF (unranked then, #17 now)(currently 8-1)
vs Kentucky (currently 2-8)
@ Arkansas (currently 3-7)
@ Tennessee (currently 4-6)
@ Mizzou (#5 at the time, #8 for the time being)(currently 9-1)

vs Miss St (currently 4-6)
vs Florida (currently 4-6)
vs Coastal Carolina (#8 FCS)(currently 10-1)
vs Clemson (#7) (currently 9-1)

I think having the 21st strongest SOS is generous and it can only be because of the road games we've played against ranked teams IMHO.

Should only go up when we beat Clemson at our place, although Mizzou losing to Ole Miss and A&M will probably hurt us in the long run.

Admittedly though, we played the two weakest teams in the conference this season in Kentucky and Arkansas. And losing to Tennessee, even at their place, is almost unforgivable.
Posted by AUsteriskPride
Albuquerque, NM
Member since Feb 2011
18385 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

For the record, Sagarin's BCS rankings have Northern Illinois ranked #3


Seems legit
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46551 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

Tennessee - 4
Georgia - 5
Mississippi St - 7
Florida - 9
Kentucky - 14
Arkansas - 16
Ole Miss - 20
South Carolina - 21
LSU - 22
Vanderbilt - 32
Auburn - 38
Missouri - 40
Alabama - 41
Texas A&M - 47


Bolded teams have artificially inflated SOS due to having played Alabama.

Alabama is at a disadvantage from a SOS standpoint because they can't play themselves.

Alabama - at this junction in the season - has already played more teams with winning records than the entire 2004 Auburn Tigers football team did.
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