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Sports Illustrated's preseason superlatives
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:24 am
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:24 am
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Most improved: Tennessee
It’s a moment eight years in the making, but now it’s nearly here: the season when Tennessee finally leaps back toward the top of the SEC. The Volunteers haven’t won more than seven games since 2007, but barring a rash of injuries, they should easily exceed that this year. Tennessee went 4–1 with Joshua Dobbs as its starting quarterback last year, and he should get plenty of support on the ground this year from Jalen Hurd and Alvin Kamara. Defensive end Derek Barnett, linebacker Curt Maggitt and cornerback Cameron Sutton lead a stout defense. The Vols are still young and depth could be an issue as the season wears on, but the talent level in Knoxville is the highest it has been in a long time.
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Most on the decline: Mississippi State
Only in the SEC West could a team that was ranked No. 1 in the country for five weeks of the previous season suddenly become the favorite to finish last in the division. Although the Bulldogs have the best quarterback in the conference, and one of the best in the country, in Dak Prescott, the surrounding pieces that helped them rise up the rankings last year are almost all gone. With just seven starters back from the 2014 squad, Mississippi State has nowhere to go but down. Even Prescott may struggle without running back Josh Robinson there to take some pressure off and a combined 114 career starts on the offensive line gone, too.
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Toughest schedule: Alabama
That the Crimson Tide can still be pegged as prime contenders to reach the College Football Playoff speaks to the incredible talent Nick Saban’s squad has. If Alabama repeats as the SEC champion—which no one has done since 1998—and returns to the playoff, it will certainly have earned its bid. In addition to a grueling SEC West slate, the Tide have to go to Georgia and host Tennessee in their divisional crossover games. In a span of six weeks, they’ll play Georgia, Arkansas, Texas A&M, Tennessee and LSU. There are plenty of decent teams across the country that could easily go 0–5 in that stretch. And don’t overlook the season-opener vs. Wisconsin.
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Easiest schedule: Missouri
In contrast to Alabama’s schedule is Missouri’s. SEC East teams are guaranteed to have easier slates due to their divisional competition (an annual matchup with Vanderbilt is a gift right now). But the Tigers also get one of the best possible cross-division draws with matchups against Mississippi State and Arkansas. That’s a whole lot better than Georgia’s cross-division games against Alabama and Auburn. For the second straight year, Missouri gets a boost from a preferential schedule. Its protected game against the Razorbacks has been beneficial recently, and the Tigers drew a subpar Texas A&M squad last year before a matchup with falling Mississippi State this year. Their fortune will even out over time though; the Tigers are set to face LSU, Auburn and Alabama over the next three years. Still, if Missouri wins its third straight SEC East title this fall, the conference’s schedule-makers better get a shout-out in Gary Pinkel’s acceptance speech.
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Biggest range: Texas A&M
First, the schedule: As far conference slates go for SEC West teams, Texas A&M’s is about as good as it gets for making a surprise run. Alabama and Auburn travel to College Station, and the Aggies’ cross-division games are against Vanderbilt and South Carolina. Then, there’s the big question of Texas A&M’s defense. How quickly can new coordinator John Chavis get the unit to look like the elite defenses he usually produces and not at all like the one that gave up 36.6 points per game in conference play last season? The result is an Aggies team that could remain in the title hunt until late in the season or one that could flounder towards the bottom of the conference.
If the defense makes big strides, the offense should be potent enough to pull out a win or two at home against the SEC’s elite. But if the defense struggles again, the Aggies could find their home games against the conference’s best too challenging and then have to pull out wins on the road against similar caliber teams. Anything between 10–2 and 6–6 is possible.
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Most overrated: Arkansas
This really has more to do with what the Razorbacks are up against than anything about Bret Bielema’s team. Other than its four nonconference games and perhaps its Nov. 21 home date with Mississippi State, Arkansas has no sure wins on its schedule. Road trips to Tennessee, Alabama, Ole Miss and LSU all look daunting, as do home games against Auburn and Missouri.
As for the Razorbacks themselves, their defense returns six starters and loses stars Darius Philon, Trey Flowers and Martrell Spaight. Defensive end JaMichael Winston had a superb spring, but Arkansas’s front-seven is unlikely to match the dominance of last year’s group. As a team, the Razorbacks should continue to build on their growth last year, but that continued progress may not get reflected in the standings.
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Most underrated: Ole Miss
The Rebels were picked to finish fifth in the SEC West in the preseason media poll, but if they get some good fortune, they could pull off their first double-digit-win campaign since 2003. A season that strong would likely require Ole Miss’ quarterback play to exceed expectations. But even without that, the Rebels’ receiving corps is solid with Laquon Treadwell and Evan Engram; their front seven, led by the Nkemdiche brothers, should be outstanding; and their running game has potential. If Laremy Tunsil avoids a suspension, he should lead a powerful offensive line, and tailbacks Jaylen Walton and Jordan Wilkins combined for 6.0 yards per carry last year.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:26 am to NorthGAVol
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Best path to the playoff: Auburn
As the preseason media poll made clear, nobody’s really sure who’s better between Auburn and Alabama. They’re the heavy favorites to win the SEC West, and therefore prime contenders to make the playoff, but it’s very difficult to separate the Yellowhammer State rivals. We’ll find out who’s more talented once the season starts, but for now, the Tigers have the clear edge to finish the year in the selection committee’s top four. Unlike Alabama, Auburn gets to play Georgia at home, and its other crossover game is Kentucky while the Crimson Tide take on Tennessee. Plus, the Iron Bowl returns to Jordan-Hare this year. It’s possible both (or neither) could make the playoff, but the Tigers’ schedule gives them a better shot at finishing the year with one loss or less, a record that would all but guarantee them a playoff berth.
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Most at stake: South Carolina
Unlike last year, when Florida coach Will Muschamp entered the season with arguably the hottest seat in the country, no SEC coach appears on the verge of getting fired this year. Disappointing seasons could turn up the heat on Vanderbilt Derek Mason, Texas A&M’s Kevin Sumlin, LSU’s Les Miles or Kentucky’s Mark Stoops, but all those guys would almost surely get at least another year to try to right the ship (if for nothing more than to avoid exorbitantly expensive buyout packages in Miles’s and Sumlin’s cases).
But what abut the Head Ball Coach? No, South Carolina is not going to fire the only coach to ever produce multiple 10-win seasons in Columbia, but Spurrier still might be the most likely candidate in the conference to not return to his job next year. Although he said at SEC Media Days that he doesn’t think he’d be very good at retirement, might he reconsider if faced with a lengthy rebuild of a program he already rebuilt once? If he does, the Gamecocks could be forced to find a new coach while the program is on a rapid downswing. As a non-established power in the conference, that could make the search arduous.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:27 am to NorthGAVol
Arkansas has a meat grinder
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:28 am to NorthGAVol
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Easiest schedule: Missouri
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:28 am to NorthGAVol
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Although the Bulldogs have the best quarterback in the conference, and one of the best in the country, in Dak Prescott, the surrounding pieces that helped them rise up the rankings last year are almost all gone.
Sport's Illustrated obviously doesn't know what they're talking about....as well as the rest of the media....as well as the rest of everyone that follows college football except for MSU fans.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:30 am to chilge1
Everyone knows that is true.. They lost to flipping Indiana last year.. Let them have their moral victories..
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:30 am to NorthGAVol
If we bomb again this year, I don't think Spurrier would be content with going out like that. I think he'd hang around for at least another year to try and right the ship, but if that year produced another disappointment, then he'd probably retire. Who takes his place when he leaves is what I'm really curious to see.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:34 am to NorthGAVol
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Tennessee went 4–1 with Joshua Dobbs as its starting quarterback last year
Beat a shitty South Carolina team, Kentucky, Vanderbilt and Iowa. And lost to the only good team they played, Mizzou.
Impressive
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:38 am to NorthGAVol
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if Missouri wins its third straight SEC East title this fall, the conference’s schedule-makers better get a shout-out in Gary Pinkel’s acceptance speech.
Damn
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:42 am to Stonehog
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Beat a shitty South Carolina team, Kentucky, Vanderbilt and Iowa. And lost to the only good team they played, Mizzou.
Impressive
The offense did a 180 when Dobbsus became the starter. Our season high rushing total for any game before Dobbs was 168 against Arky St.
Post Dobbs, VOLS ran for:
181 vs Alabama
344 vs South Carolina
214 vs Kentucky
170 vs Vanderbilt
283 vs Iowa
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:46 am to NorthGAVol
More like your schedule did a 180.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:49 am to NorthGAVol
Meh, I don't know that we are overrated per se, but this is going to be a nasty year for the Hogs given the schedule we have.
Honestly it will depend on the new OC. Our defense might not be as good as it was last year but it should still be pretty decent.
We have to get better QB play in clutch situations, better play calling down the stretch of close games, and get away from some of the goofy trick plays that kept blowing up in our face last season.
There is a time and a place to run the quintuple reverse, throwback tackle eligible trick play. On the opponent's five yard line is not that place.
Honestly it will depend on the new OC. Our defense might not be as good as it was last year but it should still be pretty decent.
We have to get better QB play in clutch situations, better play calling down the stretch of close games, and get away from some of the goofy trick plays that kept blowing up in our face last season.
There is a time and a place to run the quintuple reverse, throwback tackle eligible trick play. On the opponent's five yard line is not that place.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:57 am to Stonehog
Funny how arky fans talk shite about Dobbs/UT losing to Mizzou. How soon they forget that they also lost to them the week after.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 11:58 am to Stonehog
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More like your schedule did a 180
VOLS ran for more yards against Alabama than they did against UTC. Just stop.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 12:02 pm to rockytop627
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Funny how arky fans talk shite about Dobbs/UT losing to Mizzou. How soon they forget that they also lost to them the week after.
They're just mad that they are now in year 3 of the Big 10 Bert era yet are still viewed as a peon by the majority of the conference. Tennessee, on the other hand, is in year 3 of the Butch Jones era and everyone knows the big orange giant is awake and ready to take back his crown.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 12:07 pm to NorthGAVol
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the big orange giant is awake and ready to take back his crown.
Shaft is gonna be so mad at you!
Posted on 7/17/15 at 12:14 pm to NorthGAVol
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They're just mad that they are now in year 3 of the Big 10 Bert era yet are still viewed as a peon by the majority of the conference. Tennessee, on the other hand, is in year 3 of the Butch Jones era and everyone knows the big orange giant is awake and ready to take back his crown.
I don't have a dog in this fight, but I'd much rather be Arkansas right now than Tennessee. That's even with Arky in the West. Bert shits on Butch.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 12:14 pm to Stonehog
You seem a tad Shaftsessed imo.
Posted on 7/17/15 at 12:15 pm to SouthMSReb
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I don't have a dog in this fight, but I'd much rather be Arkansas right now than Tennessee. That's even with Arky in the West. Bert shits on Butch.
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