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serious question - how long should a coach be given to build a program?

Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:34 am
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
29645 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:34 am
lot's of people love to talk about the "2nd year jump"

but should a coach be given at least 3 years? or 5? including a rough season, or even 2?

also, interesting stat from the AU board:

Auburn under Gus: 40-20
Tennessee under Butch: 33-24
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:36 am to
It really depends on the program and its state when the coach takes over. Normally 4-5 years.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62721 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:36 am to
Give Gus and Butch more time, IMO
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:37 am to
After five years every single player is your recruit and had been in your system for years. There are no excuses after five years.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:38 am to
till your first recruit graduates....if you do not live up to expectations (whatever they may be for that team) then youre gone.
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
64945 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:41 am to
quote:

It really depends on the program


This.

At Alabama you are given four years to produce consistent results. Mike Shula and Mike DuBose both managed 10-win seasons in their third years but followed those seasons up with sub-.500 records the very next year. They were both fired as a result.
Posted by LouisvilleKat
Member since Oct 2016
18190 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:42 am to
Id say 5 years given no royal frick ups like using your school issued phone to buy hookers. Unless you're Butch Jones. Lifetime contract then.
Posted by UFMatt
Gator Nation - Everywhere
Member since Oct 2010
11427 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:42 am to
quote:

It really depends on the program and its state when the coach takes over. Normally 4-5 years.


I totally agree, if you come in to a shite show, example UF after Muschump, 4 years is needed before you evaluate where you are as a program, but a decision needs to made at that point, not put off another year. Now, if you walk in to a good situation, and you haven't run of another coach just before then, 3 years is probably enough time to make a decision.
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33919 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:49 am to
Since 2000, only two coaches failed to win a NC by their fourth year. Those coaches are Mack Brown and Dabo Swinney. And even in those two cases, Mack and Dabo both won 11 games in their fourth season. So I would say a coach should be given four years to build a program. If they aren't winning big by their fourth year, they likely won't ever win anything of note.
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25171 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:57 am to
5 years seems to be the norm.

As an example, Bielema is in year 5 and Arkansas right now looks as bad as we did in his first year. He's almost certain to be gone unless every decent coach out there refuses to bite on our job offers.

Butch is in year 5 and despite having some fairly loaded teams has yet to win the SEC East. The season seems to be falling apart for the Vols and he's probably gone.

Gus is on shaky ground. A great first year followed by mediocre seasons since despite having some teams that were stacked to the gills is not going to appease the Auburn faithful.

Sumlin seems to be digging his way out of the hole he buried himself in, if he can avoid the dreaded November to Dismember that has plagued A&M he will probably squeeze out another year.

As I've said before, by now we know what all of these coaches bring to the dance.
Posted by Bankshot
Member since Jun 2006
5374 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:59 am to
I would say at least 3 to 4 years, depending on the situation when the coach took over (usually taking over for a coach who was fired and/or the school is going on probation). However, if a coach is replacing a winning coach that retired or moved on to the NFL or a better program, that's different.
Posted by LSUDonMCO
Orlando
Member since Dec 2003
6840 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:38 am to
Less time than Butch, Sumlin, and McSharkHumper got!
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25327 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:40 am to
quote:


Give Gus and Butch more time until Arky hires a new coach please...thanks, admin
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:40 am to
4 years

Unless you are Orgeron, he should get 10 years guaranteed
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
98914 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:41 am to
I feel like you generally need to give a guy a full class of his own recruits (4-5 years) to really evaluate him unless he just torpedos any progress made by the previous coach Joker Phillips style.
This post was edited on 10/16/17 at 10:41 am
Posted by SavageOrangeJug
Member since Oct 2005
19758 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:41 am to
5 years max!

If you don't have it done by year 5 you're not getting it done.

You have all of your players, coaches, and your system. If it still ain't working...it's you.
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46175 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:43 am to
Initially I thought 4-5 years. I'm not sold that it's that short anymore though. I'm sure there's more than 3-4 good coaches out there somewhere. Just not all have instant success
Posted by Godawgs4
Member since Aug 2016
4240 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 11:03 am to
A coach should have ten years provided they have no moral or criminal failures during their tenure.
Yes I know people will laugh at this but in our microwave society that we live in, fans expectations have become delusional. They fail to realize that CFB is a zero sum game. For every winner there is a loser. So if fans in general would develop a bit more patience, the overall success of many teams would be better in the LONG RUN. But since we want to win yesterday, guys like Frank Solich at Nebraska (1998-2003 58-18) fired after going 9-3 in 2003. Since then Nebraska has faded into mediocrity with a few good teams sprinkled in between.
Other schools have done the same thing by firing successful coaches only to find they actually got worse with the new coach.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27339 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 11:06 am to
I think it depends on how bad things were when you hired the coach. In the case of Tennessee, Dooley had things so fricked up, I'm not sure Saban could go in there and produce a NC in 4-5 years and you couple that with Kiffin's one and done and prior to that when Fulmer started to sop his recruiting....so you are talking about 5 years of really bad decisions to fx once you come in and in the case of Tennessee(the state), it's no necessarily one of the great recruiting hotbeds in the SEC....Fulmer went all over the country to get his players....NOLA, Cali, NJ, etc

Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 11:19 am to
Took Saban one.
Took Smart and Myles one each with a stocked pantry.

I'm not sure what the talent levels were at AU and Tennessee before each got there, but I don't think it was horrible.
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