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SEC West Matchups by the stats : LSU-Auburn and Arkansas-Texas A&M

Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:18 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:18 am
All data taken from S&P Advanced Stat Profiles

S&P Advanced Stat Profiles

AUBURN VS LSU : LSU by 7.6

When Auburn has the ball
Auburn Offense Efficiency : 89th
LSU Defense Efficiency : 17th

Auburn Rush Success : 49th
LSU Rush D Success : 13th

Auburn Power Success Rate : 38th
LSU Power D Success Rate : 94th

Auburn Rushing Stuff Rate : 95th
LSU D Rushing Stuff Rate : 77th

Auburn Pass Success : 120th
LSU Pass D Success : 37th

When LSU has the ball
LSU Offensive Efficiency : 100th
Auburn Defensive Efficiency : 56th

LSU Rush Success : 95th
Auburn Rush D Success : 53rd

LSU Power Success Rate : 108th
Auburn Power D Success Rate : 32nd

LSU Rushing Stuff Rate : 74th
Auburn D Rushing Stuff Rate : 81st

LSU Pass Success : 76th
Auburn Pass D Success : 69th


Advanced stats pretty much confirm what the naked eye says : this one is going to be a slugfest. LSU has had trouble punching people in the mouth up front (as evident by the poor Stuff and Power Rates), but Fournette makes up for a lot of it. Etling is obviously the wild card here as their passing and efficiencyy ratings include the porous Harris performance in week 1. If Etling can play game manager and make enough throws to keep things honest you have to think LSU will grind it out.



ARKANSAS VS TEXAS A&M: Texas A&M by 0.4

When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas Offense Efficiency : 51st
Texas A&M Defense Efficiency : 35th

Arkansas Rush Success : 73rd
Texas A&M Rush D Success : 64th

Arkansas Power Success Rate : 38th
Texas A&M Power D Success Rate : 82nd

Arkansas Rushing Stuff Rate : 62nd
Texas A&M D Rushing Stuff Rate : 28th

Arkansas Pass Success : 26th
Texas A&M Pass D Success : 26th

When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M Offensive Efficiency : 45th
Arkansas Defensive Efficiency : 77th

Texas A&M Rush Success : 47th
Arkansas Rush D Success : 90th

Texas A&M Power Success Rate : 106th
Arkansas Power D Success Rate : 53rd

Texas A&M Rushing Stuff Rate : 19th
Arkansas D Rushing Stuff Rate : 118th

Texas A&M Pass Success : 48th
Arkansas Pass D Success : 61st


Will be interesting to see if the script flips this year with Arkansas throwing more and Texas A&M running more (with Knight and the WRs due to difficulties power running inside the tackles). Should be a great one.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:25 am to
One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:26 am to
quote:

One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82


These stats are opponent adjusted, so the opponents are irrelevant
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73210 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:27 am to
quote:

One teams stats are against 2 non cupcakes the other are against teams with an average rank of 82



just stop
Posted by LSU40
Vicksburge, MS
Member since Oct 2007
2253 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:27 am to
Thanks for the stats......

I do think LSU / Auburn will be the same type of game these teams always play at Auburn, hard hitting and CLOSE.
Almost always something crazy happens.....
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50200 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:29 am to
A&M is higher in 7/10 and significantly so in a couple. I am not sure how this is expected to be THAT close based on these stats.
Posted by RoscoeHarper
Edmond, OK
Member since Aug 2011
4538 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:30 am to
Based on those statistical profiles, I don't really see how they only have A&M as a .4 point favorite. Seems like it should be more than that.

ETA - dammit Farmer you beat me.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:31 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Based on those statistical profiles, I don't really see how they only have A&M as a .4 point favorite. Seems like it should be more than that.


This one probably has something to do with it

FINISHING DRIVES
Arkansas Offense : 7th
Texas A&M Offense : 47th


This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 9:35 am
Posted by RoscoeHarper
Edmond, OK
Member since Aug 2011
4538 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:38 am to
That could be. We had two drops in the end zone against Auburn, hopefully more efficient down there going forward.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:38 am to
Those 5 fields goals last week must have impacted it
Posted by ArmyHogs
Your mom's house
Member since Feb 2012
9249 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:40 am to
quote:

A&M is higher in 7/10 and significantly so in a couple. I am not sure how this is expected to be THAT close based on these stats.


Because you are aggy. You historically disappoint. We are daddy. Get used to it.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:40 am to
4-0
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50200 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:41 am to
We're having a real conversation. Why don't you pipe down and go sit in and corner.
Posted by ArmyHogs
Your mom's house
Member since Feb 2012
9249 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:41 am to
41-28
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43789 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Those 5 fields goals last week must have impacted it


Posted by ArmyHogs
Your mom's house
Member since Feb 2012
9249 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:43 am to
It's true, thought. They are taking into account that the aggies are historical disappointments
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55217 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 9:48 am to
4-0 has not reall dissappointed me that much tbh
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46320 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 11:18 am to
good stuff
Posted by Nissanmaxima
Member since Feb 2006
14928 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 11:21 am to
A&M about to get their pussy's kicked in
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