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SB Nation uses facts and figures to figure out who is Bust U?

Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:17 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:17 pm
Who is Bust U?

Following criteria are used (since 1990)
1. % of 1st Round Picks that played 4+ Seasons
2. % of 1st Round Picks that were Starters 3+ Seasons
3. % of 1st Round Picks that made a Pro Bowl


SEC Rankings - #1 Criteria
#1 - Auburn (100%, 14/14)
#1 - Ole Miss (100%, 10/10)
#1 - Missouri (100%, 8/8)
#1 - South Carolina (100%, 8/8)
#1 - Arkansas (100%, 7/7)
#1 - Mississippi State (100%, 4/4)
#1 - Kentucky (100%, 3/3)
#1 - Vanderbilt (100%, 2/2)
#9 - Alabama (96%, 25/26)
#9 - Tennessee (96%, 25/26)
#11 - LSU (95%, 19/20)
#12 - Texas A&M (94%, 16/17)
#13 - Florida (89%, 25/28)
#14 - Georgia (85%, 18/21)


SEC Rankings - #2 Criteria
#1 - Vanderbilt (100%, 2/2)
#2 - Alabama (92%, 24/26)
#3 - Auburn (86%, 12/14)
#4 - Ole Miss (80%, 8/10)
#5 - Mississippi State (75%, 3/4)
#5 - LSU (75%, 15/20)
#7 - Georgia (71%, 15/21)
#8 - Tennessee (69%, 18/26)
#9 - Kentucky (67%, 2/3)
#10 - Texas A&M (65%, 11/17)
#11 - Florida (64%, 18/28)
#12 - Missouri (63%, 5/8)
#12 - South Carolina (63%, 5/8)
#14 - Arkansas (57%, 4/7)


SEC Rankings - #3 Criteria
#1 - Mississippi State (75%, 3/4)
#2 - Vanderbilt (50%, 1/2)
#2 - Georgia (43%, 9/21)
#2 - Auburn (43%, 6/14)
#5 - Ole Miss (40%, 4/10)
#6 - Tennessee (38%, 10/26)
#6 - Missouri (38%, 3/8)
#8 - Florida (36%, 10/28)
#9 - LSU (35%, 7/20)
#10 - Alabama (27%, 7/26)
#11 - South Carolina (25%, 2/8)
#12 - Texas A&M (24%, 4/17)
#13 - Arkansas (14%, 1/7)
#14 - Kentucky (0%)


FINAL ANALYSIS - WHICH TEAMS PLAYERS ARE SUCCESSFUL AT HIGHEST RATE SINCE 1990? (Average %)
1. Vanderbilt - 83%
2. Mississippi St - 83%
3. Auburn - 76%
4. Ole Miss - 73%
5. Alabama - 72%
6. LSU - 68%
6. Tennessee - 68%
8. Missouri - 67%
9. Georgia - 66%
10. Florida - 63%
10. South Carolina - 63%
12. Texas A&M - 61%
13. Arkansas - 57%
14. Kentucky - 56%

Total 1st Round Picks since 1990
1. Florida - 28
2. Alabama - 26
2. Tennessee - 26
4. Georgia - 21
5. LSU - 20
6. Texas A&M - 17
7. Auburn - 14
8. Ole Miss - 10
9. Missouri - 8
9. South Carolina - 8
11. Arkansas - 7
12. Mississippi State - 4
13. Kentucky - 3
14. Vanderbilt - 2
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 12:44 pm
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
139641 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:23 pm to
Great selling tool for UF imo.
Posted by TheJones
Member since Nov 2009
33270 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:24 pm to
1. Auburn (63)



2. Tennessee (46)
3. Alabama (45)
4. LSU (40)
5. Georgia (36)
6. Florida (24)
7. Texas A&M (21)
Posted by cornhat
Member since Feb 2011
3393 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

Seems pretty clear at this point that Florida is Bust U in the SEC.

No hate, it's a ranking system that has concrete criteria. And we do have a lot of subpar athletes in the NFL so not going to disagree with it.
Posted by craigbiggio
Member since Dec 2009
31805 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

1. Auburn (63)
2. Tennessee (46)
3. Alabama (45)
4. LSU (40)
5. Georgia (36)
6. Florida (24)


Big 6 bros
Posted by Rebel Land Shark
Member since Jul 2013
30161 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:28 pm to
How do we have 0% in the third criteria?

Patrick Willis and Eli were both 1st round picks that made the pro bowl

ETA: and Deuce Mcallister
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24409 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:28 pm to
AU the new underachieverU?
Posted by CockInYourEar
Charlotte
Member since Sep 2012
22458 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:29 pm to
SC's Jonathan Joseph was a 1st Rd pick AND made the Pro Bowl....list is wrong.

SC's DE Jon Abraham was dradted in the 1st AND made the Pro Bowl....list and SB Nation have shite research
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:31 pm to
Chill bros - for some reason the table is only showing 25 teams in that last grouping.
Posted by Korin
Member since Jan 2014
37935 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:41 pm to
Not last.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:48 pm to
Alabama, LSU and Tennessee are the only programs that are in the Top 6 in both volume of 1st round picks and production % of those picks.

Kentucky, Arkansas and South Carolina all in the Bottom 10 of both.
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 12:49 pm
Posted by JCainKC
Kansas City, Missouri
Member since Oct 2013
293 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 12:49 pm to
Not that it matters, but Mizzou has had 4/8 make a Pro Bowl, not 3/8.
1) Justin Smith
2) Jeremy Maclin
3) Aldon Smith
4) Sheldon Richardson

Pro Bowls are a dumb criteria though- All-Pro would be better.
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 1:34 pm to
It is interesting, but doesn't take into account that when one team has 13 players drafted in 1st round, and another has 26, then the team with 26 is twice as likely to have a player not meet one of the criterion.

Someone wishing to do a true analysis would/should factor in a probability component into the equation.
Posted by jatebe
Queen of Links
Member since Oct 2008
18275 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 1:36 pm to
Why start at 1990?

The year before, 1989, Bama had one of the greatest players drafted in 1st round and he was a 9 time pro bowler.... Derrick Thomas.

Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Why start at 1990?


Good question. I was going to say b/c it looks at 25 draft classes, but it is actually 26, so even that doesn't make sense.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Why start at 1990? The year before, 1989, Bama had one of the greatest players drafted in 1st round and he was a 9 time pro bowler.... Derrick Thomas.



No clue
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