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Saban's past history indicates he won't win a national championship this year

Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:12 am
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33919 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:12 am
Saban has not done well historically when his team's been ranked #1 in the polls for four or more weeks.

2003- Beat Oklahoma as the #2 ranked team, was never ranked #1 in the polls until the final rankings after the season

2008- Spent four weeks at #1, lost to Florida in the SEC Championship as the #1 ranked team

2009- Spent only two weeks at #1, beat Florida in the SEC Championship Game as the #2 ranked team, beat Texas in the BCS NCG as the #1 ranked team

2010- Spent six weeks at #1, ended up losing three games that year

2011- Beat LSU as the #2 ranked team, was never ranked #1 in the polls until the final rankings after the season

2012- Spent nine weeks at #1, beat Notre Dame in the BCS NCG

2013- Spent 12 weeks at #1, Lost to Auburn in the famous "Kick-Six" game and Oklahoma in the Sugar Bowl

2014- Spent four weeks at #1, Lost to Ohio State in the CFP Semifinal

2015- Beat Clemson as the #2 ranked team, was never ranked #1 in the polls until the final rankings after the season

Saban has won four of his five national championships when his team was ranked #2 into the game.

Three of his national championship teams were never ranked #1 in the polls until the final rankings after the season.

Saban's had five seasons when his team was ranked #1 in the polls for at least four weeks. He's only won a national championship in one of those seasons (2012). Not only that, Saban has a 2-3 bowl record in those years.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83402 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:14 am to
quote:

Saban's past history indicates he won't win a national championship this year

quote:

Bench McElroy
Checks out
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:15 am to
Well we hadn't beat Auburn 3 times in a row under Saban until this year so........
Posted by bama will rise again
N Alabama
Member since Apr 2014
1669 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:21 am to
Well imo it did just get a lot harder playing oh st then Clemson.. Assuming everyone takes care of business tomorrow
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20473 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:31 am to
The NC teams didn't spend many weeks at #1 largely because all of them had a loss except for 2009, when defending champ Florida won it's first 12 games until losing to him.

This is kind of a weak trend.

The better indicator is to ask yourself, does he have a better team than the other playoff contenders. I'd say there's a 60%+ chance he wins the next three games.
Posted by g650Tide
Georgia
Member since Feb 2013
923 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:39 am to
quote:

negative bama post


quote:

Bench McElroy


Some things never change.

TBH. We could go 0-11 next year and I'd shrug. We've (bama) seen more championships in the past 10 years than 99% will in a lifetime. Either a) come out as a troll b) STFU
This post was edited on 12/3/16 at 12:40 am
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46552 posts
Posted on 12/3/16 at 12:45 am to
Bench has turned over a new leaf. I think he's starting to enjoy Bama football. This is a reasonable post, IMO.
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