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Posted on 2/8/16 at 8:51 am to Pinche Cabron
He doesn't have a Paxton Lynch waiting on the roster.
I think it won't be a quick rebuild for him there.
I think it won't be a quick rebuild for him there.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 8:57 am to Old Sarge
quote:
Bama 40%
LSU 40%
Tenn 50%
Miss 55%
Auburn 60%
Arky 60%
Msst 65%
UCLA 70%
SC 70%
NMSU 99%
UTSA 99.5%
PVAMU 99.5%
I like the optimism but I think Bama should be on a different rung from LSU, and I think UCLA should be a lower percentage than State. It's also really hard to have Ole Spice higher than 50% I think.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 9:01 am to Cheeky Fellow
1. Ole Miss (50%)
2. Tennessee (55%)
3. Florida (60%)
4. UNC (65%)
5. Auburn (70%)
6. Ga Tech (75%)
7. Missouri (80%)
8. USCe (85%)
9. Vandy (90%)
10. Kentucky (90%)
11. ULL (97%)
12. Nicholls State (99.9%)
2. Tennessee (55%)
3. Florida (60%)
4. UNC (65%)
5. Auburn (70%)
6. Ga Tech (75%)
7. Missouri (80%)
8. USCe (85%)
9. Vandy (90%)
10. Kentucky (90%)
11. ULL (97%)
12. Nicholls State (99.9%)
Posted on 2/8/16 at 9:22 am to Cheeky Fellow
Look, sooner or later the plug in any old guy for qb plan has to fail right? 
Posted on 2/8/16 at 9:27 am to Cheeky Fellow
1. LSU (5%)
2. Florida State (10%)
3. Tennessee (20%)
4. Arkansas (25%)
5. Georgia (50%)
6. Kentucky (60%)
7. Missouri (60%)
8. South Carolina (70%)
9. UMass (90%)
10. Vanderbilt (95%)
11. North Texas (95%)
12. Presbyterian (99%)
2. Florida State (10%)
3. Tennessee (20%)
4. Arkansas (25%)
5. Georgia (50%)
6. Kentucky (60%)
7. Missouri (60%)
8. South Carolina (70%)
9. UMass (90%)
10. Vanderbilt (95%)
11. North Texas (95%)
12. Presbyterian (99%)
Posted on 2/8/16 at 9:46 am to Cheeky Fellow
1) @LSU (35%)
2) Bama (40%)
3) (Neutral) FSU (50%)
4) @ Arky (50%)
5) UGA (60%)
6) Auburn (60%)
7) MS State (70%)
8) @ TAMU (75%)
9) @ Vandy (85%)
10) GaSouthern (85%)
11) Memphis (95%)
12) Wofford (99.9%)
2) Bama (40%)
3) (Neutral) FSU (50%)
4) @ Arky (50%)
5) UGA (60%)
6) Auburn (60%)
7) MS State (70%)
8) @ TAMU (75%)
9) @ Vandy (85%)
10) GaSouthern (85%)
11) Memphis (95%)
12) Wofford (99.9%)
Posted on 2/8/16 at 10:00 am to 12Pence
quote:
1. Alabama
2. @ Arkansas
3. @ Florida
4. @ Wisconsin
5. @ Auburn
6. Ole Miss
Nice troll.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 10:09 am to Cheeky Fellow
quote:
1. @ LSU (50%)
2. @ Tennessee (60%)
3. @ Ole Miss (65%)
4. @ Arkansas (70%)
5. USC (75%)
6. Auburn (80%)
7. Texas A&M (85%)
8. Mississippi State (92%)
9. Western Kentucky (97%)
10. Kentucky (98%)
11. Kent State (99.5%)
12. Chattanooga (99.75%)
I'm torn between switching Auburn and MS state, or Auburn and Kentucky.
Otherwise, good list.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 10:18 am to ChoadieMcSmalls
quote:
Auburn and MS state, or Auburn and Kentucky.
I think Auburn will be better next season. Defense will be above average, offense can't be any worse and they will have a fast guy running it.
Kentucky just stinks and State won't be a good matchup against us.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 10:32 am to AstroAg17
Well the record against LSU would suggest you don't have a better shot at beating us over beating bama.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 11:35 am to PAGator
quote:
3. Tennessee (20%)
Honestly, this number is too low. History indicates that UF would have a lot more than a 20% chance of beating UT. I would put it at about 35-40%.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 11:37 am to TheCosbySweater
quote:
65 percent chance of beating your daddy in Oxford?
OM has lost a lot. If there's any reason to believe the trend reverses, this could be it.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 11:40 am to ladyluckUGA
quote:
quote:
Cheeky Fellow
quote:
Member since Jan 2016
1355 posts
He's been here about 14 days and so it averages out to.....
99 posts per DAY!
Posted on 2/8/16 at 11:42 am to Cheeky Fellow
1: Bama (40%)
2: UGA (55%)
3: UF (65%)
4: A&M (70%)
t5: VT (80%)
t5: SC (80%)
7: Mizzou (85%)
t8: UK (90%)
t8: Vandy (90%)
t10: Appy St (95%)
t10: Ohio (95%)
12: Tenn Tech (99.99999999999999%)
If we win all the games I anticipate us being favored in, we would go 11-1. But off my percentages, our expected win total is 9.45. IRL I think we go 10-2.
2: UGA (55%)
3: UF (65%)
4: A&M (70%)
t5: VT (80%)
t5: SC (80%)
7: Mizzou (85%)
t8: UK (90%)
t8: Vandy (90%)
t10: Appy St (95%)
t10: Ohio (95%)
12: Tenn Tech (99.99999999999999%)
If we win all the games I anticipate us being favored in, we would go 11-1. But off my percentages, our expected win total is 9.45. IRL I think we go 10-2.
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 2:26 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 12:22 pm to 12Pence
Alabama 40%
@ Arkansas 55%
Ole Miss 56%
@Florida 65%
@Auburn 70%
Mississippi State 80%
@Texas A&M 85%
Wisconsin 85%
Missouri 95%
Southern Miss 99.5%
South Alabama 99.99%
Jacksonville State 99.99%
@ Arkansas 55%
Ole Miss 56%
@Florida 65%
@Auburn 70%
Mississippi State 80%
@Texas A&M 85%
Wisconsin 85%
Missouri 95%
Southern Miss 99.5%
South Alabama 99.99%
Jacksonville State 99.99%
Posted on 2/8/16 at 12:35 pm to rockytop627
1. Ole Miss (40%)
2. Tennessee (45%)
3. Florida (51%)
4. UNC (55%)
5. Auburn (65%)
6. Ga Tech (75%)
7. Missouri (80%)
8. USCe (85%)
9. Vandy (90%)
10. Kentucky (90%)
11. ULL (97%)
12. Nicholls State (99.9%)
Pretty close to the other UGA poster... rankings all the same, just bumped the %'s down... was a little too Disney for me. Ole Miss & Tennessee are the only statistically probable losses IMO, but I do like that we get UT at home. UF and UNC closer to coin flips but I think we should have a slight edge. Auburn, Tech, Mizzou, USC in that "should win but can't take for granted" category I think this year (though Auburn has proven time and again, when you count them out they will frick you up). Vandy, UK, ULL, Nicholls State... would be a massive shitstain of a season if you lose any of these in year 1 if you're Kirby.
8.729 Expected win value... squarely in my 8-9 win prediction...
2. Tennessee (45%)
3. Florida (51%)
4. UNC (55%)
5. Auburn (65%)
6. Ga Tech (75%)
7. Missouri (80%)
8. USCe (85%)
9. Vandy (90%)
10. Kentucky (90%)
11. ULL (97%)
12. Nicholls State (99.9%)
Pretty close to the other UGA poster... rankings all the same, just bumped the %'s down... was a little too Disney for me. Ole Miss & Tennessee are the only statistically probable losses IMO, but I do like that we get UT at home. UF and UNC closer to coin flips but I think we should have a slight edge. Auburn, Tech, Mizzou, USC in that "should win but can't take for granted" category I think this year (though Auburn has proven time and again, when you count them out they will frick you up). Vandy, UK, ULL, Nicholls State... would be a massive shitstain of a season if you lose any of these in year 1 if you're Kirby.
8.729 Expected win value... squarely in my 8-9 win prediction...
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 12:49 pm to Cheeky Fellow
1. Bama 50%
2. @Arkansas 55%
3. Ole Miss 65%
4. @Florida 75%
5. Wisconsin (at Lambeau) 80%
6. @Auburn 90%
7. State 95%
8. Mizzou 97%
9. Southern Miss 98%
10. Jacksonville State 99.5%
11. South Alabama 99.8%
12. @A&M 100%
2. @Arkansas 55%
3. Ole Miss 65%
4. @Florida 75%
5. Wisconsin (at Lambeau) 80%
6. @Auburn 90%
7. State 95%
8. Mizzou 97%
9. Southern Miss 98%
10. Jacksonville State 99.5%
11. South Alabama 99.8%
12. @A&M 100%
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 12:52 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 1:40 pm to Purplehaze44
Aggies better watch out for UTSA, Frank is coaching over there now =)
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:14 pm to PurpleandGeauld
A Day - Red Team
Southern Cal - 55%
Ole Miss - 60%
Arkansas - 60%
LSU - 70%
Tennessee - 70%
Texas A&M - 75%
Auburn - 80%
Mississippi State - 95%
Western Kentucky - 98%
Kentucky - 99%
UTC - 100%
Kent State - 100%
I'll be very much surprised if we're not favored to win every game....again. Will probably stumble somewhere along the way though.
Southern Cal - 55%
Ole Miss - 60%
Arkansas - 60%
LSU - 70%
Tennessee - 70%
Texas A&M - 75%
Auburn - 80%
Mississippi State - 95%
Western Kentucky - 98%
Kentucky - 99%
UTC - 100%
Kent State - 100%
I'll be very much surprised if we're not favored to win every game....again. Will probably stumble somewhere along the way though.
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