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Odds that Auburn won't play in SECCG

Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:48 pm
Posted by argyle
mobile
Member since Jan 2008
65 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:48 pm
What are the odds that the NCAA will rule Cam Newton ineligible prior to the SECCG next week? Wouldn't that make the winner of the LSU/ARK the SEC west champion?


Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:49 pm to
4.71322% as of 14 seconds ago...
Posted by RANDY44
Member since Aug 2005
9572 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

What are the odds that the NCAA will rule Cam Newton ineligible prior to the SECCG next week? Wouldn't that make the winner of the LSU/ARK the SEC west champion?

Not if 'Bama also defeats AU today. Then it would be a 3-way SECW title(Shades of Ole Miss) and 'Bama would win the tie-breaker .
Posted by Ice Cold
Over Macho Grande
Member since Jun 2004
18741 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

'Bama would win the tie-breaker .
Has two losses.
Posted by EST
Investigating
Member since Oct 2003
17813 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:53 pm to
100%
Posted by argyle
mobile
Member since Jan 2008
65 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:53 pm to
I think the odds are 100% that Auburn will not play in that game
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
33935 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

4.71322% as of 14 seconds ago...


Hey Doc,

I'm hearing some rumors that, if true, would suggest the chance is much higher than this.

These rumors are coming from a prominent TAF member, but regardless....take with a grain of salt.

I, for one, am not getting my hopes up. Will assume these rumors are not true until confirmed.

Posted by Ride The Wave
Sniffin' Their Panties
Member since Sep 2007
1968 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:54 pm to
0% - R. Bush
Posted by athletemed
The Woodlands, Texas
Member since Oct 2007
5871 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:56 pm to
inconceivable......
Posted by EST
Investigating
Member since Oct 2003
17813 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:56 pm to
The question is: how is the SEC gonna get all those tickets sold to Auburn fans back so LSU fans can get them.
Posted by argyle
mobile
Member since Jan 2008
65 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:56 pm to
I have heard the same rumors....apparantly phone calls have been made to coaches of LSU and ARK to be prepared to play South Carolina in case the findings are in prior to SECCG
Posted by Champs
Geaux Tigers
Member since Feb 2008
11690 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:57 pm to
heard the same rumors---if true, word will be out late saturday
Posted by athletemed
The Woodlands, Texas
Member since Oct 2007
5871 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

heard the same rumors---if true, word will be out late saturday


Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
33935 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

I have heard the same rumors....apparantly phone calls have been made to coaches of LSU and ARK to be prepared to play South Carolina in case the findings are in prior to SECCG


This is what I heard, too.
Posted by ellessuuuu
Member since Sep 2004
8533 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Not if 'Bama also defeats AU today. Then it would be a 3-way SECW title(Shades of Ole Miss) and 'Bama would win the tie-breaker


How do you have a three way tie, does Alabama get to cancel one of their TWO losses by beating Auburn?
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 1:01 pm to
We could be in a 3-way tie if we lose to Arkansas, with Alabama (6-2) and Arkansas (6-2), assuming Alabama wins today and LSU & Arkie don't have losses to Auburn overturned.

In that case, it would seem that Alabama would go on the basis of its 4-1 record versus the SEC West.

EDIT: Arkansas could still be in contention for the SECCG assuming that Auburn beats Bama but is not allowed to go to the SECCG at 7-1.
This post was edited on 11/26/10 at 1:09 pm
Posted by TGK4LSU
Lafayette
Member since Oct 2005
2638 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Odds that Auburn won't play in SECCG


0.00%

Auburn will end up on probation, but this will take months if not years. The travesty is that Auburn continues to play Cam knowing he will be declared ineligible and denying another school an opportunity to play in the SECCG and the National Championship game.

Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

I'm hearing some rumors that, if true, would suggest the chance is much higher than this.


I have revised my odds to 8.21% as of 17 seconds ago...
Posted by athletemed
The Woodlands, Texas
Member since Oct 2007
5871 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

I have revised my odds to 8.21% as of 17 seconds ago...


Posted by argyle
mobile
Member since Jan 2008
65 posts
Posted on 11/26/10 at 1:05 pm to
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