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October 22nd Top 25 SEC Games - Lines, Computer Predictions
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:11 am
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:11 am
#1 Alabama (-16.5) vs #6 Texas A&M
ESPN FPI : Alabama 76.7%
Massey : Alabama 38-21 (88%)
S&P : Alabama 35-22 (79%)
#25 LSU (-5.5) vs #23 Ole Miss
ESPN FPI : LSU 65.8%
Massey : Ole Miss 30-29 (51%)
S&P : LSU 33-28 (60%)
#21 Auburn (-7.0) vs #17 Arkansas
ESPN FPI : Auburn 84.7%
Massey : Auburn 28-23 (64%)
S&P : Auburn 37-22 (81%)
ESPN FPI : Alabama 76.7%
Massey : Alabama 38-21 (88%)
S&P : Alabama 35-22 (79%)
#25 LSU (-5.5) vs #23 Ole Miss
ESPN FPI : LSU 65.8%
Massey : Ole Miss 30-29 (51%)
S&P : LSU 33-28 (60%)
#21 Auburn (-7.0) vs #17 Arkansas
ESPN FPI : Auburn 84.7%
Massey : Auburn 28-23 (64%)
S&P : Auburn 37-22 (81%)
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Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:12 am to Triple Daves
Good thread, thanks.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:14 am to Triple Daves
quote:
84.7%
Seems a little low but I'll take it.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:15 am to AA7
An interesting line, Missouri is only -6 against MTSU.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:26 am to Triple Daves
quote:
ESPN FPI : Auburn 84.7%
i'm pretty sure fpi had us winning 3 games this season so we've already exceeded it by 2 and we have 5 games to go.
This post was edited on 10/17/16 at 9:31 am
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:27 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Triple Daves
If its not too much ask, can i have a link to this
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:30 am to Triple Daves
Triple Daves - how about I post my game selections for this weekend and you pick for me. 35 college games and all the NFL games. I am sucking hind titty this season, it has become embarrassing
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:30 am to piggilicious
quote:pretty sure your memory isn't very good
i'm pretty sure fpi had us winning 3 games this season so we've already exceeding it by 2 and we have 5 games to go.
fpi had arkansas at 6.5 wins before the season
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:31 am to Triple Daves
MTSU can put up points, with how god awful Mizzous D has been who knows what'll happen.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:31 am to viceman
quote:
If its not too much ask, can i have a link to this
Google ESPN FPI then click on one of the teams. For S&P, search "Football Study Hall Stat Analysis". And for Massey just search Massey and click the team.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:32 am to joeyb147
quote:
pretty sure your memory isn't very good fpi had arkansas at 6.5 wins before the season
Yep - preseason FPI had Arkansas
#25
6.6-5.4
0.6% Win SEC
0.0% go undefeated
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:34 am to joeyb147
quote:
pretty sure your memory isn't very good
Last week FPI had Arkansas losing out. Pretty sure that is what he is referring to. Arkansas losing to Ole Miss was nearly 80%.
This post was edited on 10/17/16 at 9:38 am
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:36 am to joeyb147
quote:
fpi had arkansas at 6.5 wins before the season
someone posted (summer of george or some random lsu fan) the predictions (or %) and we were underdogs in every game for the rest of the season. maybe it was just 2 weeks ago but i thought it was longer than that. fpi is a joke was really my point.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:37 am to Triple Daves
quote:
Google ESPN FPI then click on one of the teams. For S&P, search "Football Study Hall Stat Analysis". And for Massey just search Massey and click the team.
thanks , I still like to use computer rankings before making my picks, keep on posting
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:37 am to piggilicious
Last week vs. Ole Miss
quote:
Ole Miss (-7.5) @ Arkansas
Massey : Ole Miss 37-31 (68% Win)
S&P : Ole Miss 37-32 (62% Win)
ESPN FPI : Ole Miss (77% Win)
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:38 am to viceman
quote:
I still like to use computer rankings before making my picks, keep on posting
They are good once you get to this point in the season. Obviously they don't take into account injuries or turnovers in a game, but they definitely give a good baseline.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:39 am to Hawgeye
quote:
Last week vs. Ole Miss
Yep. Arkansas, like I posted in another thread, has played 4 really, really good offenses in their power 5 games. Now, they've gotten beat up pretty good by them, but that could just be proof that they are a slightly below average defense, not necessarily a historically bad one.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:41 am to Triple Daves
quote:
has played 4 really, really good offenses in their power 5 games. Now, they've gotten beat up pretty good by them
Going 2-2 in those games is pretty strong, IMO
Arkansas will not see any offenses going forward that have been near what the first half of the schedule was. The defense really started to settle down last week in the second half against Ole Miss.
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:42 am to Triple Daves
quote:
They are good once you get to this point in the season. Obviously they don't take into account injuries or turnovers in a game, but they definitely give a good baseline.
they do not, but they don't have the human bias, something I find useful for the other conferences I don't watch as much
Posted on 10/17/16 at 9:43 am to Triple Daves
quote:
that could just be proof that they are a slightly below average defense,
The pass defense is not bad at all imo. The problem is the run defense is so bad atm that the secondary is having to help on the run. Our LBs do get abused from time to time in pass coverage though.
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