Getting UNC and Dook is half as good as getting UNC and a team from Virginia. It makes little sense.
Exactly. It will be one from North Carolina and one from Virginia to the SEC. That part isn't really even debatable.
The B1G will not accept a school that isn't an AAU member... That disqualifies NC State, Va Tech, FSU, Miami, etc...That leaves UNC, Duke, Georgia Tech and Virginia as viable options for their continued expansion.
I think Virginia and Georgia Tech are B1G-bound. Virginia just wants the academics and Georgia Tech is desperate financially as they see the SEC driving them further and further into irrelevance.
FSU and Clemson are Big 12 bound. These may actually be the first shoes to drop, assuming the $50mil buyout doesn't hold up. This will be followed closely with Virginia Tech to the SEC.
Once that happens, the ACC is no longer viable as a league, and everyone that's attractive enough that they can jump - will jump - the rest will join the Big East to form a(still) elite basketball league.
That leaves the North Carolinan chess match. The only way EVERYONE ends up happy is for NC State to go Big12, UNC to the SEC, and Duke to the B1G. Otherwise, UNC goes to the B1G, NC State to the SEC, and Duke gets left out for the basketball conference they should be in in the first place.
If Duke gets invited to any major conference(other than Big12), that conference will then be beyond the 16-team model, making things no less ridiculous than they currently are.