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Metric created at MIT reveals top 10 coaches in college football

Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:39 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40948 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:39 pm
LINK


quote:

OVERALL EFFICIENCY
1. Nick Saban 10.01
2. Les Miles 9.33
3. Brian Kelly 3.83
4. Butch Jones 3.30
5. Bill Snyder 3.12
6. David Shaw 3.04
7. Chip Kelly 2.68
8. Bret Bielema 2.35
9. Will Muschamp 2.23
10. Chris Petersen 2.20



Explanation:
quote:

The brilliance of Chou's Efficiency Metric lies in its simplicity. To rate the offense and defense separately you just find the quotient of the yards gained or allowed by a team over the total points scored for or against that team and it will give you the efficiency rating. If you want the overall team score, you find both the offensive and defensive ratings and then subtract the offensive rating from the defensive rating, then multiply that number by the team's strength of schedule to get one all-encompassing score.

This works so well because you want your team to have a high number on defense and a low number on offense, therefore when you find the difference between the two it embraces all aspects of the game. If the defense forces a three-and-out, then the punt returner gets some good blocks and has a decent return to give the offense a short field and the offense capitalizes on that opportunity by putting up seven points then that will greatly help your rating because all three phases of the game did their jobs to put points on the board.



SEC with 5 of top 10
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68418 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

1. Nick Saban 10.01
2. Les Miles 9.33
3. Brian Kelly 3.83
4. Butch Jones 3.30
5. Bill Snyder 3.12
6. David Shaw 3.04
7. Chip Kelly 2.68
8. Bret Bielema 2.35
9. Will Muschamp 2.23
10. Chris Petersen 2.20

One of these is not like the others.
This post was edited on 7/6/13 at 3:41 pm
Posted by BamaNixon
Stumptown
Member since Nov 2010
3266 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:40 pm to
G
Posted by gnarkill1529
Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
4639 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

4. Butch Jones 3.30


huh

quote:

9. Will Muschamp 2.23


Posted by PepaSpray
Adamantium Membership
Member since Aug 2012
11080 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:48 pm to
1 & 2 then a huge drop off. Whoa. Nice metric
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:48 pm to
Yay, sabermetrics meets football. That won't ruin the sport at all.
Posted by Arkansasrazorback
Member since May 2010
9288 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

4. Butch Jones 3.30


Posted by tgr4ever
Gwinnett, baw
Member since Jul 2011
16214 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

2. Les Miles 9.33
So terrible. Worst coach in the SEC.
Posted by FourThreeForty
Member since May 2013
17290 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Top 10 college football coaches




quote:

1. Nick Saban




I would have never guessed
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25846 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:13 pm to
Posted on our rivals board.

quote:

I've been up early cooking today and got to thinking about the UTjr hire and who they settled for then I went and did a little home work on the hire and came away with this and thought Id share.

Butch Jones the greatest coach to ever coach at the University of Tennessee Jr won 23 games while he was at the University of Cincinnati in 3 seasons, which is impressive right? I mean that comes out to an average of 8-4 per season and lets me honest here UTjr would probably act like that won it all again if they even had a winning season.

But do you think they have realized that of Butch Jr's 23 wins that 3 of the game came against division II schools while 15 of the 20 D1 game wins were to teams with a losing record on the season. So 18 of Butchy's 23 big wins while he was a Bearcat were to losing teams and D2 schools.

Of his 5 big wins (3 game in 2010 with Brian Kelly's players) that weren't losers they were 10-4 Miami of Ohio who beat 4 D2 schools themselves. 7-6 Louisville, 8-5 NCst (2 wins against D2 schools) 7-6 Virginia Tech (1 D2 win) and 8-5 Syracuse)
This post was edited on 7/6/13 at 4:14 pm
Posted by harmonics
Mars Hotel
Member since Jan 2010
18611 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

8 of these are not like the 2 of these.
Posted by NutHanger Farm
Member since Jun 2013
200 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:21 pm to
Look up Les Miles record vs. Top 25, top 10, top 5

I bet it is the best.

Miles is a great coach. He is neck and neck with Saban.

Ill never get the hate for Les. The Bama /LSU situation is a thing of beauty. It takes some ball players over a long stretch to keep that close to Nick.

Bama posters how about a little respect for your opponent on this thread. LSU Bama has been for Natty a long time now and the games have been epic (except - well you know). But that team grinded out a W at Bama.

Two Great teams and 2 great coaches. You cant be that close to Nick and not be good. Even maintaining is hard as hell.
Posted by FourThreeForty
Member since May 2013
17290 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:24 pm to
LSU was lucky they got a coach that continually expanded on nick Sabans success
Posted by NutHanger Farm
Member since Jun 2013
200 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:26 pm to
Agreed.
Posted by bbvdd
Memphis, TN
Member since Jun 2009
24905 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:27 pm to
Without question Les deserves that ranking. Look at the time he's been at LSU and what they have done year in, year out.

It's the one game that I'm scared of every year.

Les may make some questionable calls at times but so has every other coach out there. Perfect example on Nick Saban was the TAMU game inside the 5 yd line.
Posted by Quentin Compson
Member since Jun 2013
3117 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:38 pm to
This measures the team and not the coach.
Posted by gnarkill1529
Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
4639 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:39 pm to
I honestly cant believe ole ball coach isn't on this list
Posted by Arkansasrazorback
Member since May 2010
9288 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

I honestly cant believe ole ball coach isn't on this list


This. The OBC is definitely a top 10 coach in CFB. Also, even though he is a huge douchebag, so is Bobby Petrino.
Posted by gnarkill1529
Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
4639 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Bobby Petrino


Yeah didn't even think about him either...hell of a coach
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
46614 posts
Posted on 7/6/13 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

LSU was lucky they got a coach that continually expanded on nick Sabans success


While Saban was good at LSU , miles took over a 4 loss team in 2005 while the worst natural disaster in LA history was happening.
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