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re: Likelihood your team loses to Alabama.

Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:09 am to
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46547 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:09 am to
Well... yeah, actually.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72134 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:12 am to
quote:


Except they're not.

Alabama vs Arkansas:

0.720 win ratio, 25 games, 18 wins, 7 losses.


I assume you're using Stassen. They don't account for those infortunate vacated wins from 2005 and 2007. And I don't think they used the 1993 win as a forfeited game.
Posted by atlgator
Jacksonville, Atlanta, Gainesville
Member since Aug 2014
5520 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Only 57%? @Bama? Butch has closed that talent gap FAST!


Moral Victory U
Posted by UNO
Member since Mar 2015
4961 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:14 am to
I don't have a team, but I guess i'd most closely associate to LSU when it comes to SEC football.

65% would be my number too.
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68436 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:42 am to
Well that's very dumb
Posted by PokerPlayingTiger
Member since Jan 2007
2745 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Sept. 19 *Ole Miss 81% chance you lose to UA

Oct. 3 *Georgia 59% chance you lose to UA

Oct. 10 *Arkansas 65% chance you lose to UA

Oct. 17 *Texas A&M 71% chance you lose to UA

Oct. 24 *Tennessee 57% chance you lose to UA

Nov. 7 *LSU 65% chance you lose to UA

Nov. 14 *Mississippi State 80% chance you lose to UA

Nov. 28 *Auburn 55% chance you lose to UA



This means there is only a 4% chance that Alabama goes undefeated.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46547 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Well that's very dumb


You think your odds are better playing in Tuscaloosa against a team and coaching staff looking for revenge? Your team being the only one in the SEC to beat Bama last year isn't something you've got going in your favor this year

Fun fact: Ole Miss has beaten the University of Alabama only one time in the state of Alabama - either Birmingham or Tuscaloosa... Ever. And that was in 1988.

Posted by redeye
Member since Aug 2013
8597 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 3:15 pm to
Since we play in BD, I'll take those odds.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42610 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 3:16 pm to
So you're saying there's a chance?
This post was edited on 5/6/15 at 3:17 pm
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22454 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Fun fact: Ole Miss has beaten the University of Alabama only one time in the state of Alabama - either Birmingham or Tuscaloosa... Ever. And that was in 1988.


Wow, most of the posters probably were not even born yet.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72134 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 3:48 pm to
Arkansas is 1-6 in BDS since 2000.

Arkansas is 3-8 in Tuscaloosa all-time.

It will be interesting to see how it plays out with an improved Arkansas team, after that close call in Fayetteville last October.
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