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re: Likelihood your team loses to Alabama.

Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:56 am to
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55170 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:56 am to
Well considering you gave us a 100% chance of losing last time we beat Bama, I'll take it
Posted by WareagleKK
Milton, GA (ur welcome for Lawson)
Member since May 2012
2749 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:02 am to
quote:

I'm guessing no one has bothered to realize these are series winning percentages.






Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:03 am to
quote:

Likelihood your team loses to Alabama. by WareagleKKI'd have Auburn at 35%. We at home


Same for me.

Bama has beaten AU 4 times at the Hare in the 25 years the game has been played in AU.

1999 - 5-6 unranked AU team
2001 - 7-5 unranked AU team
2009 - 8-5 unranked AU team
2011 - 8-5 unranked AU team

If we are anywhere close to as good as we are expected to be, I like our chances.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46523 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:03 am to
quote:

Auburn has a 67 percent chance of winning because that is our winning percentage against you losers in Jordan Hare


If you want to do it like that, Auburn is 2-2 against Bama under Saban at JHS.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46523 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:07 am to
quote:

2011 - 8-5 unranked AU team


Auburn was ranked in the final BCS standings of 2011 and won their bowl game.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37295 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:21 am to
quote:

I'm guessing no one has bothered to realize these are series winning percentages


i'm guessing no one bothered to do the calculations outside of bama fans because most of us are sane and don't care. i also guess you failed to realize that.



Posted by BammerDelendaEst
Member since Jan 2014
2212 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:23 am to
You get an F because you didn't show your work.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72091 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:28 am to
Damn you're touchy.
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
43944 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:36 am to
quote:

I'm guessing no one has bothered to realize these are series winning percentages.

Except they're not.

Alabama vs Arkansas:

0.720 win ratio, 25 games, 18 wins, 7 losses.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37295 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:39 am to
no, just thought it was funny wording for someone to 'bother to realize' all those percentages.
This post was edited on 5/6/15 at 9:46 am
Posted by nc14
La Jolla
Member since Jan 2012
28193 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:42 am to
quote:

We at home and have a huge QB advantage


November thread for post that come back to bite you. Please keep repeating.
Posted by victoire sécurisé
Member since Nov 2012
4814 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:50 am to
Given those odds, there's a 3.6% chance that 'Bama makes it through that schedule without a loss.

.81*.59*.65*.71*.57*.65*.8*.55 = 0.036
Posted by WeBeezYoSuperBowl
Trap house
Member since May 2015
988 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:53 am to
My man, still suckling from that 2012 Super Bowl win against Bama I see

*Loses the next 2 against Bama, including 59-0 last year*

Posted by Mr. Misanthrope
Cloud 8
Member since Nov 2012
5455 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Likelihood your team loses to Alabama.


Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
10941 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 10:01 am to
Here's some historical data for you, from the beginning of time:

There is a 100% chance that, if you live, you will die. I belive this data definitively proves that the leading cause of death is life itself.

Now, historical data as it pertains to sporting events is far less accurate when applied to 'any given game'.

For example, my calculations indicate there is a 0% chance LSU loses to the red team this year with a correlating 100% chance that they dismantle the red team in a convincing manner.
Posted by Mizzou to my Lou
Miami
Member since Sep 2013
1767 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 10:40 am to
Is this data driven or just spewing?
Posted by Porker Face
Midnight
Member since Feb 2012
15300 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 10:42 am to
Chances Bama goes undefeated? 0%
Posted by WeBeezYoSuperBowl
Trap house
Member since May 2015
988 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 10:43 am to
Chances Arky loses 5 games minimum? 100%
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:01 am to
It's rare when I upvote a Bama troll thread, but this was so well done. The fact that those percentages were historical win percentages went straight over my head.

Props, My Dear General.
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68416 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 11:08 am to
nvm
This post was edited on 5/6/15 at 11:09 am
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