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How LSU's Rushing Offense Has Skewed Rushing Defensive Statistics

Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:34 pm
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:34 pm
Just about every angle of this game has been discussed ad nauseum, but I keep reading about how LSU has not faced any decent rushing defenses thus far, so I decided to take a look at how the game result for each opponent has affected their rushing defense average.

I took out the amount of yards LSU gained on the ground vs each opponent, so we could get a true number for what each defense would be ranked, had LSU not played them.

LSU caused Florida to go from 7th to 15th.
Syracuse went from 40th to 58th.
Mississippi State went from 39th to 61st.
Auburn from 63rd to 99th.
South Carolina from 97th to 112th.

Removing each game with LSU as an opponent:
Florida has allowed 661 total yards for an average of 94.42 a game.
Syracuse has allowed 989 total yards for an average of 141.2 a game.
Moo State has allowed 978 total yards for an average of 139.7 yards per game.
South Carolina has allowed 1326 total yards for an average of 189.4 yards per game.
Auburn has allowed 1144 total yards for an average of 163.4 yards a game.

This seems to be a more accurate representation of the caliber of defense LSU has played up to this point.
This post was edited on 11/3/15 at 5:40 pm
Posted by sjmabry
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
18494 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:35 pm to
Naw man, LSU won't be able to run against the gumps
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37436 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:36 pm to
Based on the Florida game then converting to Alabama's rushing defense stats; LSU should get around 155 yards total as a team Saturday.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
78817 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:36 pm to
"but you guys haven't played anybody yet!"
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:39 pm to
Well they would have played somebody besides LSU, right?
Posted by Landsharks
Shreveport, louisana
Member since Jan 2013
8032 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:39 pm to
If you think that one game has this much impact, then you are crazy
Posted by UserName69
Member since Sep 2014
1613 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:40 pm to
LSU will cause Alabama to go from 3rd to 1st in rushing Defense after Saturday.

"I'll bet the trailer on it" - Gump
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:41 pm to
Nah, bro, it's scientific.
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32647 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:41 pm to
Did you just subtract the number of rushing yards LSU got against them to find the new ranking?
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

Well they would have played somebody besides LSU, right?


Um, yeah. Try to keep up.
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:42 pm to
there's this prevailing attitude that bama's defense is an immovable object, they are some of the time, they're wildly inconsistent

and nothing I've seen would suggest leonard fournette isn't going to get his and he plays up to the competition.
Posted by phaz
Waddell, AZ
Member since Jan 2009
5811 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:42 pm to
I have seen this same post 5 times. Get some new material for God'a sake.
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:43 pm to
Yes.
Posted by UserName69
Member since Sep 2014
1613 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:43 pm to
This post was edited on 11/3/15 at 4:44 pm
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32647 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:44 pm to
So that's one less game for each of Those teams. That's one game where instead of giving up the yards to LSU you gave them 0 rushing yards against? Wouldn't all the teams have to have the same amount of games played to make the jump correct?
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

If you think that one game has this much impact, then you are crazy


You realize the difference in each rush defense is actually pretty low, so when you have an outlier 200 YARDS OVER YOUR AVERAGE, you tend to have a skewed result. Besides, there is only 7 or so games for each team, so an outlier like that DOES HAVE AN IMPACT.
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Get some new material for God'a sake.


I did the research on my own and this is the first time I've posted it.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:45 pm to
Nice edit, Mr. Wizard. This thread is full of statistical geniuses.
Posted by AUatWashandLee
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2014
664 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:47 pm to
I would think he would have taken out the LSU game altogether and found the average for all the other games their opponents played so that the average didn't include a game with 0 rushing yards surrendered.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
69985 posts
Posted on 11/3/15 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

I would think he would have taken out the LSU game altogether and found the average for all the other games their opponents played so that the average didn't include a game with 0 rushing yards surrendered.


That's the assumption I made as well.
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