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Game Analysis: Mississippi State @ Auburn

Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:26 am
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:26 am
I chose this game this week because it is the most interesting to me. Georgia vs Tennessee is going to be a snooze fest unless Neyland Stadium can take out some of the Georgia players as it has done in the past.

Back to this game though. Both teams are 3-1 and are still trying to carve out their place in the west. Mississippi State has had, what was perceived at the time as, a big win at home against LSU. Auburn went on the road and played defensively well against Clemson, but the offense sputtered and they couldn't come up with the potentially huge W. State is coming off a very humbling trip to Athens and Auburn is coming off a "big" win against Mizzou where the return of K. Johnson has seemed to put a new spark into this Auburn offense. So let's get done to it shall we.

QB - Draw: Neither QB will look stellar in this game imo. Stidham isn't who Auburn hoped he would be and Fitzgerald is pedestrian when he isn't able to run off the zone read. Don't look for either to make much noise.

RB - Auburn: Being that State will go on the road again and face a defense that is similar to Georgia's, I can't see State's running game developing as it should to keep Auburn on its heels.

WR - Draw: With both QBs being pedestrian, I can't either receiving corps doing anything big this game.

OL/DL - State: I know Auburn fans aren't going to like this, but I think State's DL will have more of an impact on the game than Auburn's. Don't think for a second that the OL issues at Auburn have been fixed in two games. You just played two teams that couldn't expose them. Mercer has been playing football for 5 or so years and Mizzou has no defense. I think State can and will impact the game here. Auburn's D-Line will give State's OL fits as well being that they are built a little similar to Georgia's.

LB - State: With Stidham not being a running threat, Pettway only being able to go up the middle and Johnson only being able to go to the outside, Auburn's run attack may be easier to scheme against. State on the other hand may be able open some things up if their o-line can dominate the LOS which will be tough. Being that Fitz can pose a bigger threat with his legs, I think Auburn's LBs will have the tougher road

DB - Draw: With QB play potentially being pedestrian, I don't see either defensive backfield being in too much trouble. Both will be able to force picks with the aid of their respective front 7s.

K- Auburn: Legatron

Coaching: - State: This is the type of game Mullen will find a way to win. Gus will continue to do what he has always done, run it up the middle.
Posted by Pinche Cabron
TN
Member since Nov 2015
3639 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:29 am to
Auburn by 10 because MSU can't handle a good defense
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:30 am to
This is a lot of effort to simply troll a rival. So you see us weaker at basically every position...hmmm.
Posted by AA7
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2009
26662 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:31 am to
quote:

LB - State

Posted by DingLeeBerry
Member since Oct 2014
10891 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:31 am to
I'm thinking it should be an old fashioned boring SEC West 17-13 type game either way. Will be interesting to see how our guys respond this week.

I think we could do a little something with Fitz going under center some now but have to add a fullback to be effective. Since we don't have one, I'd put Lee at FB and give it a try.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Auburn by 10 because MSU can't handle a good defense

As I said, Auburn has a similar defense, but do you think Mullen can now find a way to scheme around it having faced Georgia? I know it is only one week, but I think he can find some things to exploit and go with that. I can see this game being similar to the Clemson game.
Posted by Pinche Cabron
TN
Member since Nov 2015
3639 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:31 am to
I don't think he is intentionally trolling. He just doesn't think you guys are that great.

Your defense is really good
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:32 am to
quote:

I can see this game being similar to the Clemson game.


Clemson's front 4 are literally all 1st or 2nd round talents...two of them will be top 15 picks. It ain't the same.
This post was edited on 9/25/17 at 8:33 am
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:33 am to
quote:

AA7
They aren't better, but they will have less work to do in this game being that Stidham isn't a true run threat and makes horrible decisions. Fitz, bless his heart, isn't a world beater, but he will make Auburn's LBs work a little more than Stiham will.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42548 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:33 am to
JS has been lighting it up. Yes, he was controlled by Clemson, but they have looked like the most complete team in the country. AU's WR corps are massive. That is a clear advantage. The OL has played better since some people were moved around. RBs are struggling tho. I don't believe KJ and KP are 100%.
This post was edited on 9/25/17 at 8:36 am
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
28259 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:34 am to
quote:

Stidham isn't who Auburn hoped he would be


Stopped reading here.

The last two weeks stats for Stidham........

45/54 582 yards passing.
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:35 am to
quote:

I don't think he is intentionally trolling. He just doesn't think you guys are that great.


There isn't much evidence to suggest his assertions. I never expected us to be more than a 9-10 win team this season. We are pretty much on track for it. Our only loss is to the best team in the country on the road by one score. Our O is improving, our D has played impressive. We may lose to MSU because they give us fits, but it is silly to believe they possess an advantage at most positions.
This post was edited on 9/25/17 at 8:37 am
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:37 am to
quote:

JS has been lighting it up.
Mercer and Mizzou. He did what he was supposed to do against those teams.

quote:

That is a clear advantage.
Not if he's holding the ball too long and taking coverage sacks.

quote:

The OL has played better since some people were loved around.
Again, Mercer and Mizzou

quote:

RBs are struggling tho. I don't believe KJ and KP are 100%.


They aren't and that offense revolves around the run game
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:37 am to
Stopped reading here.

The last two weeks stats for Stidham........

45/54 582 yards passing.
Mercer and Mizzou
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
13149 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:38 am to
This should be a good game but Auburn, like Georgia, is the more talented team vs MSU. Auburn should win by a couple of TD's.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42548 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:40 am to
I am not sure what else you need to see JS is a fantastic QB. AU won't play another team like Clemson. Alabama's DL isn't as good. Neither is UGA. MSU certainly isn't.
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
28259 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Mercer and Mizzou


That doesn't matter.

What are Hurts passing stats against Fresno St and Colorado State? I heard all off-season how much he had improved as a passer. They were raving about him at the Manning Passing Camp. Stidham has been lights out the last two weeks.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105362 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:44 am to
Posted by mls4bama
albertville,al
Member since Sep 2015
1537 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:45 am to
Tigers by 12
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 9/25/17 at 8:47 am to
Auburn's defense is significantly better than State's. That's not necessarily a slam against State's defense. They're good, but Auburn is in the very good to elite arena now.

Stidham is the key to the game. Given time, he is devastatingly accurate - maybe the best in the SEC - but he struggles against any reasonable pressure and doesn't look as mobile as advertised.

I don't see Mississippi State having much if any offensive success against Auburn. If they can pressure Stidham into making mistakes, it is game on. If they can't, they're going to wish they were still playing Georgia.

I think State will get to him some, but not enough and AU wins by a couple of scores or more. Something in the 31-17 range.

Edited to add - the state points coming mostly off turnovers, not sustained drives. They ain't moving the ball on Auburn.
This post was edited on 9/25/17 at 8:50 am
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