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re: Early Point Spread Projections for all SEC Games

Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:44 pm to
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

quote:

Georgia -1.5 at Auburn



Should be a pk.

Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:45 pm to
You need more "!!!!!!!"
Posted by Slippery Slope
Hail Satan
Member since Nov 2010
20346 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:48 pm to
DON'T YOU TELL ME WHAT TO DO. I WILL CHOKE YOU OUT.
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18150 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

@ UGA: AU leads 22-16-2
@ AU: UGA leads 14-12-2
Neutral : UGA leads 21-16-2


You math does not add up, Auburn leads the series.. Where did you get your info... You have it as UGA 51-Auburn 50 with 6 ties...

The actual official Record: 54-53-8...

Link Provided as Proof
Posted by Jerry the Clown
The Ayatollah of Rock and Rolla
Member since Nov 2011
3272 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Tennessee -1 at Vanderbilt


Posted by Mstate
Birmingham
Member since Nov 2009
9654 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

Projected standings if the favorite won every game

Mississippi State 5-3


Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

allin2010

got mine from here

LINK

it may be wrong but i have seen people link this before. and i think the idea i was posting it for still holds true
This post was edited on 6/5/12 at 4:10 pm
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:09 pm to
Stassen also says that UF/UGA started in 1904 though.
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:10 pm to
cause it did
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:11 pm to
1915.
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:15 pm to
nope, 1904.

btw, i was wiki'ing all of this and found out that apparently since 2009 GA/FLA winners get the okefenokee oar



when did that start happening?
Posted by USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:17 pm to
That stupid oar started in 09 as an agreement between the student bodies.

And 1915.
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:19 pm to
1904, and that's gay
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28525 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:22 pm to
Arkansas an undergdog to AU and USC? Thats a joke.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:23 pm to
Ive used stassen before but have noticed some of their historical errors.
Posted by Damn Good Dawg
Member since Feb 2011
47325 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:24 pm to
this is the first time i have noticed but he is right about the AU/UGA record being wrong. i wonder what is going on over there?
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Arkansas an undergdog to AU and USC? Thats a joke.


Point spreads are not predictions.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

I like Georgia in this one. Home field doesn't seem to mean all that much when these two play.




Misconception.


Maybe so. I didn't go back and research it. It just seems to me that the road team wins in this game about as often as the home team does. Of course, that's just in the 20-30 years that I've been paying attention to it. What happened in the early days, I have no idea.
This post was edited on 6/5/12 at 4:27 pm
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

His point is that recently...UGA has won wherever the game has been played.


No, I was making the point that Auburn and Georgia both seem to beat each other on the road as much as they do at home.

ETA: FWIW, CFB Datawarehouse says the record is as follows:

@ Athens: Auburn leads 17-12-1
@ Auburn: Georgia leads 14-10-2

Last 30 years (1982-2011):

@Athens: Auburn leads 10-5
@Auburn: Georgia leads 8-6-1

So, I guess my general impression was correct (if I counted right).
This post was edited on 6/5/12 at 4:58 pm
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 6/5/12 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

I really wish ppl would or could realize that these point spreads are not predictions. They are betting lines that the casinos feel will get the most money on each side of the bet.


While this is technically true, there are enough knowledgeable big money gamblers who would rape them if they had a spread that was too far off that the spreads they set initially are usually pretty close to what they think will happen. Then, if the money goes one way or the other, they will try to balance it by moving the spread. Some exceptions may be made for certain teams (like Notre Dame for years) that have an established history of biased betting on or against them.
This post was edited on 6/5/12 at 4:32 pm
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