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Chase for SEC Baseball Title...Remaining SEC schedules for Top 8 teams

Posted on 4/17/17 at 6:21 am
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
30914 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 6:21 am
Listed is the current standings and who each team finishes up with in league play.

1. Arkansas: 29-8(11-4): @Auburn, Ole Miss, @Tennessee, Vandy, @aTm
2. Auburn: 27-11(10-5): Arkansas, @State, Alabama, @LSU, Ole Miss
2. State: 25-13(10-5): Alabama, Auburn, @aTm, @Georgia, LSU
2. Kentucky: 25-12(10-5): LSU, @South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, @Florida
5. LSU: 24-12(9-6): @Kentucky, @Alabama, South Carolina, Auburn, @State
6. aTm: 26-11(8-7): Tennessee, @Missouri, State, @Ole Miss, Arkansas
6. Florida: 24-12(8-7): South Carolina, @Georgia, Ole Miss, @Alabama, Kentucky
6. South Carolina 22-13(8-7): @Florida, Kentucky, @LSU, @Missouri, Georgia

Toughest Ending: Auburn, LSU, aTm
Easiest Ending: Florida(two road series are Bama & UGA)
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143616 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 6:46 am to
Arkansas has no walk in the park left. Going to be an interesting 15 game stretch
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
30914 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 6:57 am to
quote:

Arkansas has no walk in the park left. Going to be an interesting 15 game stretch


No, not at all. Should be interesting.
Posted by KingBarkus
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2009
8309 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 6:59 am to
The final weekend has great matchups.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
30914 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 7:08 am to
Yea. Will be especially interesting if 2-3 teams are within a game or game and a half of each other.
Posted by TheSandman
AuburnUndercover
Member since Nov 2010
19409 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:22 am to
Auburn's could certainly be worse.

I'd put our starting pitching up against anyone's in the league now that Thompson is back and Daniel seems to be coming into his own. Bullpen has lost us some games, though
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 8:24 am
Posted by warau
Member since Nov 2010
2576 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:25 am to
Think auburn will finish with 16-17 wins which is pretty good considering our roster. Still don't think we match up real well with any of these teams on the back half of the schedule.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
27650 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:27 am to
Will come down to LSU or A&M
Posted by MsState of mind
State of Denial
Member since Aug 2013
2635 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:30 am to
Glad to see U.K. And Auburn doing well.
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25171 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:38 am to
Who would have thought that Arkansas vs Auburn would be a key series as we start the home stretch of SEC play?
Posted by twk
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jul 2011
2108 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:53 am to
Not sure I see any real difference in the strength of schedule over those five weekends, which tells you that it's really up for grabs this year.

I like LSU's chances at home against Kentucky, but if UK somehow walks out of Baton Rouge with a series win, I think they have a pretty good chance of winning the title.

While it would be nice to win the league, I'd be happy just to finish in the top four, securing a bye at Hoover, and hopefully putting us in position to host a regional. In order to win the title, A&M has to win 5 out of the next 6, which will be difficult.
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50183 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Will come down to LSU or A&M



I wish, but highly doubt it.
Posted by civiltiger07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
14021 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:54 am to
quote:

I like LSU's chances at home against Kentucky, but if UK somehow walks out of Baton Rouge with a series win


the series is @ Kentucky
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 8:59 am to
In all honesty, State looks like they've got the best shot to win the regular season title. They still have series left against Georgia and Bama. They get LSU the final weekend in Starkville.
Posted by twk
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jul 2011
2108 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:07 am to
quote:

the series is @ Kentucky


So it is. Way too early in the morning for me to be doing any critical thinking.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
17993 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:35 am to
Arkansas has five series left that they could go 2-1 or 1-2 at. I don't see any sweeps either way. Let's say they go 7-5 (2-1 vs. Ole Miss, Tennessee and Vandy, 1-2 vs. Auburn) in their next 12, that puts them at 18-9 headed into the last weekend.

State is effectively 2 games back of Arkansas with the sweep, and holds the tiebreak over Kentucky. They should go 5-1 against Bama and Georgia, and have a great shot at 2-1 against Auburn. I think they lose the series at A&M, which puts them 18-9 headed into the last weekend.

Auburn is much improved and will make a regional, but I don't think they can keep pace.

Kentucky is interesting. If they can go 3-3 the next two weekends against LSU and USC, they have a great chance at 5-1 or better against Georgia and Tennessee. That puts them at 18-9 headed into the last weekend.

So that puts us going into the final weekend with Arkansas, Kentucky and State all tied. ARK and UK didn't play. MSU beat UK 2-1 and ARK swept MSU 3-0. A tiebreaker would not go to head to head, it would go to common opponents starting at No. 4 and going through the rest of the conference.

Common opponents are:
Texas A&M (Kentucky swept, ARK, MSU TBD)
Ole Miss (MSU swept, UK, ARK TBD)
LSU (Arkansas 1-2, MSU, UK TBD)

With two sweeps already recorded, its unlikely that there would still be a tie, but if there was, it goes to coin flip.

I think 21 wins will win the SEC outright and 20 will go to a tiebreaker. The last weekend will not be ripe for a sweep for any of the contenders, so the key to getting 21 relies on:

Arkansas getting two of three at Auburn instead of 1
MSU sweeping both Georgia and Alabama or picking up 2 of 3 against A&M
Kentucky winning both series against South Carolina and LSU instead of just one.
This post was edited on 4/17/17 at 9:47 am
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52147 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:36 am to
quote:

LSU: 24-12(9-6): @Kentucky, @Alabama, South Carolina, Auburn, @State
That's brutal with the exception of one weekend
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:38 am to
quote:

Auburn's could certainly be worse.


We are sweeping at least 2 of the series left and winning 4/5

#Bookit
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:38 am to
Alabama is here for all your series sweep needs.
Posted by KeoDawg
Member since Nov 2016
183 posts
Posted on 4/17/17 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Will come down to LSU or A&M


State will win 18-20 SEC games. LSU and A&M better get on a roll.
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