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2015 Ole Miss vs 2011 Bama
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:31 pm
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:31 pm
Who wins and why? I vote Bama
Edit: I don't see what is so confusing about this post. Idk, it's getting late
Edit: I don't see what is so confusing about this post. Idk, it's getting late
This post was edited on 1/19/16 at 11:39 pm
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:32 pm to The Silverback
At this pace, Ole Miss.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:41 pm to The Silverback
Kelly > AJ
Treadwell/ String > Maze/White
Tunsil > Jones (at LT)
Other than that Bama is better just about everywhere else.
Treadwell/ String > Maze/White
Tunsil > Jones (at LT)
Other than that Bama is better just about everywhere else.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:44 pm to HottyToddy7
Finally someone with a working head responds. Thanks for the input
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:53 pm to The Silverback
I ran the game simulation about 50 times, with Alabama winning (always set at the away team) at a little better than a 60% rate. Here's the latest stats (more detail in a bit):
FINAL SCORE -- Ole Miss (2016): 10 - Alabama (2012): 20
Matchup Simulation Stats
This game has been simulated 50 times.
Ole Miss (2016) has won 19 times (38.0%), won by > 20 pts 3 times (6.0%)
Alabama (2012) has won 31 times (62.0%), won by > 20 pts 11 times (22.0%)
The average score is Ole Miss (2016): 22.1 - Alabama (2012): 26.2, decided by < 5 pts 8 times (16.0%)
The game has gone into overtime 0 times (0.0%)
I sort of like the game simulation tool, found HERE. Sometimes you like the results, sometimes not so much... but if you run enough simulations to get the game "odd flyers" buried a bit, the overall game totals seem pretty reasonable. Note that the teams simulated are the 2015-2016 Ole Miss (home) vs the 2011-2012 Alabama (away) teams.
FINAL SCORE -- Ole Miss (2016): 10 - Alabama (2012): 20
Matchup Simulation Stats
This game has been simulated 50 times.
Ole Miss (2016) has won 19 times (38.0%), won by > 20 pts 3 times (6.0%)
Alabama (2012) has won 31 times (62.0%), won by > 20 pts 11 times (22.0%)
The average score is Ole Miss (2016): 22.1 - Alabama (2012): 26.2, decided by < 5 pts 8 times (16.0%)
The game has gone into overtime 0 times (0.0%)
I sort of like the game simulation tool, found HERE. Sometimes you like the results, sometimes not so much... but if you run enough simulations to get the game "odd flyers" buried a bit, the overall game totals seem pretty reasonable. Note that the teams simulated are the 2015-2016 Ole Miss (home) vs the 2011-2012 Alabama (away) teams.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:56 pm to The Silverback
Hmmm. Let me see. One of the best CFB teams ever (Bama 2011) or a team that lost to Memphis and went 10-3? Gee I can't figure it out.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 11:57 pm to iglass
Here's an example of the in-game statistics generated by the simulation (partial, since the Rant has a limit on post length). UNhide player stats for an even more detailed breakdown. Interesting stuff IMHO.
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- 40 yard punt by Will Gleeson, Return for 32 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 31 -- Run by T. Richardson for -2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 12 on Opp 33 -- PENALTY: Offensive Holding
Down: 2 Distance: 22 on Opp 43 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Trent Richardson for 7 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 15 on Opp 36 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 8 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Opp 28 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Akeem Judd for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on Own 27 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 3 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 30 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for -1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 11 on Own 29 -- Pass by Chad Kelly INTERCEPTED
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 29 -- Run by Jalston Fowler for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 21 -- Run by Marquis Maze for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 7 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to DeAndrew White for 7 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Own 29 -- Pass by Chad Kelly INTERCEPTED
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 29 -- Run by T. Richardson for -1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 11 on Opp 30 -- Run by T. Richardson for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 13 on Opp 32 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 6 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Opp 26 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 13 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 33 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 35 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 5 on Own 38 -- Run by Akeem Judd for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Laquon Treadwell for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 45 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Dillon Barrett for 21 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 26 -- Run by Chad Kelly for 18 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 8 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Derrick Jones for 8 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by T. Richardson for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Run by Marquis Maze for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to M. Williams for 0 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- 39 yard punt by Cody Mandell, Return for 16 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 43 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 15 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 42 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 13 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 2 on Opp 34 -- Kick by Gary Wunderlich NO GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 33 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 33 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 19 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Opp 18 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 9 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 3 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 3 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 5 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley NO GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 5 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 7 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Own 7 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 5 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 3 on Own 12 -- 40 yard punt by Will Gleeson, Return for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 43 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Opp 42 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 28 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Darius Hanks for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 20 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 10 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 10 -- PENALTY: Offensive Holding
Down: 1 Distance: 20 on Opp 20 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 20 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 31 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 31 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 38 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 38 -- Run by Chad Kelly for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Opp 34 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 34 -- Kick by Gary Wunderlich GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by T. Richardson for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Jalston Fowler for 5 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 2 on Own 28 -- 39 yard punt by Cody Mandell, Return for 4 yds
.
.
.
. and so forth
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- 40 yard punt by Will Gleeson, Return for 32 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 31 -- Run by T. Richardson for -2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 12 on Opp 33 -- PENALTY: Offensive Holding
Down: 2 Distance: 22 on Opp 43 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Trent Richardson for 7 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 15 on Opp 36 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 8 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Opp 28 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Akeem Judd for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on Own 27 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 3 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 30 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for -1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 11 on Own 29 -- Pass by Chad Kelly INTERCEPTED
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 29 -- Run by Jalston Fowler for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 21 -- Run by Marquis Maze for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 7 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to DeAndrew White for 7 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Own 29 -- Pass by Chad Kelly INTERCEPTED
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 29 -- Run by T. Richardson for -1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 11 on Opp 30 -- Run by T. Richardson for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 13 on Opp 32 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 6 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Opp 26 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 13 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 33 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 35 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 5 on Own 38 -- Run by Akeem Judd for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Laquon Treadwell for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 45 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Dillon Barrett for 21 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 26 -- Run by Chad Kelly for 18 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 8 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Derrick Jones for 8 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by T. Richardson for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Run by Marquis Maze for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to M. Williams for 0 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- 39 yard punt by Cody Mandell, Return for 16 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 43 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 15 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 42 -- PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Run by Jordan Wilkins for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 15 on Opp 47 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 13 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 2 on Opp 34 -- Kick by Gary Wunderlich NO GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 34 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 33 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 33 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 19 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Opp 18 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 9 -- Run by Trent Richardson for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Opp 3 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 3 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 5 -- Kick by Jeremy Shelley NO GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 5 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 7 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Own 7 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 5 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 3 on Own 12 -- 40 yard punt by Will Gleeson, Return for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 43 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Opp 42 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 28 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Darius Hanks for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 20 -- Pass by AJ McCarron complete to Marquis Maze for 10 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 10 -- PENALTY: Offensive Holding
Down: 1 Distance: 20 on Opp 20 -- Run by Eddie Lacy for 20 yds TOUCHDOWN
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by Chad Kelly complete to Markell Pack for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 31 -- Run by Jaylen Walton for 31 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 38 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 38 -- Run by Chad Kelly for 4 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Opp 34 -- Pass by Chad Kelly incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 34 -- Kick by Gary Wunderlich GOOD
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Pass by AJ McCarron incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 -- Run by T. Richardson for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 23 -- Run by Jalston Fowler for 5 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 2 on Own 28 -- 39 yard punt by Cody Mandell, Return for 4 yds
.
.
.
. and so forth
Posted on 1/20/16 at 12:15 am to iglass
quote:
Sometimes you like the results, sometimes not so much
Played with that website a little bit and it was giving me some odd results. Maybe it does a better job with some teams than others.
Posted on 1/20/16 at 12:31 am to The Silverback
quote:
don't see what is so confusing about this post. Idk, it's getting late
I think we're all just a little confused as to why you think comparing one of the greatest football teams of all time - whose only loss was to another one of the greatest football teams of all time - to an Ole Miss team that loss 3 games, including one to Memphis, would be a good discussion.
Posted on 1/20/16 at 7:26 am to The Silverback
Let's see.. A team that's considered one of the best of all time and a team that hasn't came close to a championship... Yehhhhh Ole Miss kills 2011 Bama!
Posted on 1/20/16 at 7:37 am to The Silverback
I don't see what all the fuss is about this question either.
Follow up question, who wins out if these two teams?
2007 New England Patriots vs. 2015 Buffalo Bills
Follow up question, who wins out if these two teams?
2007 New England Patriots vs. 2015 Buffalo Bills
Posted on 1/20/16 at 8:00 am to Bengal26
quote:We were one miracle play from the SEC title game. So wrong.
a team that hasn't came close to a championship.
We would have put up a better fight than the 2011 LSU team did in the national title game.
This post was edited on 1/20/16 at 8:03 am
Posted on 1/20/16 at 8:04 am to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
We were one miracle play from the SEC title game. So wrong.
And another miracle play away from being 9-4 and 4th or 5th place in the West.
Posted on 1/20/16 at 8:59 am to Tuscaloosa
That play happened in the third quarter. It didn't decide the game
Posted on 1/20/16 at 9:46 am to Henry Jones Jr
Ole miss was much scarier on offense.
LSU seemed to be a more well rounded team.
LSU was more physical at all positions- VERY physical
Ole Miss was quicker at all positions
It would be close but it would depend on which Ole Miss team showed up. If the bowl team showed Ole Miss wins. If the Memphis team showed up LSU wins by 4 TD's LSU was more consistent through the season so LSU in a close one 21-20.
LSU seemed to be a more well rounded team.
LSU was more physical at all positions- VERY physical
Ole Miss was quicker at all positions
It would be close but it would depend on which Ole Miss team showed up. If the bowl team showed Ole Miss wins. If the Memphis team showed up LSU wins by 4 TD's LSU was more consistent through the season so LSU in a close one 21-20.
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