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2015 schedule predictions?
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:27 pm
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:27 pm
Curious as to what yall's expectations for this season are.
Obviously our strength will be the run game. Chubb, Michel, and Marshall and our veteran OL will win us a lot of games down the stretch.
Our pass Defense will be outstanding as well. Mauger and Sanders had great Sophomore and Freshman seasons respectively and will be even better with more experience. Malcolm Parrish looked excellent at the end of the season when he cracked into the starting lineup. Parrish/Fenteng/Mauger/Sanders will be solid. Floyd and Carter coming off the edge will help the pass D as well.
Run defense scares me a lot. In all 3 of our losses last season we were completely mauled up front. Losing Drew, Thornton, Toby Johnson, Herrera, and Ramik don't help matters. Floyd gets pushed around a lot on run plays. Will Trent be ready for SEC play? Also breaking in 2 new ILB's don't make matters any better. Hopefully that will be Pruitts #1 priority this offseason.
Ramsey or Parks play will be the deciding factor in an 11-1/10-2 season and a 8-4/7-5 season. Ramsey has looked below average at best in all the playing time he's gotten. Throw in the fact that he ran the Triple O in high school, He scares me a lot.
Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe- W (1-0)
Safe to say Park and Ramsey will both see the field in this one
@ Vanderbilt- W (2-0)
Even though we play like absolute shite in that stadium, We get the W. Barring some Tennessee 2013-like ACL tear festival we win by 4 scores.
South Carolina - W (3-0)
No matter how terrible USCe team Spurrier fields he will always have them playing like the 85 Bears against us. However, they have to replace Dylan Thompson, RB Davis, and their All-American guard Cann. I like the Dawgs at home
Southern- W (4-0)
Brendan Douglas has this one circled on his calendar.
Alabama- W (5-0)
Athens will be rocking for this one. Take LSU 2013 and Auburn 2014 and turn the dial up a notch. The defense will have had 4 tune up games to form chemistry and whoever our QB should be dialed in by then. If we were facing any Bama team of the last 7 years I would probably have this one down as an L. But Bama has looked very beatable these past 2 seasons. They lose Cooper, Landon Collins, Sims, Yeldon, and a couple OL. Add that to Coker at QB and a shaky secondary and I like us at home. Chubb has a big day
@Tennessee- L (5-1)
Yep, you all knew it was coming. The annual Richt clunker game. Coming off a huge win over Bama the week prior, we'll come out looking flat as ever. Hurd will have a big day. They'll jump out to a big lead and we'll finally remember how to play football around the middle of the 3rd quarter. By then it will be too late. Ramsey will have his first bad game as a starter, tossing 3 INT's
Missouri- W (6-1)
Following the Richt clunker, we'll return to Athens and blow out Mizzou, leaving us all scratching our heads in frustration of the week before
OPEN
Florida- W (7-1)
We win a close hard-fought game. Chubb carries us for 3 quarters in a low scoring defensive struggle. Ramsey leads us on a game winning drive and assures himself and Dawg nation that he's capable of leading this team
Kentucky- W (8-1)
Mark Stoop's has the UK program on the rise and QB Patrick Tolles gives us fits all game. However we pull it out in the end in a closer game than expected
@ Auburn- L (8-2)
The Tigers return the majority of their defense from 2014. Muschamp with the Dline of Carl Lawson, Montravious Adams, and Cowart will be a huge test. Johnson in a much bigger passing threat than Marshall and Duke Williams is arguably the best WR in the SEC returning. We lose a close one on the plains but Chubb runs over Tray Matthews so the loss doesn't sting that much
GA Southern- W (9-2)
Close game for 2 quarters but we blow it open in the second half. Dawgs roll
@ Georgia Tech- W (10-2)
We don't lose in Atlanta. Dawgs win this one fairly easy and take the starters out in the 3rd to rest for the SECCG
SECCG v. Auburn- W (11-2)
We get our revenge against the Tigers and stroll into the CFB Playoff
Obviously our strength will be the run game. Chubb, Michel, and Marshall and our veteran OL will win us a lot of games down the stretch.
Our pass Defense will be outstanding as well. Mauger and Sanders had great Sophomore and Freshman seasons respectively and will be even better with more experience. Malcolm Parrish looked excellent at the end of the season when he cracked into the starting lineup. Parrish/Fenteng/Mauger/Sanders will be solid. Floyd and Carter coming off the edge will help the pass D as well.
Run defense scares me a lot. In all 3 of our losses last season we were completely mauled up front. Losing Drew, Thornton, Toby Johnson, Herrera, and Ramik don't help matters. Floyd gets pushed around a lot on run plays. Will Trent be ready for SEC play? Also breaking in 2 new ILB's don't make matters any better. Hopefully that will be Pruitts #1 priority this offseason.
Ramsey or Parks play will be the deciding factor in an 11-1/10-2 season and a 8-4/7-5 season. Ramsey has looked below average at best in all the playing time he's gotten. Throw in the fact that he ran the Triple O in high school, He scares me a lot.
Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe- W (1-0)
Safe to say Park and Ramsey will both see the field in this one
@ Vanderbilt- W (2-0)
Even though we play like absolute shite in that stadium, We get the W. Barring some Tennessee 2013-like ACL tear festival we win by 4 scores.
South Carolina - W (3-0)
No matter how terrible USCe team Spurrier fields he will always have them playing like the 85 Bears against us. However, they have to replace Dylan Thompson, RB Davis, and their All-American guard Cann. I like the Dawgs at home
Southern- W (4-0)
Brendan Douglas has this one circled on his calendar.
Alabama- W (5-0)
Athens will be rocking for this one. Take LSU 2013 and Auburn 2014 and turn the dial up a notch. The defense will have had 4 tune up games to form chemistry and whoever our QB should be dialed in by then. If we were facing any Bama team of the last 7 years I would probably have this one down as an L. But Bama has looked very beatable these past 2 seasons. They lose Cooper, Landon Collins, Sims, Yeldon, and a couple OL. Add that to Coker at QB and a shaky secondary and I like us at home. Chubb has a big day
@Tennessee- L (5-1)
Yep, you all knew it was coming. The annual Richt clunker game. Coming off a huge win over Bama the week prior, we'll come out looking flat as ever. Hurd will have a big day. They'll jump out to a big lead and we'll finally remember how to play football around the middle of the 3rd quarter. By then it will be too late. Ramsey will have his first bad game as a starter, tossing 3 INT's
Missouri- W (6-1)
Following the Richt clunker, we'll return to Athens and blow out Mizzou, leaving us all scratching our heads in frustration of the week before
OPEN
Florida- W (7-1)
We win a close hard-fought game. Chubb carries us for 3 quarters in a low scoring defensive struggle. Ramsey leads us on a game winning drive and assures himself and Dawg nation that he's capable of leading this team
Kentucky- W (8-1)
Mark Stoop's has the UK program on the rise and QB Patrick Tolles gives us fits all game. However we pull it out in the end in a closer game than expected
@ Auburn- L (8-2)
The Tigers return the majority of their defense from 2014. Muschamp with the Dline of Carl Lawson, Montravious Adams, and Cowart will be a huge test. Johnson in a much bigger passing threat than Marshall and Duke Williams is arguably the best WR in the SEC returning. We lose a close one on the plains but Chubb runs over Tray Matthews so the loss doesn't sting that much
GA Southern- W (9-2)
Close game for 2 quarters but we blow it open in the second half. Dawgs roll
@ Georgia Tech- W (10-2)
We don't lose in Atlanta. Dawgs win this one fairly easy and take the starters out in the 3rd to rest for the SECCG
SECCG v. Auburn- W (11-2)
We get our revenge against the Tigers and stroll into the CFB Playoff
This post was edited on 2/22/15 at 3:34 pm
8
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:31 pm to SICEMDAWGS11
I'd take it.
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:32 pm to WG_Dawg
9-3
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:32 pm to SICEMDAWGS11
Tennessee will be tough. We will beat barn.
Posted on 2/22/15 at 3:39 pm to SICEMDAWGS11
15-0 baybee. i've already drunk the kool aid...
Posted on 2/22/15 at 4:01 pm to ladyluckUGA
14-1.....
Lose to Bama regular season in triple OT. Win rematch in ATL. National Champs.
Lose to Bama regular season in triple OT. Win rematch in ATL. National Champs.
Posted on 2/22/15 at 6:11 pm to DisneyDawg
quote:
9-3
+/-1, yeah. Pretty safe bet throughout Richt's tenure.
Posted on 2/22/15 at 7:49 pm to Jefferson Dawg
It's alive! Where you been, JD? Reports of your demise have been greatly exaggerated.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 9:12 am to SICEMDAWGS11
9-3
Losses to Vols,Tech (if run defense is horrid), and last one is a question mark(somehow we lose to someone we have no business losing to).
Losses to Vols,Tech (if run defense is horrid), and last one is a question mark(somehow we lose to someone we have no business losing to).
Posted on 2/23/15 at 9:13 am to BoogerSykes
I don't see us losing to tech
Posted on 2/23/15 at 9:28 am to SICEMDAWGS11
I see at least 2 losses. It's the Georgia way.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 9:38 am to gulfportdawg
quote:
I see at least 2 losses. It's the Georgia way
What a lame comment. There are 120+ teams in 1A football. Going back 5 years, here are the number of teams that finished in the top 10 that had less than 2 losses.
2014: 6
2013: 2
2012: 3
2011: 4
2010: 6
So an average of 4 teams. That is LESS THAN 1% of teams.
How about just SEC teams?
2014: 0
2013: 0
2012: 1
2011: 2
2010: 1
4 teams out of 66.
So, if that's "the georgia way", then it's pretty much everybody else's way too.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:04 am to SICEMDAWGS11
My prediction is 9 to 12 regular season wins. Team most likely to be a loss is Alabama. After that, it's a grab bag of Auburn, Missouri, Tennessee, Florida.
Having said that, it's virtually impossible to make a meaningful prediction for any team right now, IMO. Injuries and attrition and luck make for too many variables. I only see one team on the schedule that looks better than UGA as of right now, and that's Alabama. But even they were far from dominant in 2014 and enter the 2015 season with big question marks at several important positions, especially on offense.
One nice thing about our schedule is that no team we face will have a scheduling advantage immediately prior to our game. We play Tennessee after Alabama, but they'll be coming off Florida and Arkansas. We play Missouri after Bama and UT, but they'll be coming off South Carolina and Florida. Auburn will be coming off consecutive weeks against Arkansas, Ole Miss and TAMU. The only team that has a bye week prior to playing us is Florida, and we have one too.
Having said that, it's virtually impossible to make a meaningful prediction for any team right now, IMO. Injuries and attrition and luck make for too many variables. I only see one team on the schedule that looks better than UGA as of right now, and that's Alabama. But even they were far from dominant in 2014 and enter the 2015 season with big question marks at several important positions, especially on offense.
One nice thing about our schedule is that no team we face will have a scheduling advantage immediately prior to our game. We play Tennessee after Alabama, but they'll be coming off Florida and Arkansas. We play Missouri after Bama and UT, but they'll be coming off South Carolina and Florida. Auburn will be coming off consecutive weeks against Arkansas, Ole Miss and TAMU. The only team that has a bye week prior to playing us is Florida, and we have one too.
This post was edited on 2/23/15 at 10:07 am
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:07 am to wdhalgren
quote:
My prediction is 9 to 12 regular season wins
pretty wide range there. shoot, there's a big perception difference in 9 and 10 much less 9 and 12
Posted on 2/23/15 at 10:24 am to DawgCountry
It is a wide range, mainly because of my first statement in the 2nd paragraph.
If I had to make a precise prediction, I'd say 10-2 with a loss to Alabama and a loss to one of the other four I listed. But it's a very low confidence prediction; not enough information. I do think if we stay healthy, our defense can be nasty by the middle of the season and that gives me optimism about our later games.
quote:
it's virtually impossible to make a meaningful prediction for any team right now,
If I had to make a precise prediction, I'd say 10-2 with a loss to Alabama and a loss to one of the other four I listed. But it's a very low confidence prediction; not enough information. I do think if we stay healthy, our defense can be nasty by the middle of the season and that gives me optimism about our later games.
This post was edited on 2/23/15 at 10:28 am
Posted on 2/23/15 at 11:25 am to wdhalgren
We lose against Florida only because we have a bye week before and our teams play terrible after a bye week. Or at least last year they did
Posted on 2/23/15 at 11:36 am to MSGADawg5988
quote:
We lose against Florida only because we have a bye week before
most of the time we've beaten UF recently we've had a bye.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 11:39 am to SICEMDAWGS11
Trying not to get my hopes up because every time that happens they get shattered by a shitshow like Florida or USCe last year.
Optimist: Alabama is beatable compared to seasons past. We get USCe and Missouri at home. Tennessee is perpetually a year away. Jax last year was one of the all time flukiest games. The talent is there to go 12-0, but 11-1 is a likely ceiling.
Pessimist: Concerns at QB turn out to be valid as UGA struggles to an uninspiring 23-17 win at Vanderbilt, followed up by a home loss to USCe. A blowout win over Southern has UGA at 3-1 coming into a much hyped showdown with Alabama, only to have old memories brought up as Alabama blows out the Dawgs in Athens. Split the next two at Tennessee and vs Missouri, lose 2/3 UF, @AU, @GT for a 7-5 record.
Realist: Somewhere in the middle. 8-4, 9-3 followed by a fanbase divided on whether or not Richt can get the job done as is our usual offseason ritual.
Optimist: Alabama is beatable compared to seasons past. We get USCe and Missouri at home. Tennessee is perpetually a year away. Jax last year was one of the all time flukiest games. The talent is there to go 12-0, but 11-1 is a likely ceiling.
Pessimist: Concerns at QB turn out to be valid as UGA struggles to an uninspiring 23-17 win at Vanderbilt, followed up by a home loss to USCe. A blowout win over Southern has UGA at 3-1 coming into a much hyped showdown with Alabama, only to have old memories brought up as Alabama blows out the Dawgs in Athens. Split the next two at Tennessee and vs Missouri, lose 2/3 UF, @AU, @GT for a 7-5 record.
Realist: Somewhere in the middle. 8-4, 9-3 followed by a fanbase divided on whether or not Richt can get the job done as is our usual offseason ritual.
Posted on 2/23/15 at 11:40 am to MSGADawg5988
I think we lost to Florida because the team had a letdown. Fans seem to think that's solely due to bad coaching, but it's human nature; you just can't get college players to perform at a peak level for every game, and the letdowns happen when they relax.
The team was sky high for Missouri and Arkansas. Gurley was out and we had two big road games to prove our meddle. You could see the energy start to deflate after our amazing first half against Arkansas, and it carried over to Florida. Bye week just gave them more time to feel confident.
The gators were angry after losing to LSU and getting blown out by Missouri at home. They had two weeks to hear how bad they sucked and Georgia was going to destroy them. Meanwhile , our players (and fans) got that transitive property stuck in their head: UGA >> Missouri >> Florida, and the coaches just couldn't get them up to face a team that had a lot of talent and was underperforming.
The team was sky high for Missouri and Arkansas. Gurley was out and we had two big road games to prove our meddle. You could see the energy start to deflate after our amazing first half against Arkansas, and it carried over to Florida. Bye week just gave them more time to feel confident.
The gators were angry after losing to LSU and getting blown out by Missouri at home. They had two weeks to hear how bad they sucked and Georgia was going to destroy them. Meanwhile , our players (and fans) got that transitive property stuck in their head: UGA >> Missouri >> Florida, and the coaches just couldn't get them up to face a team that had a lot of talent and was underperforming.
This post was edited on 2/23/15 at 11:45 am
Posted on 2/23/15 at 11:43 am to wdhalgren
quote:
the coaches just couldn't get them up to face a team that had a lot of talent and was underperforming.
You're sugarcoating it. That was an awful football team that beat UGA like a rented mule in a game the team had to have.
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