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Florida basketball ranked dead last in terms of luck.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:17 pm
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:17 pm
4
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:19 pm to ForeverGator
How do you even rank that.
I'm sure Alabama is closer to 350 than to #1, as well though.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:20 pm to JordonfortheJ
It's measurable apparently.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:21 pm to JordonfortheJ
quote:
How do you even rank that.
I was curious too. Apparently it goes like this:
quote:
“The idea of measuring luck is based in that no team has total control of what happens at the end of the game,” explained Pomeroy, who has a civil engineering degree from Virginia Tech and a masters in atmospheric science from Wyoming, to GatorZone.com earlier this week. “If you have 10 close games, you’re not going to win all of those games. In fact, even the greatest teams wouldn’t be expected to win more than six out of 10 games that are one-possession games. So those that do win more than you would expect, that’s where you can assume the result came with some good fortune. Losing more than you would expect? That would be the result of some bad fortune.”
The KenPom.com definition for luck is “a measure of the deviation between a team’s actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its game-by-game efficiencies.”
Florida’s “luck” figure is a minus-.162, a measurement that is determined by a complicated mathematical model that takes in a multitude of statistics -- such as offensive and defensive efficiency, turnovers per 100 possessions, offensive rebounding, free-throw attempts, etc. -- and spits out a baseline number for an expected winning percentage. It's called the “Pythagorean winning percentage" and for the eggheads out there is derived from (AdjO^10.25)/(AdjO^10.25+AdjD^10.25).
So in short, they expect you to win X amount of games and when your unlucky arse doesn't you come out on the negative end.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:29 pm to BluegrassBelle
So basically the "most overrated" team.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:31 pm to ForeverGator
Maybe we can still make the CBI. :/
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:31 pm to ForeverGator
This must have been calculated before the last call of the Arkansas game
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:49 pm to Korin
We aren't making a tournament. So terrible. Without doe doe and Frazier, we will lose this game. Oh well. Can we fast forward to next season yet?
Posted on 2/18/15 at 6:52 pm to ForeverGator
And it was on display again tonight.
New O'Dome next year, hopefully it brings some good energy.
New O'Dome next year, hopefully it brings some good energy.
This post was edited on 2/18/15 at 6:54 pm
Posted on 2/18/15 at 7:28 pm to bgator85
Is Donovan's seat getting hot? What other Elite coaches have completely missed the NCAAs? He looking out to the NBA again?
I wanna say Roy's cheating arse did it, but other than that can't think of anyone.
I wanna say Roy's cheating arse did it, but other than that can't think of anyone.
This post was edited on 2/18/15 at 7:29 pm
Posted on 2/18/15 at 7:43 pm to STLhog
The earliest billy would leave is when his last kid graduates high school which is in 3 years I think.
Deal with it.
Deal with it.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 7:47 pm to STLhog
quote:
Is Donovan's seat getting hot?
quote:
What other Elite coaches have completely missed the NCAAs?
Calipari a couple of years ago.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 7:48 pm to JordonfortheJ
And yet they still beat Alabama in a last possession game.
Posted on 2/18/15 at 8:21 pm to STLhog
quote:
Is Donovan's seat getting hot?
Seriously? Donovan is beloved in Gainesville. This is just a bad team that was dealt some bad blows early on. Will be much much different next year.
This post was edited on 2/18/15 at 8:23 pm
Posted on 2/18/15 at 9:04 pm to STLhog
quote:
Is Donovan's seat getting hot?
Usually its fairly easy to tell who knows shite about SEC basketball on here and who doesn't, but this...
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