Here's another chart that looks at the CFP Contenders

Notes:

Assuming that ORE, BAMA, and FSU make up the Top 3 in some order.

The fourth playoff spot right now is down to MSU, Ohio State and TCU/Baylor.

I see four other teams that can slip in if chaos ensues.

Ole Miss - would have to win SEC, creating a scenario where 2-loss Ole Miss is at worst against a 1-loss TCU for the last spot. If Ohio State were to drop a second game, or FSU/Oregon were to lose - no question a 2 loss Ole Miss is in.

Georgia - same scenario as Ole Miss. A Georgia SEC Championship would eliminate MSU, UGA and Bama. UGA's losses aren't as sexy as Ole Miss' so they might have to have TCU get upset at Texas.

Michigan State - hanging on by a thread. They are eliminated if Ohio State beats Indiana (Missouri couldn't beat them). If a 2 loss team makes the playoff, and Michigan State is the B1G Champ - they have the "best losses."

UCLA - Still interesting to me, because they control their own destiny in the Pac 12 and have wins over both Arizona and Arizona State. If they win the PAC, they would have beaten Oregon. Would still need MSU and Ohio State to fall, but while I would not rank them higher than Michigan State - they have a better chance to make the playoff.