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Week 4 Predictions (Spread)

Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:04 am
Posted by All4Qtrs
tCapitol
Member since Nov 2013
1056 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:04 am
#5 Auburn at #20 Kansas State (+9.5) - KSU has been known to pull off some interesting upsets since Snyder and crew has been in office. They are 130-31-1 @ home since 1990. But they have started off this year kinda off-balanced, giving up 600 yds and 44 (vs SF Austin and Iowa St.) Their ability to move the ball on the ground will keep this game interesting. But, Auburn's offense has been running full speed. Minus any stumbles or injuries, Auburn wins +14.

Troy at #13 Georgia (-39) - Georgia's loss is at the front of everyone's minds especially the staff and coaches. Question is: how do they respond? Panic and overlook the Trojans or concentrate on getting that next win. Either way I believe the talent they possess will take care of an 0-3, multiple double-digit loss, Troy. But, if UGA decides they want to let the Dawgs out, it WILL be ugly. UGA +42

Florida at #3 Alabama (-14.5) - The Gators are coming off a very unconvincing win against Kentucky. A LOT of mistakes were made throughout the game, mainly in the secondary (deep-pass defense.) Bama didnt look too much better in the first half of their game, seeming sluggish. EDGE: The Tide is more talented at the skills positions. Bama will utilize the Cooper/VH3 match-up and play-action to hit Jones, White, and Stewart. This will be Sims TRUE test. Bama +17

#6 Texas A&M at SMU (+31) - The Mustangs have been outscored in their last two games 88-6. The Aggies have outscored opponents 163-41, with 28 of those points coming from their cross-division rivals. SMU is in the bottom 10 of every stat for CFB. SMUs coaching staff is... well... IDK... Texas A&M wins +76523 (+63)

Indiana at #18 Missouri (-17) - The Hoosiers are coming off a close loss to Bowling Green where they displayed a very impressive rushing attack. Tevin Coleman is looking to test Mizzou's ability to stop the run (critical for SEC contention.) The Tigers havent seen a look like IU has this season. Maty Mauk has shown improvement and though still rough around the edges he is poised to pull off some upsets in these upcoming weeks. Mizzou barely covers +20

Mississippi State at #8 LSU (-10) - The Bulldogs head down to Death Valley where they play a team they havent beaten since 1999, since 1991 in Baton Rouge. But that isnt part of my decision making process, just an interesting fact. I believe the Bayou Bengals have the upperhand in this undefeated match-up because of their ability to make big plays and their depth in trench warfare. Dak Prescott is similar to Tanner McElvoy in that he can be mobile, and i think he will need to be. This is honestly the toughest spread for me to call, but i think LSU will win the turnover battle. LSU +7

Northern Illinois at Arkansas (-14.5) - The Razorbacks went from 7 point favorites to 15 after their thrashing of the Red Raiders, but i dont think its enough. I stand by what i said last week:
"I believe Arkansas is a very underrated team. Their record might not reflect it, but i think this will be Bert's defining moment. Their OL is immense and their rush attack will be too much for the Red Raiders."
Arky +28

#14 South Carolina at Vanderbilt (+21.5) - Vandy gone Vandy... The Cocks have shown the world they are as good as everyone thought they were in the preseason... EXCEPT against teams that spread and use an air-raid-like offense. They have shown they have additional lethal weapons at their dipsosal in the Backfield. Vandy might find a couple TDs off the deep route but it wont be enough. Cocks +24
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 1:40 pm
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:29 am to
quote:

#5 Auburn at #20 Kansas State

quote:

Troy at #13 Georgia

quote:

Florida at #3 Alabama

quote:

#6 Texas A&M at SMU

quote:

Indiana at #18 Missouri

quote:

Mississippi State at #8 LSU

quote:

Northern Illinois at Arkansas

quote:

#14 South Carolina at Vanderbilt


I think Arky and Mizzou win their OOC games, but don't think they cover.
Posted by pivey14
In Your Head
Member since Mar 2012
15445 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:34 am to
quote:

#5 Auburn at #20 Kansas State (+9.5)


quote:

Troy at #13 Georgia (-39)


quote:

Florida at #3 Alabama (-14.5)


quote:

#6 Texas A&M at SMU (+31)


quote:

Indiana at #18 Missouri (-17)


quote:

Mississippi State at #8 LSU (-10)


quote:

Northern Illinois at Arkansas (-14.5)


quote:

#14 South Carolina at Vanderbilt (+21.5)
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 11:35 am
Posted by FAF
NOLA
Member since May 2014
1427 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:36 am to
KState +9.5
Georgia -39
Florida +14.5
A&M -30
Missouri -17
LSU -10
NIU +14.5
Souf Cackalaki -21.5
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 11:37 am
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96003 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:39 am to
Yeah i won on Arkansas last week as well. I have been looking at them too again this week.
Posted by Forkbeard3777
Chicago
Member since Apr 2013
3841 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:54 am to
Auburn
Georgia
Florida
Texas A&M
Missouri
Miss. State
Arkansas
South Carolina
Posted by All4Qtrs
tCapitol
Member since Nov 2013
1056 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Yeah i won on Arkansas last week as well. I have been looking at them too again this week.


i still dont get why people act like their complete trash. im not saying they are SEC GREAT but they certainly have been looking SEC good...
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96003 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:13 pm to
perception isnt reality on this board.
Posted by elspankdog
Member since Nov 2012
90 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:26 pm to
People are backing up the truck on A&M @ SMU
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 2:27 pm
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55436 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

(-14.5)


Holy shite did the line really move +2.5 in a day?
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79879 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:30 pm to
SMUs starting QB is out as well. Davis, their backup, has looked like hot garbage.
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
20282 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:33 pm to
Bama by 20+

Auburn by 18+

A&M by 45+

Posted by fan251
Mobile, AL
Member since Jun 2011
857 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:34 pm to
It really is difficult to call the Moo State vs LSU game.

LSU 31 vs Moo State 28
Posted by theGarnetWay
Washington, D.C.
Member since Mar 2010
25846 posts
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:37 pm to
I'd be careful betting on us. I think we will win sure, hopefully by at least 14+.. but betting on SC to win by 3+ TDs on the road in the SEC is a bad idea.
Posted by All4Qtrs
tCapitol
Member since Nov 2013
1056 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:21 am to
quote:

theGarnetWay
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:38 am to
quote:

#6 Texas A&M at SMU (+31)
I don't understand this spread. I'm about to go drop some money on it.
Posted by 3nOut
Central Texas, TX
Member since Jan 2013
28763 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:49 am to
quote:

I don't understand this spread. I'm about to go drop some money on it.



obviously i'm a homer, but if i bet on games i would take that one if the line was -55. As long as Rumlin's not benching a ton of starters.

i normally try not to be that optimistic, but SMU is literally in the bottom 10 of every offensive and defensive category and lost their coach after 2 games. -31 seems like easy money unless they know something we don't.
Posted by weagle99
Member since Nov 2011
35893 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:53 am to
Nice grind.
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 10:54 am to
quote:

-31 seems like easy money unless they know something we don't.
bingo. i mean North Texas just whooped their arse worse than 31.


North
Texas
Posted by PanhandleDawg
Navarre Beach, FL
Member since Mar 2011
5440 posts
Posted on 9/17/14 at 12:05 pm to
I would hate to be the team playing UGA this weekend! They will be out for blood.

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