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2014 Auburn Tigers FPI (vs rest of schedule)
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:35 pm
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:35 pm
Week 1) vs Arkansas (W, 45-21)
Week 2) vs San Jose State (97.7%)
Week 3) BYE
Week 4) @ Kansas State (76.1%)
Week 5) vs Louisiana Tech (99.2%)
Week 6) vs LSU (73.1%)
Week 7) @ Mississippi State (53.5%)
Week 8) vs South Carolina (78.0%)
Week 9) @ Ole Miss (58.7%)
Week 10) vs Texas A&M (65.9%)
Week 11) @ Georgia (48.1%)
Week 12) vs Samford (100.00%)
Week 13) @ Alabama (44.0%)
https://espn.go.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=2&year=2014
How does your team stack up against the competition given the percentages displayed by ESPN?
For Auburn, I was surprised to see the percentage of beating LSU at 73.1% (LSU and Auburn always play each other tough in JHS), and also surprised to see the percentage of beating Alabama at 44.0% (their record against top 10 teams in BDS is not that great). Of course, some of these percentages are expected to chance as the season goes on. FWIW, that week 7 game scares me to death - been saying it all off-season.
Week 2) vs San Jose State (97.7%)
Week 3) BYE
Week 4) @ Kansas State (76.1%)
Week 5) vs Louisiana Tech (99.2%)
Week 6) vs LSU (73.1%)
Week 7) @ Mississippi State (53.5%)
Week 8) vs South Carolina (78.0%)
Week 9) @ Ole Miss (58.7%)
Week 10) vs Texas A&M (65.9%)
Week 11) @ Georgia (48.1%)
Week 12) vs Samford (100.00%)
Week 13) @ Alabama (44.0%)
https://espn.go.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=2&year=2014
How does your team stack up against the competition given the percentages displayed by ESPN?
For Auburn, I was surprised to see the percentage of beating LSU at 73.1% (LSU and Auburn always play each other tough in JHS), and also surprised to see the percentage of beating Alabama at 44.0% (their record against top 10 teams in BDS is not that great). Of course, some of these percentages are expected to chance as the season goes on. FWIW, that week 7 game scares me to death - been saying it all off-season.
9
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:36 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
Week 11) @ Georgia (48.1%)
Rekt
quote:
Week 12) vs Samford (100.00%)
So there is no way in the universe Samford could beat AU?
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:38 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
Week 10) vs Texas A&M (65.9%)
quote:
Week 9) @ Ole Miss (58.7%)
quote:
Week 7) @ Mississippi State (53.5%)
El oh el
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:39 pm to TTsTowel
Auburn too high.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:39 pm to tamctshirt
quote:I think they figure home field advantage into the equation a little more than they should, but playing in JHS is pretty tough...
El oh el
After watching week 1, I'm surprised Auburn only has a 58.7% chance of beating Ole Miss.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:39 pm to tamctshirt
quote:
Week 10) vs Texas A&M (65.9%)
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:39 pm to td01241
quote:
So there is no way in the universe Samford could beat AU?
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:41 pm to Tridentds
surprised the Ole Miss game is at only 58%
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:41 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
Week 13) @ Alabama (44.0%)
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:43 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
How does your team stack up against the competition given the percentages displayed by ESPN?
Apparently this could be the year State finally beats us (they give us only a 52.1% chance of victory) and we'll be lucky to make it through the season with only 3 losses.
LINK
In other words, it's way too early to tell much of anything -- especially with so many young players on our team.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:44 pm to TTsTowel
For Bama:
WVU (W, 33-23)
Florida Atlantic (99.7%)
Southern Miss (99.6%)
Florida (76.5%)
@ Ole Miss (57.0%)
@ Arkansas (82.2%)
Texas A&M (64.3%)
@ Tennessee (73.6%)
@ #12 LSU (57.4%)
Mississippi State (66.7%)
Western Carolina (99.9%)
Auburn (56.0%)
WVU (W, 33-23)
Florida Atlantic (99.7%)
Southern Miss (99.6%)
Florida (76.5%)
@ Ole Miss (57.0%)
@ Arkansas (82.2%)
Texas A&M (64.3%)
@ Tennessee (73.6%)
@ #12 LSU (57.4%)
Mississippi State (66.7%)
Western Carolina (99.9%)
Auburn (56.0%)
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:46 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
Week 7) @ Mississippi State (53.5%)
ESPN loves the Grind this year.
They currently either favor them or give them a 45%+ chance in every game except against Bama.
#theybelieve
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 12:46 pm
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:46 pm to td01241
quote:
So there is no way in the universe Samford could beat AU?
Nope....not with a former Auburn Heisman winner as their HC. Auburn REC doing work.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:50 pm to elposter
@ #21 South Carolina 59.4%
vs Troy 99.8%
vs Tennessee 82.0%
vs Vanderbilt 97.3%
@ #24 Missouri 76.5%
@ Arkansas 79.4%
vs Florida 66.6%
@ Kentucky 76.7%
vs #5 Auburn 51.9%
vs Charleston Southern 99.9%
vs Georgia Tech 90.9%
vs Troy 99.8%
vs Tennessee 82.0%
vs Vanderbilt 97.3%
@ #24 Missouri 76.5%
@ Arkansas 79.4%
vs Florida 66.6%
@ Kentucky 76.7%
vs #5 Auburn 51.9%
vs Charleston Southern 99.9%
vs Georgia Tech 90.9%
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:50 pm to elposter
As best I can tell, these are the only schools ESPN has favored (using FPI) in all remaining regular season games:
Florida State
Oregon
Bama
UGA
Oklahoma
Ohio State
Marshall
Wisconsin
The Aggies are given a 44.9% chance against Miss State but a 65.5% chance against LSU.
Florida State
Oregon
Bama
UGA
Oklahoma
Ohio State
Marshall
Wisconsin
The Aggies are given a 44.9% chance against Miss State but a 65.5% chance against LSU.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:51 pm to dawgfan24348
on Bama's WTF?
@ Ole Miss (57.0%)
@ Ole Miss (57.0%)
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:52 pm to td01241
quote:
So there is no way in the universe Samford could beat AU?
Pat Sullivan is their coach. We got that one trust me.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:54 pm to BrerTiger
quote:
As best I can tell, these are the only schools ESPN has favored (using FPI) in all remaining regular season games:
Florida State
Oregon
Bama
UGA
Can't imagine who Oklahoma would not be favored against on their schedule?
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:54 pm to StopRobot
quote:
on Bama's WTF?
@ Ole Miss (57.0%)
I'm not surprised by that at all. Ole Miss has a good team and it's on the road.
Posted on 9/5/14 at 12:56 pm to elposter
quote:
Can't imagine who Oklahoma would not be favored against on their schedule?
Good catch.
I didn't click down that far to check as they are rated only 11th in FPI, right after (wait for it).....
Miss State at 10th (print the T-shirts!)
I'll add Oklahoma to the list.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 12:57 pm
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