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Reality for the Razorbacks; a numbers type thing.

Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:54 pm
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10559 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:54 pm
Since 2003, when the spread is at 21, the favorite wins 95.9% of the time, and also covers the spread 53.9% of the time, amassing a 115-5 record.

But hold out hope Hog faithful, there is a 4.1% chance your team pulls out the win and you're able to bump this thread for the rest of the season.






Posted by ArCoRazorback
Member since Jun 2012
803 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:55 pm to
Beaver will be here shortly.
Posted by Pigfeet
Ark Mods are Fascists
Member since Mar 2010
19783 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:55 pm to
inb4Beaver
Posted by 870Hog
99999 posts
Member since Jul 2011
16189 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

you're able to bump this thread for the rest of the season.


Sorry, your not that important. Once will do.
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46258 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Sorry, your not that important. Once will do.
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:58 pm to
Posted by Ray Penpillage
Western Slope
Member since Nov 2010
9409 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:58 pm to
Gambler's fallacy.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

amassing a 115-5 record.


Who are the 5 that won?

Stanford over SC...that line was 24.

What are the other 4?
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33326 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 1:59 pm to
We have real threads to bump, this effort is just pathetic.
Posted by ocelot4ark
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2009
12458 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:00 pm to
I know the Auburn fans are huge fans of the 21-point spread ban bet, but how about one that actually makes sense?

If Arkansas keeps the score within 21.

How confident are the Aubbies on that one? Can the vastly superior War Eagles win by 21+?
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25326 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

Auburn is (12-10-1) against Arkansas

Average score: Auburn 23.6 - Arkansas 24.1

Per decade
W L T PFPG PAPG
2010's 2 2 0 30.3 30.5
2000's 5 5 0 20.1 24.2
1990's 4 3 1 24.9 21.9
1980's 1 0 0 21.0 15.0

All games
2013/11/02 Auburn 35 - Arkansas 17 W
2012/10/06 Auburn 7 - Arkansas 24 L
2011/10/08 Auburn 14 - Arkansas 38 L
2010/10/16 Auburn 65 - Arkansas 43 W
2009/10/10 Auburn 23 - Arkansas 44 L
2008/10/11 Auburn 22 - Arkansas 25 L
2007/10/13 Auburn 9 - Arkansas 7 W
2006/10/07 Auburn 10 - Arkansas 27 L
2005/10/15 Auburn 34 - Arkansas 17 W
2004/10/16 Auburn 38 - Arkansas 20 W
2003/10/11 Auburn 10 - Arkansas 3 W
2002/10/12 Auburn 17 - Arkansas 38 L
2001/10/27 Auburn 17 - Arkansas 42 L
2000/10/28 Auburn 21 - Arkansas 19 W
1999/10/30 Auburn 10 - Arkansas 34 L
1998/10/31 Auburn 21 - Arkansas 24 L
1997/10/25 Auburn 26 - Arkansas 21 W
1996/11/02 Auburn 28 - Arkansas 7 W
1995/10/28 Auburn 28 - Arkansas 30 L
1994/10/29 Auburn 31 - Arkansas 14 W
1993/10/30 Auburn 31 - Arkansas 21 W
1992/10/31 Auburn 24 - Arkansas 24 T
1984/12/27 Auburn 21 - Arkansas 15 W
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

How confident are the Aubbies on that one?


Most are taking Arky with that spread.

I am...34-14.
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25326 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:03 pm to
When does Marshall enter?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79001 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:04 pm to
Honestly if I'm an Arky fan I'm pretty pleased with having a 4.1% shot
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:05 pm to
Korliss?

No idea.

Nick?

Hopefully quickly.
Posted by ocelot4ark
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2009
12458 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:06 pm to
So, when adjusted for all variables, you're not confident that your team can cover the spread? WHAT A PUSSY! HOW COME YOU DON'T HAVE MORE CONFIDENCE IN YOUR TEAM? HERP DERP. (sarcasm)

Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:06 pm to
Why you stalkin bro?
Posted by ocelot4ark
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2009
12458 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:10 pm to
You can't even figure this part out.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

So, when adjusted for all variables, you're not confident that your team can cover the spread?


Week 1...nah. 2 redzone FGs keep it under 21.
Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10559 posts
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

So, when adjusted for all variables, you're not confident that your team can cover the spread?


I'll give 14? Is that good enough?
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