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Kenpom Conference-race simulations
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:50 pm
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:50 pm
He ran 10000 simulations of the season and here are the results, if a team isn't listed they didn't win the conference any simulation.
LINK
quote:
The pick: Kentucky. It’s a close call between the Wildcats and Gators, but the edge at the moment goes to Kentucky. UK isn’t shooting the ball great, but they lead the nation in offensive rebounding percentage and free throw rate. Which means the eye test won’t give their offense as much credit as it deserves.
quote:
The contrarian pick: LSU. The Tigers are the sleeper of all sleepers. They’re a two-point loss to UMass and seven-point loss to Memphis from being unbeaten and national darlings, and from people anointing Johnny Jones as the next Brad Stevens. OK, maybe that wouldn’t be happening yet, but if LSU contends for the SEC with a sub six-foot backcourt, Jones would start getting his due.
quote:
Kentucky 3765
Florida 3277
Tennessee 1213
LSU 727
Missouri 440
Arkansas 404
Alabama 92
Mississippi 55
South Carolina 17
Vanderbilt 7
Georgia 1
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Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:53 pm to Guess
quote:
Kentucky 3765
Florida 3277
Tennessee 1213
LSU 727
Don't see it.
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:58 pm to the808bass
Yea, He has UT rated higher than anyone else has them right now he has them 3rd in the SEC and 26th in the country.
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:05 pm to the808bass
quote:
3. Tennessee
Don't see it.
Wouldn't be surprised. We have been much better in SEC play the last two years after shitting the bed in OOC play.
Our conference schedule is very favorable as well. We will likely be favored in 13 of the 18 SEC games.
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:07 pm to Guess
quote:
Kentucky 3765
Florida 3277
Tennessee 1213
LSU 727
Missouri 440
Arkansas 404
Alabama 92
Mississippi 55
South Carolina 17
Vanderbilt 7
Georgia 1
We won 17 simulations!!!
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