IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES

Here's hoping for an injury free game. Might be the highest profile Iron Bowl any of us will ever see.

Hope y'all are ready for the Gus Bus.

It's Officially here!!!! OMGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG This game is HUGE!!!! CAN'T WAIT.

BAMA 37, auburn 10

auburn will be exposed as a frAUd.

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Here's hoping for an injury free game

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And here's to frick you

It might be the most anticipated Iron Bowl of all time, but it won't be the best of all time. Bama will do what it does best, destroy the other team.

45-21 Bama

A week ago I would've said 38-24 but now I think this game will be closer. Bama still wins but doesn't cover the line.

Bama 34 Barn 27

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I don't want a close game where auburn can auburn their way into victory through some fluke play.

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I guarantee you no matter what the score, the whiny fricktards are going to run their mouths like they had actually won

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I don't want a close game where auburn can auburn their way into victory through some fluke play

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If it's close Auburn will win, according to their coach.

Okay, I've crunched the numbers for the Iron Bowl by looking at both Alabama and Auburn's performance against conference and "quality" out-of-conference opponents (VA Tech for Bama, and WSU for Auburn). The main goal of my analysis was to see how both teams performed, both offensively and defensively, against their opponents' averages. I can post the spreadsheet later if someone wants it, but here's what the numbers suggest that we might see in the Iron Bowl:

AU Rushing 150-180 yds
AU Rushing 1-2 TD
AU Passing 120-140 yds
AU Passing 0-1 TD
Total: 270-320 yds
1-3 TD

UA Rushing 200-250 yds
UA Rushing 2-3 TD
UA Passing 225-300 yds
UA Passing 1-2 TD
Total: 425-550 yds
3-5 TD

To explain the methodology briefly using an example: Auburn's rushing attack gained, on average, 1.46 times more yards than their opponents averaged giving up against the other teams they faced. They also scored, on average, 1.69 more rushing TDs than their opponents averaged giving up against other teams. For the year they averaged 286.125 yds and 3.125 TDs in these games.

Alabama's rushing defense, held their opponents, on average, to 0.63 times the amount of yards they gained against other teams. Alabama's rushing defense also held their opponents, on average, to 0.31 times the amount of TDs they scored against other teams. For the season, Alabama gave up an average of 105.63 yards and 0.63 TDs a game on the ground.

In order to come up with the range of yards that Auburn is predicted to rush for, I took Auburn's delta (1.69) and multiplied it times Alabama's average (105.63), and then took Alabama's delta (0.63) and multiplied it times Auburn's average (286.125). This gave me a range of 154.22 - 180.18 yards.

Personally, I think the only way we hold AU to below 200 yards rushing is if we jump on them early and force them to pass to try and catch up, but I thought that some here might find this interesting.

For comparison's sake, here are each team's straight average across these games:

AU Rushing 286.13 yds
AU Rushing 3.13 TD
AU Passing 175.25 yds
AU Passing 0.88 TD
Total: 461.38 yds
4.01 TD

UA Rushing 228.5 yds
UA Rushing 2.38 TD
UA Passing 226.25 yds
UA Passing 2 TD
Total: 454.75 yds
4.38 TD

Pretty damn close to each other in this chart.

How does this AU offensive line compare to the 2010 version? Haven't watched enough to know how they stack up. I just don't have the confidence in Ivory that I did with Cody, Chapman and Jesse.