CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West | SECRant.com
Posted byMessage
kywildcatfanone
Kentucky Fan
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
19930 posts

CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West



WEST DIVISION

Alabama, 11.5 wins (over +170, under -230)

Undefeated seasons are rare enough in college football that betting any team to pull one off feels rash, a point emphasized by the fact that even mighty Alabama can't move the juice on this under above -230. But, uh, has anyone actually looked at the Tide's Charmin-soft schedule? Unless Virginia Tech is a revelation or Gus Malzahn is a wizard, it's a three-game season: at Texas A&M, vs. Ole Miss, vs. LSU. The Tide have byes before the Aggies and Tigers, and bracket the Rebels with Georgia State and Kentucky. So a 3-0 sweep seems more likely than not, and the heavy extra payout on the over makes this an even easier call. Projection: Over

Arkansas, 5.5 wins (over -140, under +100)

Welcome to the SEC, Bret Bielema: your debut road schedule is at Florida, Alabama, Ole Miss and LSU. That's four losses, and home games with Texas A&M and South Carolina are probably two more. That means to hit the over, the Hogs need to sweep their three home nonconference games (including one vs. a dangerous UL-Lafayette team), win at Rutgers and hold serve at home vs. both Auburn and Mississippi State. That's certainly doable, but the under seems the slightly better bet. Projection: Under

Auburn, 6.5 wins (over +140, under -180)

Assuming Mike Leach doesn't have anything up his sleeve in the opener or Malzahn can't work miracles vs. Georgia or Alabama, Auburn should have a clear-cut four nonconference wins and an equally clear-cut four SEC losses (LSU, Texas A&M, the Dawgs and Tide). That means a winning season comes down to four games: home to Ole Miss and Mississippi State and away at Arkansas and Tennessee in back-to-back weeks. If junior college QB Nick Marshall really is the poor man's Cam Newton, three wins out of those four might be possible. But after Auburn's disastrous 2012, it's hard to expect that great a leap forward. Projection: Under

LSU, 9.5 wins (over +150, under -190)

Not that we agree with Les Miles' position on cross-division scheduling, but when you see his Tigers saddled with Georgia and Florida while the Tide take on Kentucky and Tennessee, you can understand why he's angry. That bad bit of luck means LSU has just five comfortable wins on the schedule and, to hit the over, would need to avoid any more than two losses against this seven-game slate: TCU at Cowboys Stadium, at Georgia, at Missississippi State, vs. Florida, at Ole Miss, at Alabama, vs. Texas A&M. It's possible, especially if the defensive line develops quickly. But even with the under juiced, it's not likely enough to squeeze the trigger on the over. Projection: Under

Ole Miss, 8.5 wins (over +130, under -170)

The Rebels could have easily won eight regular-season games a year ago (with A&M and Vandy dead-to-rights and LSU on the ropes). So with everyone back and Missouri replacing Georgia on the SEC slate, the over's the easy pick, right? Not so fast -- there are three easy home nonconference wins and two likely home league wins ( Missouri and Arkansas), but the other four wins will come much harder: Vandy, Texas, Alabama, Auburn and Mississippi State on the road, and Texas A&M and LSU at home. But the guess here is that Hugh Freeze is shrewd enough to get the Rebels those four wins, three of them coming on the road and one in a big upset at home. Projection: Over

Mississippi State, 5.5 wins (over +140, under -180)

No team in the SEC takes a bigger step up in scheduling difficulty from 2012 to 2013 than the Bulldogs, who add Oklahoma State to the nonleague slate, swap Tennessee for South Carolina out of the East and "waste" two home games in potentially nonwinnable matchups vs. Alabama and LSU. Dan Mullen's team likely won't be any worse than it was last year, but the way the 2012 Bulldogs were manhandled by good teams (average margin of defeat of 21 points in their five losses), they wouldn't have won six games against this schedule, either. Projection: Under

Texas A&M, 9.5 wins (over -165, under +125)

Say hello to the friendliest schedule in the 2013 SEC: four patsies outside of conference plus Missouri and Vanderbilt out of the East. Unless the Aggies have a stunning slip-up in Fayetteville, they should cruise to nine wins, meaning they'd need just one from trips to Ole Miss and LSU and their home showdown with the Tide. From here, 0-3 looks more likely than even 2-1, given the Aggies' seeming self-satisfaction this offseason. But Kevin Sumlin, Johnny Manziel and Co. are simply too good not to grab one of those W's. Projection: Over







Back to top
Share:
FourThreeForty
Penn State Fan
Member since May 2013
7694 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

Say hello to the friendliest schedule in the 2013 SEC: four patsies outside of conference plus Missouri and Vanderbilt out of the East. Unless the Aggies have a stunning slip-up in Fayetteville, they should cruise to nine wins, meaning they'd need just one from trips to Ole Miss and LSU and their home showdown with the Tide. From here, 0-3 looks more likely than even 2-1, given the Aggies' seeming self-satisfaction this offseason. But Kevin Sumlin, Johnny Manziel and Co. are simply too good not to grab one of those W's. Projection: Over








Back to top
  Replies (0)
CGSC Lobotomy
Arkansas Fan
Lewis-McChord, Washington
Member since Sep 2011
17085 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

LSU


quote:

Projection: Under








Back to top
  Replies (0)
OMLandshark
Ole Miss Fan
Member since Apr 2009
39366 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


If we get 9 wins this year, I'll go fricking crazy. Does this include bowl wins, because I'd bet it then, but not touching it if it doesn't include that. I'm expecting 8 regular season wins and a bowl win. 2013 is still rebuilding. 2014 is when we go for the Big Kahuna.


This post was edited on 7/3 at 8:47 pm


Back to top
Wanderin Reb
Ole Miss Fan
Corinth, MS
Member since Jun 2013
5998 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


Does not include bowl wins.

Don't believe the media hype. We'll be lucky to get back to 6-6 with the depth issues we have. Anything over 6 is icing on the cake.

Anything under that will admittedly be disappointing.






Back to top
OMLandshark
Ole Miss Fan
Member since Apr 2009
39366 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


We won't be that bad. I definitely expect being better than 6-6.





Back to top
GatorsGators
Stetson Fan
RIP Harvey
Member since Oct 2012
6157 posts
 Online 

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


Alabama - Under

Arkansas - Over

Auburn - Under

LSU - Under

Ole Miss - Under

Mississippi State - Over

Texas A&M - Over



This post was edited on 7/3 at 8:54 pm


Back to top
  Replies (0)
Wanderin Reb
Ole Miss Fan
Corinth, MS
Member since Jun 2013
5998 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

We won't be that bad. I definitely expect being better than 6-6.


I agree we won't be bad. I think we'll be MUCH better than last season, but it's going to be TOUGH to show that in the W-L column.






Back to top
  Replies (0)
ConwayGamecock
South Carolina Fan
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
4092 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

a dangerous UL-Lafayette team


Not sure if I've ever heard that before....






Back to top
hehatedrew
Ole Miss Fan
New Zealand
Member since Oct 2009
20457 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


Tbh, it's true...





Back to top
  Replies (0)
Bags of Milk
The Sunny Beaches of Canada
Member since Feb 2013
1611 posts
 Online 

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


$10 per bet and a $10 parlay suckers bet

Alabama - Under - $14.30
Arky - Under - $20.00
Auburn - Over - $24.00
LSU - Over - $25.00
Ole Miss - Under - $15.90
Miss State - Over - $24.00
Texas A&M - Over - $16.10
Total - $139.30 ($60 wager)

Parlay (if math is correct) - $1054.27

Grand Total - $1193.57

Sounds about right?






Back to top
  Replies (0)
The_Joker
Arkansas Fan
Winter Park, Fl
Member since Jan 2013
9755 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

Arkansas, 5.5 wins (over -140, under +100)


I'd take that over






Back to top
  Replies (0)
NIH
LA-Lafayette Fan
Lafayette, LA
Member since Aug 2008
62575 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


UL Lafayette played Florida tougher than SC, LSU, or Florida State did. Also won 18 games in the past two years and two bowl games.





Back to top
The_Joker
Arkansas Fan
Winter Park, Fl
Member since Jan 2013
9755 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

Not sure if I've ever heard that before....


You must not have watched football last year






Back to top
Hurricane Mike
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2008
5168 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

UL Lafayette played Florida tougher than SC, LSU, or Florida State did. Also won 18 games in the past two years and two bowl games.



ULL doesn't have Les Miles' offense, in fact you won't find another team that has anything similar to a Les Miles offense



This post was edited on 7/3 at 10:05 pm


Back to top
  Replies (0)
USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


Alabama - over
Arkansas - over
AU - under
LSU - under
OM - under
MSU - over
TAMU - over






Back to top
  Replies (0)
LaBornNRaised
LSU Fan
The Datty's are Fixed!
Member since Feb 2011
10009 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


So CBS who partners with 24/7 says the Aggies have the easiest schedule?

Indertasting that everyone else on earth thinks Bama has the easiest schedule.






Back to top
USMC Gators
Member since Oct 2011
14633 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


Well, neither one of them has UF/UG/USC from the East, but at least Alabama plays Virginia Tech ooc.





Back to top
  Replies (0)
WestCoastAg
UCLA Fan
#HKIC
Member since Oct 2012
33595 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

Alabama, 11.5 wins (over +170, under -230)

under

quote:

Arkansas, 5.5 wins (over -140, under +100)

over

quote:

Auburn, 6.5 wins (over +140, under -180)

under

quote:

LSU, 9.5 wins (over +150, under -190)

over

quote:

Ole Miss, 8.5 wins (over +130, under -170)

under

quote:

Mississippi State, 5.5 wins (over +140, under -180)

under

quote:

Texas A&M, 9.5 wins (over -165, under +125)

over






Back to top
molsusports
LSU Fan
Member since Jul 2004
27020 posts

re: CBS Sports Over/Under Picks for SEC 2013 West


quote:

Alabama, 11.5 wins (over +170, under -230)


under

quote:

Arkansas, 5.5 wins (over -140, under +100)


over

quote:

Auburn, 6.5 wins (over +140, under -180)


under

quote:

LSU, 9.5 wins (over +150, under -190)


over

quote:

Ole Miss, 8.5 wins (over +130, under -170)


under

quote:

Mississippi State, 5.5 wins (over +140, under -180)


over

quote:

Texas A&M, 9.5 wins (over -165, under +125)


over






Back to top


Back to top