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Bracketology Update- Start of Championship Week Edition

Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:35 am
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:35 am
Lunardi

3 Florida
8 Missouri
11 Kentucky (play-in game, second to last team in)

Tennessee first team out. Ole Miss third team out. Alabama sixth team out.

LINK

Palm

3 Florida
8 Missouri
12 Kentucky (play-in)
12 Tennessee (play-in)

Ole Miss second team out. Alabama third team out.

LINK
This post was edited on 3/11/13 at 10:39 am
Posted by Landsharks
Shreveport, louisana
Member since Jan 2013
8032 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:36 am to
:( I say a win at mizzou and Kentucky will put us in and thats it...
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:40 am to
Yea, Ole Miss has to beat Mizzou and Kentucky. If they do that, they'll probably get in. That could put Kentucky in jeopardy depending on what else happens around the country. Alabama probably has to win the SECt, but at the very least beat Tennessee and Florida. That would keep Tennessee out. It's looking like 3 teams will be the number for the SEC, four if everything bounces right.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24856 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Tennessee first team out. Ole Miss third team out. Alabama sixth team out.


I feel like often when teams win they move further down the pecking order and when teams lose they move further up the pecking order. At least that's the way it has seemed the last couple of weeks.
Posted by Landsharks
Shreveport, louisana
Member since Jan 2013
8032 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:43 am to
Yea but I like our chances against Kentucky without Noel's having like 12 blocks I say we win.... Mizzou on the other hand don't hve much faith against them
Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19017 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:44 am to
Teams that need to win SEC tournament: Alabama, Ole Miss
Teams that need a good showing in Nashville: Tennessee, Kentucky (who I think is in regardless due to the tickets they would sell)
Locks: Florida, Missouri

I see Florida, Kentucky, and Missouri getting in. It will be an interesting tournament, I think. I'll take the field vs. Florida to win
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:45 am to
Tennessee was ahead of UVA going into the weekend.

Tennessee beats Mizzou at home.

UVA beats Maryland at home in OT.

UVA passes Tennessee.

Ok, Joe.
Posted by FulmersGonnaFixIt
Brentwood, TN (Utopia)
Member since Jun 2011
3170 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:47 am to
That Phiily PUTZ also has Lasalle in.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25871 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Tennessee was ahead of UVA going into the weekend.

Tennessee beats Mizzou at home.

UVA beats Maryland at home in OT.

UVA passes Tennessee.

Ok, Joe.

UVA beat Tennessee head to head, didn't they?
Posted by Landsharks
Shreveport, louisana
Member since Jan 2013
8032 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:50 am to
Lol now we're going head to head.... Ole miss beat them twice head to head but ok
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:50 am to
In early December, not that h2h really matters that much. As I said, Tennessee was AHEAD of UVA before the games this weekend. Tennessee gets a much better win than UVA and UVA passes us?

Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19017 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:52 am to
This reminds me of 2011 when Alabama beat Georgia twice but Georgia was still the one who got in.
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
46375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:54 am to
UT was beaten by OM twice and UT is still in front.




I'll just say the NCAA selection committee hates the sec
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 10:54 am to
quote:

not that h2h really matters at all


fify
Posted by Crompdaddy8
Jimmy Rustler
Member since Nov 2009
10569 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:02 am to
UT is in unless we lose the first SECT game by 30
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:05 am to
I don't know how you could be so sure of that. Especially if you lose on Thursday. Bubble bids are going to start disappearing as upsets happen in conference tournaments, and other bubble teams will make deep runs in their tournaments. Tennessee is barely in now, they can't afford a bad loss. They may not be able to afford a meaningless win Thursday and a loss Friday.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28234 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:10 am to
I don't think conf. tournament results (other than winning the tourney) matter as much as people think. IMO, the bigger concern for "bubble teams" are highly regarded mid-major reg season champs losing in their conf. tournament (see Mid Tenn. St.) In recent years, it seems that the committee has placed more of an emphasis on taking very good mid-majors who don't get the auto bid, over middle of the pack big conf teams. Alabama, Ole Miss, UT have to be praying that all the mid-major favs win the auto bids this week.
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
48690 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:13 am to
quote:

UVA beat Tennessee head to head, didn't they?

Everyone on the fricking bubble has beaten TN head-to-head. I'll never understand this shite.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:13 am to
I'd agree with that, I just had a little rambling on the Alabama board about conference tournaments not having as big of a pull as some think because the committee typically has their field set by Saturday afternoon (pending championship games of course). For a team like Alabama who has a good bit of work to do, I think we have to win the SECt. For teams like Tennessee, Kentucky, or even Ole Miss that have a little less to do then a win or two early can solidify a spot. It's all fluid though, as you said, pending other tournament games throughout the country.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 3/11/13 at 11:15 am to
quote:

I'll never understand this shite.


It's not hard to understand, it's actually very simple. Head to head doesn't really matter. They aren't comparing just UVA to Tennessee for instance. They're looking at total resumes and taking the best ones. Perhaps if there is only one spot left, and it's between UVA and UT they'd take a look at the head to head result.
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