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What SEC record would get Alabama in the NCAA tournament?
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:48 am
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:48 am
Bama's at 4-1 right now with 13 games left.
Does 12-6 (20-11 overall) do it or is the SEC so bad that it's going to take an even better conference record?
Does 12-6 (20-11 overall) do it or is the SEC so bad that it's going to take an even better conference record?
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:52 am to elposter
I think the SEC is so bad (plus our couple bad losses) it's going to take a little more than that. Maybe 13 conference wins plus one in the SEC tourney
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:53 am to elposter
Better for sure. The only games we no doubt shouldn't be favored in are Ole Miss and Florida.
This post was edited on 1/24/13 at 10:53 am
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:56 am to elposter
13 or 14 wins after the SECT.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:57 am to sarc
quote:
Maybe 13 conference wins plus one in the SEC tourney
13-5 in the SEC and not in the tournament would be crazy, but I agree it could still be bubble watch even if Alabama hit that mark. I have to believe 13-5 (9-4 the rest of the way) would be enough.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:59 am to elposter
We have to play AU twice, LSU twice, and UGA twice. Those are RPI hits right there.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:02 am to sarc
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12-4 two years ago
Forgot the SEC record was that good that year. That was a miscarriage of justice just like I think 13-5 and no tournament would be this year.
Those two bad losses at the end of non-conference play may loom really big. Again.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:06 am to UAFanFromNOLA
quote:
We have to play AU twice, LSU twice, and UGA twice. Those are RPI hits right there.
But they are also 6 W's
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:08 am to TreyAnastasio
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But they are also 6 W's
They better be or this discussion is pointless. Can't afford many (any?) more bad losses.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:08 am to elposter
There are similarities between this year and 2 years ago but RPI is in better shape this year. 13 conference wins and we're probably in. 12 wins and an early exit from the SEC tourney would be a toss up
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:23 am to sarc
While there are similarities between this season and the 2010-11 season the biggest difference is our non-conference SoS. It was one of the worst in 2010-11 and this season it is one of the best. 12-6 gets us on the 50-50 bubble, 12-6 and one SEC tourney win gets us in IMO.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:42 am to BigBird09
quote:
12-6 and one SEC tourney win gets us in IMO.
If we make it to 12-6, then the seeding in the SECT would be favorable enough that at least a first round win would be likely.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:52 am to TreyAnastasio
quote:
But they are also 6 W's
Probably, but if we lose any of those games we aren't going to make it. The more I think about it, I think we need to end up 14-4 in the regular season. We can lose @ OM, @ UF, and drop one between @ UTk, and Arky. Any other loss would destroy our RPI and give us 3 really bad losses without a big win to offset them.
Posted on 1/24/13 at 3:52 pm to Robot Santa
Now that I look at the RPI of the SEC teams you might be right, but with a 13-5 record we can afford to lose to both UT and Arky at least. They are both currently under the 100 mark and both should improve on that throughout SEC play. Arkansas has a hard SEC schedule, but I personally think the talent level is enough there to pull off a couple "upsets" against the 3 games they have remaining against Mizzou/UK and they might be one of the better equipped teams to pull off a real big upset when they play UF at home. UT just has an easy schedule remaining and they are the best of the rest in the SEC after Arkansas. The talent level plummets even further after them.
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