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What SEC record would get Alabama in the NCAA tournament?

Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:48 am
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24857 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:48 am
Bama's at 4-1 right now with 13 games left.

Does 12-6 (20-11 overall) do it or is the SEC so bad that it's going to take an even better conference record?
Posted by sarc
Member since Mar 2011
9997 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:52 am to
I think the SEC is so bad (plus our couple bad losses) it's going to take a little more than that. Maybe 13 conference wins plus one in the SEC tourney
Posted by UAFanFromNOLA
NOLA
Member since Dec 2011
4882 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:53 am to
Better for sure. The only games we no doubt shouldn't be favored in are Ole Miss and Florida.
This post was edited on 1/24/13 at 10:53 am
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44346 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:56 am to
13 or 14 wins after the SECT.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24857 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Maybe 13 conference wins plus one in the SEC tourney


13-5 in the SEC and not in the tournament would be crazy, but I agree it could still be bubble watch even if Alabama hit that mark. I have to believe 13-5 (9-4 the rest of the way) would be enough.
Posted by UAFanFromNOLA
NOLA
Member since Dec 2011
4882 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:59 am to
We have to play AU twice, LSU twice, and UGA twice. Those are RPI hits right there.
Posted by sarc
Member since Mar 2011
9997 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 10:59 am to
12-4 two years ago...
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24857 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:02 am to
quote:

12-4 two years ago


Forgot the SEC record was that good that year. That was a miscarriage of justice just like I think 13-5 and no tournament would be this year.

Those two bad losses at the end of non-conference play may loom really big. Again.
Posted by TreyAnastasio
Bitch I'm From Cleveland
Member since Dec 2010
46759 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:06 am to
quote:

We have to play AU twice, LSU twice, and UGA twice. Those are RPI hits right there.


But they are also 6 W's
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24857 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:08 am to
quote:

But they are also 6 W's


They better be or this discussion is pointless. Can't afford many (any?) more bad losses.
Posted by sarc
Member since Mar 2011
9997 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:08 am to
There are similarities between this year and 2 years ago but RPI is in better shape this year. 13 conference wins and we're probably in. 12 wins and an early exit from the SEC tourney would be a toss up
Posted by BigBird09
Member since May 2012
5884 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:23 am to
While there are similarities between this season and the 2010-11 season the biggest difference is our non-conference SoS. It was one of the worst in 2010-11 and this season it is one of the best. 12-6 gets us on the 50-50 bubble, 12-6 and one SEC tourney win gets us in IMO.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
55438 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:42 am to
quote:

12-6 and one SEC tourney win gets us in IMO.


If we make it to 12-6, then the seeding in the SECT would be favorable enough that at least a first round win would be likely.
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44346 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 11:52 am to
quote:

But they are also 6 W's


Probably, but if we lose any of those games we aren't going to make it. The more I think about it, I think we need to end up 14-4 in the regular season. We can lose @ OM, @ UF, and drop one between @ UTk, and Arky. Any other loss would destroy our RPI and give us 3 really bad losses without a big win to offset them.
Posted by BigBird09
Member since May 2012
5884 posts
Posted on 1/24/13 at 3:52 pm to
Now that I look at the RPI of the SEC teams you might be right, but with a 13-5 record we can afford to lose to both UT and Arky at least. They are both currently under the 100 mark and both should improve on that throughout SEC play. Arkansas has a hard SEC schedule, but I personally think the talent level is enough there to pull off a couple "upsets" against the 3 games they have remaining against Mizzou/UK and they might be one of the better equipped teams to pull off a real big upset when they play UF at home. UT just has an easy schedule remaining and they are the best of the rest in the SEC after Arkansas. The talent level plummets even further after them.
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