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Hoops Non-con

Posted on 8/7/15 at 11:26 pm
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 8/7/15 at 11:26 pm
Nov. 6 MISSOURI WESTERN (exhibition)
Nov. 13 WOFFORD
Nov. 15 MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE
Nov. 17 at Xavier
Nov. 23 vs. Kansas State*
Nov. 24 vs. North Carolina/Northwestern*
Dec. 1 ARKANSAS STATE
Dec. 4 NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Dec. 9 NEBRASKA-OMAHA
Dec. 13 at Arizona
Dec. 19 NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Dec. 23 vs. Illinois**
Dec. 29 ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Jan. 2 SAVANNAH STATE

Best I see coming out of the OOC schedule is 7-6. What were we last year?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111486 posts
Posted on 8/7/15 at 11:41 pm to
Bout the same. We won three conference games. So we were 6-whatever in non con.
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 8/8/15 at 6:44 am to
I say 8-6 should be the minimum.

K-State & Illinois are a little down. Mizzou could win those.

Best case I see is 10, not very likely & that's stealing a win. Probably goes 7-6.
Posted by seaniec04
St Louis, MO
Member since Jan 2014
726 posts
Posted on 8/8/15 at 4:11 pm to
That K State game will be big for confidence and getting the season headed in the right direction. Similar programs in a similar rebuild, despite Weber already having a few seasons under his belt that team is in full rebuild.
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 8/8/15 at 6:30 pm to
NC State will probably be easier than Illinois.

That's 3 P5 teams we have a descent shot at.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 8/8/15 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

That's 3 P5 teams we have a descent shot at.



When you say decent shot, do you mean that we have like a 20% chance of winning those games or like an 80% chance of winning those games?

I think we have a chance in every game they lace them up for because anything can happen. I would imagine that most people would have Mizzou as less than 50% chance of winning any of those games. Having said that, yes, I think there are some things about each of those teams that increases our odds of winning.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 8/8/15 at 10:00 pm to
Toss Up WOFFORD(They had a decent year with decent wins)
Win MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE
Loss at Xavier
Loss vs. Kansas State*
Loss vs. North Carolina/Northwestern*
Win ARKANSAS STATE
Win NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Win NEBRASKA-OMAHA
Loss at Arizona
Loss NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Loss vs. Illinois**
Win ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Win SAVANNAH STATE

I see 6 wins. 6 losses. So 7-6 if we beat Wofford, 6-7 if we lose to Wofford. I'm going to wear the black and gold sunglasses and say we beat Wofford. I think we could win one in the tournament. If we beat KSU, we'll lose to UNC. If we lose to KSU, we could beat Northwestern.

So I could see 8-5 tops.
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 8/9/15 at 8:21 am to
I would put Wofford, K-State, NCState, Illinois & Northwestern as toss up games.

Of those Illinois as the most likely loss.

Not hard to see at least 2-3 wins in that group.

If we lose to all of them it likely means that Mizzou wins fewer than 10 on the season, the returning players didn't develop between last season & this, and KA would be gone.

Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 8/9/15 at 10:39 am to
Probably just semantics, but I would put Wofford and Northwestern as toss ups. I'd say that KState, NCState and Illinois are the games we have the best opportunity to pull an upset in. I don't think we have a 50/50 chance of winning those games but we're not such big dogs in those games that an upset is out of the question.
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 8/9/15 at 9:37 pm to
The exhibition & Wofford game will go a long way toward defining the seasons expectations.

Dominate the exhibition & win against Wofford and I see a team that likely wins 15-20 games

Struggle & lose and it's hard to see KA making it past the season.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 8/9/15 at 9:40 pm to
Trust me when I so hope you're right about getting to 20 wins. Having said that, regardless of what happens with Wofford, I don't see this team getting to 20 wins. Hell, I include Wofford in just getting to double digit wins, not to 20.
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 8/9/15 at 9:53 pm to
I doubt they get to 20. But there are a lot of unknowns that on paper seem to fill voids the team had, but need to see if it's actually true

Wofford is the best non P5 team. Lose to them & it's hard to see them get to double digits.

Win and maybe they can get to 15-20 range
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