We'll win because our run game can and will eat their lunch and frick their mothers. Also, Jarvis Jones hasn't raped anyone in a while and he likes it when his QB has a little flight in them (Martinez).
We'll lose because the defense plays timid (guys worried about staying healthy for the NFL draft) and because Murray and the offense are hungover from the SECCG.
I just snorted a line off the governor's desk and I think you are wrong about the defense playing timid. Those guys didn't get to where they are by playing smart, they are playing instinctive. You don't tell a beagle to lay off a rabbit or a bass off a minnow because "NFL". They are hungry wild animals and they will do what they do. At the first sign of intelligence, Grantham will pull them out and reload with another 5 star that is hungry, physical, aggressive, and well-coached.