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re: Maybe this thing is almost over - Oxford theory UPDATED OP showing more evidence
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:35 am to DollaChoppa
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:35 am to DollaChoppa
Agreed DollaChoppa. I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread is 10 to 100 times current estimates with our limited testing.
I hope it’s true, but there are some data points that would suggest that isn’t the case. Nursing homes is the biggest one... if this has infected half the population you would have seen many more cases like the Washington nursing home in January/February. That would have raised alarms pretty quickly.
I hope it’s true, but there are some data points that would suggest that isn’t the case. Nursing homes is the biggest one... if this has infected half the population you would have seen many more cases like the Washington nursing home in January/February. That would have raised alarms pretty quickly.
4
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:38 am to CivilTiger83
quote:
this has infected half the population you would have seen many more cases like the Washington nursing home in January/February. That would have raised alarms pretty quickly.
This unfortunately. How has no major spikes happened yet if it’s been around a while? Statistically speaking that should have happened? The only possibility and hope, is that it has but it was blamed on something like a bad flu outbreak because nothing else was expected?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 6:57 am to CivilTiger83
quote:
you would have seen many more cases like the Washington nursing home in January/February. That would have raised alarms pretty quickly.
Would it have?
Do you know how many old people die a day in this country especially during flu season?
Have there been many more cases since then like that nursing home? It’s an outlier not the norm.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 7:39 am to CivilTiger83
quote:
I hope it’s true, but there are some data points that would suggest that isn’t the case. Nursing homes is the biggest one... if this has infected half the population you would have seen many more cases like the Washington nursing home in January/February.
That’s a good point.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:46 pm to CivilTiger83
While that is a good point, this sickness had to be brought into the nursing homes. It’s not like these residents are out and about all day. Had to reach a saturation point in the general population to where staff and/or a visitor brought it in.
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