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re: Aggy lube to help dawgs who've clearly ground to a halt.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:01 am to Warrior Poet
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:01 am to Warrior Poet
I'm not sure why y'all are explaining to me how it works. I'm pretty sure we agree on all of that.
I disputed his initial comment that a few "delusional grinders" could change the line on the game this weekend.
Now I don't think either one of you can honestly believe that.
I disputed his initial comment that a few "delusional grinders" could change the line on the game this weekend.
Now I don't think either one of you can honestly believe that.
0
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:05 am to FrankWhite'56
quote:
delusional grinders alone could run the spread to -50. Vegas spread moves with betting, not with any type of logical trend to suggest the game's outcome.
So you are alleging that delusional grinders have more money than delusional aggies?
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:07 am to engie
quote:
So you are alleging that delusional grinders have more money than delusional aggies?
Seems legit. Once the trailer is paid off, you have to spend those welfare checks somehow...
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:08 am to DynastyDawg
quote:
God y'all are fricking retarded. If every person in Mississippi bet on our game there would not be enough to outweigh everyone else in the country betting on it.
The spread moves because the betting becomes lopsided. The majority of people in the entire country would have to bet on State, not a "few people from Starkville" like he stated.
The spread is designed to keep betting even on both sides. When the line first opened at EVEN, the vast majority of money (94-96%) was placed on MSU, so they adjusted the line to MSU -1.5 at about 2pm on the 29th. Over the course of the next 5 hours, the money shifted towards A&M, so that by 7pm, the majority of money (55%) was coming in for A&M. Since that point, the majority of money has been going to A&M.
Betting Trends Here
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:10 am to Onyx Aggie
quote:
I'm not sure why y'all are explaining to me how it works. I'm pretty sure we agree on all of that.
I disputed his initial comment that a few "delusional grinders" could change the line on the game this weekend.
Now I don't think either one of you can honestly believe that.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:12 am to FrankWhite'56
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:47 am to Nguyening
Well we dont have any common opponents yet, so your rationale is shite.
...unless you want to compare stats against Rice. But, pretty sure you don't want to do that.
...unless you want to compare stats against Rice. But, pretty sure you don't want to do that.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 8:55 am to TeLeFaWx
stats say you havent started 6-0 since 1994... 
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:14 am to FrankWhite'56
Frank...Baby..
Vegas is uniquely unbiased because it's all about the money to them. Vegas set the line to begin with, they move the line based on the betting action that is coming in. A HUGE amount of bettors bet so much money that vegas was forced to set the odds in your favor by 2.5 points.. That's huge so early on in the week. Vegas likes us, the bettors like us.. and this goes against a LONG history of vegas hating us.
tl;dr You are doomed.
:grinded:
Vegas is uniquely unbiased because it's all about the money to them. Vegas set the line to begin with, they move the line based on the betting action that is coming in. A HUGE amount of bettors bet so much money that vegas was forced to set the odds in your favor by 2.5 points.. That's huge so early on in the week. Vegas likes us, the bettors like us.. and this goes against a LONG history of vegas hating us.
tl;dr You are doomed.
:grinded:
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 9:16 am
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:19 am to FrankWhite'56
quote:
You have no idea how Vegas works; delusional grinders alone could run the spread to -50. Vegas spread moves with betting, not with any type of logical trend to suggest the game's outcome.
I don't think you know how Vegas works.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:20 am to FrankWhite'56
quote:
Lines have started at -10 for a team, and moved to +10 within days.
Link?
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:23 am to TaxmanMSU
How much would A&M be favored is the game were at Kyle? MSU +7?
Posted on 10/1/14 at 9:33 am to OldSulRoss
I think 7 points is usually the swing for home field so probably like MSU+5.5. I might be wrong though
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:38 am to ShaneTheLegLechler
... Gambling aside, why is your good defense not as good as our bad defense? Who is the best offense you've faced?
Also aggy didn't buy alottment bc we don't care about your best team In 20 years. We're more connected to Arkansas (who I think proves to be a better team) , we're more interested in trips to SC, bama, auburn. You're the Vandy of the west but with the worst academics too.
Also aggy didn't buy alottment bc we don't care about your best team In 20 years. We're more connected to Arkansas (who I think proves to be a better team) , we're more interested in trips to SC, bama, auburn. You're the Vandy of the west but with the worst academics too.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 10:43 am to Nguyening
So what you are saying is that A&M is better than State in nearly every statistical category?
It's going to be fun exposing the overrated bulldogs on their homefield for the 2nd time.
It's going to be fun exposing the overrated bulldogs on their homefield for the 2nd time.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:01 am to TaxmanMSU
quote:
(Aggies) are doomed.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:21 am to AggieHank86
Either state fans know their defense is a paper tiger, or they're afraid this aggy logic lube won't wash off and permanently ruin tGrind
Posted on 10/1/14 at 11:29 am to Nguyening
Don't lubricated gears STOP grinding?
Posted on 10/1/14 at 1:12 pm to DynastyDawg
I'm saying you're an idiot for using the line as a basis to rebut the OP
You clearly don't understand lines/Vegas
And yes, a few delusional idiots can move a line - State has plenty of delusional idiots
You clearly don't understand lines/Vegas
And yes, a few delusional idiots can move a line - State has plenty of delusional idiots
Posted on 10/1/14 at 4:05 pm to Jma313
quote:
It's easy to pad stats when you haven't played anyone
We've played 2 SEC teams, how many have you played?
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