Want to Get Drafted in the NFL? Go to Kentucky, Not Alabama!

Seems legit.

So basically, if you go to a bad football school as a talented prospect, you stand out among the suck and have a better chance of getting lots of exposure and thus opportunity to get drafted highly in the NFL as compared to joining 20 or so of your talented classmates at a good football school and having to fight other talented players for significant PT every year.

Can I get a "no shite Sherlock"?

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So basically, if you go to a bad football school as a talented prospect, you stand out among the suck and have a better chance of getting lots of exposure and thus opportunity to get drafted highly in the NFL as compared to joining 20 or so of your talented classmates at a good football school and winning 'ships and having to fight other talented players for significant PT every year.

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Can I get a "no shite Sherlock"?

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Yep.

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Not intelligent enough to consider a study by one the best University’s in the country, I get it.

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Yep. That's it.

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Next time take your played out first grade sarcasm to the Bama board

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Go frick yourself.

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Thanks

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You're welcome.

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We also extended the analysis to include other factors that could impact a school’s ability to produce draft worthy players. Specifically, we examined the influence of the school’s investment in its football program, the team’s winning percentage, whether or not the school played in a major bowl, and each school’s conference affiliation. Investment may matter because greater resources could translate to improved coaching or strength training programs. While the latter three factors relate to the publicity players receive at various schools. The only significant factor from these additional variables was school’s investment in the football program.

The bottom line seems to be that for players with a goal of playing in the NFL, program selection should not be based on the glamour provided by the big time programs such as Ohio State, Alabama, Notre Dame, and USC. Rather players should seek out opportunities at schools with substantial budgets but lower ranked recruiting classes. In other words, it’s probably more important to increase your probability of getting on to the field early, rather than maximizing the number of times you play on a big national stage.
To further illustrate the preceding point, in 2009, Alabama had the top rated recruiting class with several four-star high school recruits. A current examination of these recruits shows that several have left the team, others have red-shirted, and a few are projected as free agents or late-round picks. One recruit is projected as an early-round pick. These outcomes could be the result of over-recruiting and the lack of resources for top recruits.

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I have to say, it appears the logic of going to bama to increase draft chances right now is not only flawed logic, but it is likely to hurt your chances (assuming your second choice makes adequate investments in its football program. And adequate includes every SEC school as it doesn't have to be that much).

This really does seem pretty obvious. A lot of four and five stars sit or are second and third string at Alabama because they have four and five stars in front of them. Four and five stars don't sit at Kentucky. Most of the time you are going to have to at least be a starter in college to get drafted.

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I have to say, it appears the logic of going to bama to increase draft chances right now is not only flawed logic, but it is likely to hurt your chances (assuming your second choice makes adequate investments in its football program. And adequate includes every SEC school as it doesn't have to be that much).

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This is true, but hot shot High School athletes think they are the best and can start for the best notwithstanding tough competition so logic (thankfully) doesn't dictate their decision - confidence and cockiness does.

Wonder what the basketball graph at UK would show if this was the football one?

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This is true, but hot shot High School athletes think they are the best and can start for the best notwithstanding tough competition so logic (thankfully) doesn't dictate their decision - confidence and cockiness does.

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Totally agree. I've been amazed the past few years at how truly dumb a lot of these guys are based on their decisions. Best example is Calloway to bama.

This seems to be poorly done, primarily because they aren't properly controlling for the fact that players self-select the schools they attend.

But the major error here is they are trying to make inferences from what is purely a historical analysis. They can only say that over their sample period there is a high correlation between going to Kentucky and getting drafted. And even then, they are using averages. Once cannot infer from this analysis that going to Kentucky will improve your draft prospects.